I was thinking about the double-slit problem the other day, and was trying to make connections to any other phenomenon that exists in the natural world and I think I came up with one. In conditional probability theory, there exists something called the boy or girl paradox. The paradox shows that the likelihood of an event can be drastically affected by how you know even seemingly innocuous information. I think that o…
You have red and black pebbles otherwise identical. Bag has 2 pebbles, you draw a pebble, it's red. You put it back. What's the probability of bag having black and red pebble? Draw again - red again. What's the probability of bag having black and red pebble? You acquire more data, therefore your estimate changes.