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Self driving cars and beyond

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71–80 of 120 posts

Re: Self driving cars and beyond

#71

A couple of years ago there was a new article on the front page pretty much every day about the great new thing that will change our lives--3D printing. I'm worried that whatever happened to 3D printing is about to happen to self driving. What did happen to 3D printing?

What happened to 2D printing? If you want a paperback copy of a book, do you download a PDF and then print it on your laser printer, or do you order a copy from Amazon / a store?

Re: Self driving cars and beyond

#72

It’s great to explore this topic. You can have a lot of fun in picking a random industry and imagining the effect that self driving will have. Health - beyond the obvious effects on the emergency room, what else? Ambulances willl quite clearly be affected. Why would someone wait minutes for one to arrive when they can just hop in an autocar to go the hospital? Or would the entire emergency room itself be on wheels? (…

Ambulances do a lot more than just move people around, they carry doctors who stabilize the patient prior to transportation so that a relatively small problem does not turn into a critical one.

Re: Self driving cars and beyond

#73

It’s great to explore this topic. You can have a lot of fun in picking a random industry and imagining the effect that self driving will have. Health - beyond the obvious effects on the emergency room, what else? Ambulances willl quite clearly be affected. Why would someone wait minutes for one to arrive when they can just hop in an autocar to go the hospital? Or would the entire emergency room itself be on wheels? (…

> Why would someone wait minutes for one to arrive when they can just hop in an autocar to go the hospital?

If you can just hop in and go to the hospital by yourself you don't need an ambulance.

Re: Self driving cars and beyond

#74
post #37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> One thing I would like to add is that public transport is too very difficult to scale A quick check show the Piccadilly line is doing 21 trains per hour and they have a capacity of 684 people. Around 14,000 people per hour. That is roughly a 7 lanes of highway traffic under optimal conditions. Not even thinking about the other direction. I think you find that it is easer to build a new underground line though centr…

So I think the insight here is that, as with everything, it can only scale so far. Here's a question though: is it easier to build a new underground tunnel now compared to 100(?) years ago? While previously there was a lot less existing infrastructure to have to worry about disturbing, these days we have a lot more advanced technology to make the process easier.

Chinese cities have grown tremendously large metro systems in a very short amount of time. China has 5 of the 10 longest metro systems, and 4 of them were started operating in the 90s or later. The Nanjing metro is the 6th longest in the world and was started running in 2005.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_metro_systems#List

So the answer is a resounding yes, it is much easier to build metro systems than it was in the past. As long as you do so in China.

Re: Self driving cars and beyond

#75
post #55

It’s great to explore this topic. You can have a lot of fun in picking a random industry and imagining the effect that self driving will have. Health - beyond the obvious effects on the emergency room, what else? Ambulances willl quite clearly be affected. Why would someone wait minutes for one to arrive when they can just hop in an autocar to go the hospital? Or would the entire emergency room itself be on wheels? (…

I remember seeing a concept video ages ago that touch on many the things that self-driving can change(from Audi I think). I always think in a fully self-driving world there would be huge shifts in the real estate market, living further from your workplace/school won't be such a problem if the commute is easy and the time is consistent, but also in a way that is more convenient than public transportation, similar to h…

> Does it make sense for them to lease unutilized car time from owners similar to what people do with idle CPUs for crypto mining?

I wouldn't want to find a used condom on the floor of my car when it picks me up, or vomit after a night of transporting party goers.

Re: Self driving cars and beyond

#76
post #75
post #55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I remember seeing a concept video ages ago that touch on many the things that self-driving can change(from Audi I think). I always think in a fully self-driving world there would be huge shifts in the real estate market, living further from your workplace/school won't be such a problem if the commute is easy and the time is consistent, but also in a way that is more convenient than public transportation, similar to h…

> Does it make sense for them to lease unutilized car time from owners similar to what people do with idle CPUs for crypto mining? I wouldn't want to find a used condom on the floor of my car when it picks me up, or vomit after a night of transporting party goers.

Yeah, I imagine using shared self-driving cars would be as fun as using public toilets.

Re: Self driving cars and beyond

#77
post #55

It’s great to explore this topic. You can have a lot of fun in picking a random industry and imagining the effect that self driving will have. Health - beyond the obvious effects on the emergency room, what else? Ambulances willl quite clearly be affected. Why would someone wait minutes for one to arrive when they can just hop in an autocar to go the hospital? Or would the entire emergency room itself be on wheels? (…

I remember seeing a concept video ages ago that touch on many the things that self-driving can change(from Audi I think). I always think in a fully self-driving world there would be huge shifts in the real estate market, living further from your workplace/school won't be such a problem if the commute is easy and the time is consistent, but also in a way that is more convenient than public transportation, similar to h…

As a single, twenty something, I would likely buy a luxury self driving RV. It would pick me up wherever I want and I'd fall asleep as it drives into the boonies somewhere.

When I wake up, brush my teeth, shower, it's already outside my office.

After I'm out it goes to a full service cleaning institution, they dump all the tanks, tidy up the space, clean where needed, so I don't have to.

It might also make the trip to the grocery store, and someone would load my groceries into my fridge for me.

And it comes back to me later if I need something, in a shorter time than my commute home would have been.

Re: Self driving cars and beyond

#78
On the Tesla earnings call last week, Elon Musk stated that a software update coming in 3-6 months will allow Tesla cars with Autopilot HW2 to drive fully autonomous. At least on highways.

He's predictions are always late, so it may not be ready in August. But his predictions seem to come thru in end. If he can deliver by the end of the year or even next year, he would still beat all other car manufactures schedules.

Re: Self driving cars and beyond

#79
post #76
post #75

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Does it make sense for them to lease unutilized car time from owners similar to what people do with idle CPUs for crypto mining? I wouldn't want to find a used condom on the floor of my car when it picks me up, or vomit after a night of transporting party goers.

Yeah, I imagine using shared self-driving cars would be as fun as using public toilets.

Lyft cars do not feel like public toilets.

Re: Self driving cars and beyond

#80

It’s great to explore this topic. You can have a lot of fun in picking a random industry and imagining the effect that self driving will have. Health - beyond the obvious effects on the emergency room, what else? Ambulances willl quite clearly be affected. Why would someone wait minutes for one to arrive when they can just hop in an autocar to go the hospital? Or would the entire emergency room itself be on wheels? (…

Assuming "hard" self-driving... Education: more kids "driving" themselves to school. There's an age where a kid could be trusted to walk alone, but not ready to "drive" there. Get in car, car takes kid to school & back. The one thing stopping my kids from going to a preferred school is we can't drive 'em there at that time; give me a trustworthy car and I'll let it take them there. Play: like above, parents will be m…

Similar to "parking in motion" we might even see "housing in motion"
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