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The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

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141–150 of 259 posts

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#141

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because it’s a huge pain in the ass. So I go to a car rental place in my EV and then what, leave it there? Bring someone along to drive it back. Add a couple of hours renting a car to a trip that’s already jam packed with fussy kids and irritated spouses, that you’re trying to squeeze in on a weekend?

When I didn't have a car, I rented from Enterprise several times a month. I never found it to be inconvenient. They pick you up! Besides, if like GP you mostly get around by bicycle or public transport, it doesn't seem like a hardship to get to or from the rental place that way.

Yep. Here in Portland we also have services like ReachNow & Car2Go which have the cars sprawled out around the city rather than needing to go to a specific place.

As a cyclist, I wish more of these services (Enterprise included) would have cars with bike racks on them. Car2Go did with their Smart-car fleet, but that was phased out.

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#142
post #125

Earlier quoted context omitted.

For my part, I'm not anxious about range; price is the main issue. The car purchases over my lifetime have been $5000, $2500, $1, $4000, $11000, $8000, $12000 ... and I have never bought new. I do not see a viable electric vehicle for me. Tesla looks awesome, and I cannot find an affordable one near me. Hell, there are TWO (count 'em, 2) used Model-3's within 20 miles of me, and they're selling for $50,000. LOL and M…

Used Leaf's have come down to the upper end of your price range. Heck, with group buys and all other related discounts, I've seen them for $14k new.

I got a 2013 one not long ago with a 24kwh battery (with about 20kwh of capacity remaining). I paid well under $10k for mine with a bunch of Nissan incentives (warranty and MOT cover for 3 years, things like that).

In fuel and tax savings it'll have paid for itself within those 3 years (versus a petrol or diesel car), after which it's effectively a free, zero-tax, zero-fuel-cost car.

My point being that an EV is already an absurdly good deal if you can make it fit your lifestyle. Also, I realize I'm biased, but I don't really get the range anxiety argument. If I run out of gas in a car I need to get towed to a gas station. If I run out of electricity I need to get to literally any wall outlet.

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#143
post #70

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why would gas pumps not be gradually replaced with charging points?

Because they're incredibly slow and you'd need a giant facility to accommodate what even a tiny 4 pump gas station currently does? I live in Seattle and there are tons of Teslas, but the nearest Supercharger is way out in the suburbs at a mall so you can do something with all your waiting time.

I think the number of spots you need is actually similar. A car will occupy a spot for much more time, but it will need it much less frequently since it’s only necessary for long trips.

That’s why your nearest supercharger is out in the suburbs: it’s for travelers, not locals.

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#144
post #74
post #44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because people will charge at their destinations or at home. Think of it this way: You go on a long trip and need to stop for gas somewhere along the trip. Instead, you just plug in at your destination. That saves you a stop.

If you were going on a trip long enough that it requires a stop in an ICE vehicle you're going to have to stop in your electric vehicle. Maybe even stop twice.

Depending on how full your gas tank is, a trip of 10 miles could need a stop.

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#145
post #75

This is a political disaster. Fracked crude is only profitable because the externalised costs of the catastrophic environmental damage are born by others. This is another direct wealth transfer from the general population i.e. 99% to the 1%. If instead of allowing fracking we invested massively in renewables we'd have more jobs, a path to much-cheaper-than oil energy, and we wouldn't be leaving toxic residue all over…

Fracked crude might not even be first-order profitable. There is an assertion here by a book author being interviewed that the fracking industry is largely not long-run profitable and that only low interest rates allowed them to run speculatively at all. https://www.marketplace.org/2018/09/11/economy/economics-fra... This was new to me, and I don't really know if it's a correct assessment. But it's very interesting t…

I'm not seeing where he says they are not long-run profitable, only that the oil industry is hard to predict, which has been obviously true for decades.

American shale plays can be profitable down to $40/bbl

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#146
As a side note, the GWPF (Global Warming Policy Forum / Foundation) is a climate change denialist organisation set up by Nigel Lawson (UK politician of the Thatcher years) [0]:

> On 23 November 2009 Lawson became chairman of a new think tank, the Global Warming Policy Foundation, a registered education charity, involved in promoting climate change scepticism.

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nigel_Lawson#Position_on_globa...

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#147
post #100

Earlier quoted context omitted.

At which point just renting a gas vehicle for long trips starts sounding really good.

Except for the hassle of renting a vehicle. And, what do you do in a natural disaster?

100 miles is enough range to get out of the way of worst effects of most natural disasters, and plenty of people get by without a car at all.

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#148

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Oil is not going away anytime soon. While there will be significantly more electric vehicles on the road in twenty years and gas and diesel vehicles will be much more efficient. There will still be millions and millions of vehicles burning gasoline and diesel. Plus that doesn't even factor in all the uses of oil outside of transportation and energy, for instance pharmaceuticals, plastics, nylon, polyester, asphalt, f…

How much more room for improvement is there in gas and diesel?

More than you think. A hybrid car gets more mileage out of its engine for two reasons:

- regenerative braking reduces the efficiency penalty of city driving. While a normal car sees a 25-30% mileage drop in stop-and-go traffic, a hybrid sees about 5-8%.

- the actual engine is more efficient! The gasoline engine in hybrid vehicles usually replaces the Otto cycle with the Atkinson cycle. The latter is more efficient but has lower power, which in hybrids is compensated by an electric assist that turns on when accelerating.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atkinson_cycle

By taking these two effects together a non-plug-in hybrid can reduce fuel use in a city driving condition by more than 40%. I didn't make that number up: the 2019 standard Camry has 29 city mpg, while the 2019 hybrid Camry is rated for 51. The hybrid uses 56% as much fuel as the conventional engine! With a plug-in hybrid that can drop even lower.

Unfortunately the marketing around all of this was muddled and most consumers have never heard of the Atkinson cycle. The original hybrids (Prius, Insight) were molded for a Japanese market, where simple and cute is a winning proposition, but American gearheads thought it looked and drove like a toy, a perception which was compounded by the fact that early hybrids made self-maintenance nearly impossible. Just replacing the 12V battery on a Prius is a major pain (speaking from experience!). Atkinson hybrids quickly became associated with a certain type of person and, for a while, many/most car geeks thought the real efficiency breakthrough were the German companies' maintenance-friendly and appropriately-scented turbodiesels, and we all know how that turned out. Hybrids have never captured more than 3.2% of the US market, but even if no highway-viable electric cars appear, a switch to plug-in hybrids could erase more than half of car-related GHG emissions.

I know all of this mostly because of one very old and very stubborn former engineer who was impervious to every kind of advertisement and cultural stereotype, and who studied the technology in the Prius and bought one new in 2009. Everyone else in the family made fun of him, but Grandpa just didn't care, and raved about the Prius to anyone who would listen. Most of us, including me at the time, believed the meme that Atkinson hybrids were a marketing gimmick and only relevant if you drove in the city often enough to take advantage of the regenerative brakes, and anyway, turbodiesels were the future. Grandpa didn't live long enough to see himself get proven right, but I still drive his car.

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#149

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A) It's a foot compared to historical levels, it's 10cm since the 1990s. B) It's a constant problem in Miami where high tide is now above the level of many roads so they've had to jack the roads up several feet more. C) Venice, Italy is routinely flooded because of sea-level rise and it's only getting worse.

ok 30 cm is a lot. one thing that I don't fully understand yet: there were always storm surges above 2m (?) how come that 50cm sea-rise without any storm surges are already causing problems?

An extreme event that happened once every few years (or decades) might be tolerable, and become a vastly larger problem if it starts happening once a month instead.

New York recovered from Sandy, but the city would need massive changes if that water level became routine.

Re: The United States Is Now the Largest Global Crude Oil Producer

#150
post #75

This is a political disaster. Fracked crude is only profitable because the externalised costs of the catastrophic environmental damage are born by others. This is another direct wealth transfer from the general population i.e. 99% to the 1%. If instead of allowing fracking we invested massively in renewables we'd have more jobs, a path to much-cheaper-than oil energy, and we wouldn't be leaving toxic residue all over…

Fracked crude might not even be first-order profitable. There is an assertion here by a book author being interviewed that the fracking industry is largely not long-run profitable and that only low interest rates allowed them to run speculatively at all. https://www.marketplace.org/2018/09/11/economy/economics-fra... This was new to me, and I don't really know if it's a correct assessment. But it's very interesting t…

Lots of commodity producers (...and other businesses) depend on market conditions for viability. There's nothing fake about that.
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