Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Hanlon's Razor states that the mostly likely explanation is not conspiracy, but stupidity. Most of the time, your interviewers are just dumb/inexperienced/busy/assholes. What are the odds that everyone in your interview is dumb/inexperienced/busy or an asshole versus the odds that it's just you ?
>What are the odds that everyone in your interview is dumb/inexperienced/busy or an asshole versus the odds that it's just you? Let's assume that your interviewer is selected at random from the population and that traits are independent from each other. Let's further assume that 50% of people are 'dumb', that 30% of people are inexperienced, that 90% of people are 'busy', and that 50% of people are assholes. Honestly…
Why would you undertake a several-paragraphs-long probabilistic analysis if you are aware of your inability to do so?