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40% of Americans can't cover a $400 emergency expense

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101–110 of 309 posts

Re: 40% of Americans can't cover a $400 emergency expense

#101
post #55

I think we as a nation should consider this an issue of national security. This type of financial instability in such a large percentage of the population could lead to making short-sighted or bad decisions in tough times, increased violence, increased rates of incarceration (both of those increasing the cost of government for all), among many other things. The reasons for it are multi-faceted I'm sure. I hope voters…

Your post is optimistic to the point I choked on my coffee. Our economy is predicated on consumer spending; we have a whole set of industries built on the backs of poor financial decision making and being near-broke (payday loans, credit cards, overdraft charge reordering, debt collectors, etc.) all of which pull power away from desperate people and give it to others (now your landlord/phone company/ISP/etc have lega…

It's so childish putting optimistic people down.

Our economy, habits, and mindset can change with a great deal of work and energy. People are becoming more connected than ever before, and with that we can build a new kind of social momentum.

Hey, you're right, things suck now, but it doesn't have to be like this.

Re: 40% of Americans can't cover a $400 emergency expense

#102
post #39

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What about people whose life situations constantly rip money out of them and their pay is just fundamentally insufficient to cover their expenses?

You're right. Some poor people have bad spending habits, and some have unfortunate life situations, and some have both.

In fact, poor spending habits could be caused by a poor life situation.

Re: 40% of Americans can't cover a $400 emergency expense

#103
post #72

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Spoken as someone well north of the poverty line. The reason for some people not having the money around is undoubtedly poor decision making, but for a great many others they simply have no gainful employment, no prospects of obtaining gainful employment and are often trapped in debt spirals due to past financial desperation. I'm real happy for you that you're so far removed from their situation that none of this occ…

Being trapped in a debt spiral due to past financial desperation is just a way of iterating forward in the loop of bad decision making. What I am saying is that to enter financial desperation in the United States is not actually possible if you utilize the available social safety net and make proper decisions.

[deleted]

Re: 40% of Americans can't cover a $400 emergency expense

#104

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I was with you until your Musk comment. We don't need more centralization of power; instead, we need de centralization--more local sustainability in place of the just-in-time global economy we live in now.

My Musk comment was more about how much of NASA had turned into a jobs program than anything. Take a very simple example, the BMV. We've had good internet now for a couple decades and you still can't do basic transactions without going to the BMV in the middle of the day. Almost all other government agencies have been entirely immune to technological change as well. They are, jobs programs.

Can you explain why you feel NASA is a jobs program? There's certainly a much larger, constant-stream funding source going to national defense and national sciences. NASA is being paid to continue our usually unprofitable interests in space. Everything else falls under the non-compete restriction. Also, NASA employs some highly employable folks who would make much more in private industry.

Re: 40% of Americans can't cover a $400 emergency expense

#105

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Govt inflation numbers represent a portfolio consisting of all commodities in equal quantity. But if you hold a portfolio of iPhones, Toyotas, and etc (assuming they are non depreciating assets) that number would double very easily.

Government inflation numbers don't work like that at all. They are based on the Consumer Price Index, which uses a market basket of consumer goods and services. https://www.bls.gov/cpi/

Which includes blackbox modifiers like "hedonic adjustments". So if it costs you $800 to get a cast for your broken leg today as opposed to $400 a few years ago, but they claim the quality of the cast is twice as good, then they say there was 0% inflation as you are getting the same "value" even though its costing you twice as much to fix the same problem.

https://www.bls.gov/cpi/quality-adjustment/home.htm

Re: 40% of Americans can't cover a $400 emergency expense

#106
post #72

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Spoken as someone well north of the poverty line. The reason for some people not having the money around is undoubtedly poor decision making, but for a great many others they simply have no gainful employment, no prospects of obtaining gainful employment and are often trapped in debt spirals due to past financial desperation. I'm real happy for you that you're so far removed from their situation that none of this occ…

Being trapped in a debt spiral due to past financial desperation is just a way of iterating forward in the loop of bad decision making. What I am saying is that to enter financial desperation in the United States is not actually possible if you utilize the available social safety net and make proper decisions.

Try it. I will bet you a million dollars that you would not be able to do it in any meaningful amount of time.

Re: 40% of Americans can't cover a $400 emergency expense

#107

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Government inflation numbers don't work like that at all. They are based on the Consumer Price Index, which uses a market basket of consumer goods and services. https://www.bls.gov/cpi/

Which includes blackbox modifiers like "hedonic adjustments". So if it costs you $800 to get a cast for your broken leg today as opposed to $400 a few years ago, but they claim the quality of the cast is twice as good, then they say there was 0% inflation as you are getting the same "value" even though its costing you twice as much to fix the same problem. https://www.bls.gov/cpi/quality-adjustment/home.htm

According to that link you provided, hedonic adjustments don't apply to healthcare services.

Re: 40% of Americans can't cover a $400 emergency expense

#108
post #96
post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We should but you know personal responsibility and all that jazz. The wealthy only care when the pitchforks come out. The biggest achievement of the wealthy has been to convince the middle class to eat itself.

The problem with personal responsibility, which I am very much in favour of and wish we promoted a bit more, is that the deck is so stacked against people who don't have assets that I'm not sure average person can keep up. I keep saying it; the amount of money in the system has increased +50% since 2008 [1], and worker compensation has gone up +25% (the BLS publishes a lot of series, I use [2]; hope it is right). So…

Is this due to QE? edit: I am wondering about why the money supply has increased 50%. Wouldn't that require a massive printing of money?

Re: 40% of Americans can't cover a $400 emergency expense

#109

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My Musk comment was more about how much of NASA had turned into a jobs program than anything. Take a very simple example, the BMV. We've had good internet now for a couple decades and you still can't do basic transactions without going to the BMV in the middle of the day. Almost all other government agencies have been entirely immune to technological change as well. They are, jobs programs.

Can you explain why you feel NASA is a jobs program? There's certainly a much larger, constant-stream funding source going to national defense and national sciences. NASA is being paid to continue our usually unprofitable interests in space. Everything else falls under the non-compete restriction. Also, NASA employs some highly employable folks who would make much more in private industry.

I'm actually not going to do this. If you want to have this conversation go read up on it. Not trying to be rude but your question makes it sound like you've never heard the idea before. Given that, I feel like you're not ready to have this conversation. ...I'm trying not to sound rude but it isn't working. I am not expressing malice towards you.

Re: 40% of Americans can't cover a $400 emergency expense

#110
post #19

I think we as a nation should consider this an issue of national security. This type of financial instability in such a large percentage of the population could lead to making short-sighted or bad decisions in tough times, increased violence, increased rates of incarceration (both of those increasing the cost of government for all), among many other things. The reasons for it are multi-faceted I'm sure. I hope voters…

We should but you know personal responsibility and all that jazz. The wealthy only care when the pitchforks come out. The biggest achievement of the wealthy has been to convince the middle class to eat itself.

Why do I have the feeling that most posters on HN who consider themselves the "middle class", actually fall well above of the middle quintile of household income and most are in the 5th quintile.

The true Middle Class probably don't make any distinction between anyone who is in the top 20% (household income over $116,000) or especially the top 10% ($161,000).

https://dqydj.com/household-income-percentile-calculator-201...

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