241–250 of 254 posts
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If few is three years or less time, you can make money on some options expiring Jan 2022. Have you bought them?
And if it’s three years and a month?
That's enough for me.
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And if it’s three years and a month?
Well, it's useful for me to know that your confidence of it happening in the next 3 years is low when you make your statement. I see that it is. That's enough for me.
Can I make the bet you describe for, say, seven years? I’d say five is highly likely to suffice but I’d rather play it safe.
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Don't just about all big corporations with some "weight" behind them do this though? A company employing tens of thousands floats the idea that they might leave the city/state due to some new proposed corporate tax legislation or something, and then the city/state exempts them from the increases to get them to stay since they're such a "big employer?" Isn't this just "negotiating from a position of strength?" This ha…
Yeah, but just because this happens doesn't mean we shouldn't be upset about it. This is companies strongarming governments into giving them tax breaks. It's robbing society to enrich a few people at the top. Amazon is following the Boeing example. I fully expect Washington state to give away massive amounts of money the same way they did before.
The only other alternative is to force companies to stay in an area, regardless of how attractive the business climate is.
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Well, it's useful for me to know that your confidence of it happening in the next 3 years is low when you make your statement. I see that it is. That's enough for me.
Have you considered that maybe my concept of “few” is not “three”? Can I make the bet you describe for, say, seven years? I’d say five is highly likely to suffice but I’d rather play it safe.
Yep. Hence "if few is three" earlier.
I'm not interested in a bet. I'm interested in adjusting my priors. Thanks for the help.
All these kneejerk comments about this being phase 3 in Bezos' grand plan to defraud America's wealthiest cities- I do not understand. No cities have committed anything to Amazon and can volunteer to walk away or attempt to renegotiate if they so wish. Not much of an grand master plan.
Wouldn't you agree that knowledge is power?
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Have you considered that maybe my concept of “few” is not “three”? Can I make the bet you describe for, say, seven years? I’d say five is highly likely to suffice but I’d rather play it safe.
> Have you considered that maybe my concept of “few” is not “three”? Yep. Hence "if few is three" earlier. I'm not interested in a bet. I'm interested in adjusting my priors. Thanks for the help.
If you’re not interested in a bet, why did you reply to me to ask if I’ve made one?
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LOL. There are tons of educated people who move to Texas. Ever heard of Texas Instruments?
Everyone's heard of Texas Instruments, but the products that make them famous aren't exactly an advertisement for attracting skilled staff. A TI calculator is less than $1 worth of functionality, $100 of "you can use this on standardized tests without being considered a cheater", and $50 of brand recognition. The whole selling point of the product is that it's just as bad now as it was 25 years ago.
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I haven't heard about any specific issues with Texas politics, versus just regular red-state politics. Is there some specific action being taken against women in Texas that I'm not aware of? (Genuine question, not snark.)
Texas is aggressively pro-life. They strictly regulate abortion clinics in particular.
I searched about this and found: https://www.aclutx.org/en/know-you-rights/abortion-in-texas
It does seem they have some fairly detailed restrictions.
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Seems like quite a bit more than a satellite office, but not quite close to another HQ. Really curious to see what kind of jobs will end up in these HQ2A and HQ2B.
My guess is that it’ll be like google in NYC. Quite substantial, but obviously no Mountain View.
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What if the CEO has a standing desk? Just kidding. What about completely remote companies, or companies where the CEO is remote?
How many companies exist where the CEO is remote? If you're being hired for that important of a job, you're almost certainly willing to move.