An interesting 20/80 rule going on here. The good news is if we can fix whatever issues affect this 1%, we solve 63% of violent crimes. Or maybe I'm naive.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confusion_matrix The challenge is to fix that 1%, without terrorizing the N% who look vaguely similar.
26% of violent crime convicts account for 63% of violent crime conviction (2014)
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Re: 26% of violent crime convicts account for 63% of violent crime conviction (2014)
#32Studies like this are hard, because they're usually labeled 'racist', or it turns into an ad hominem attack on the authors, or struck down in the media for singling out some minority group. I love the wording as it has a focus on the positive; summed up it basically says: we can't help those who we can't identity.
I guess it’s easier in Sweden which is not especially diverse. Also it’s worth noting that these are convictions so will be missing any unreported violence, or that police didn’t follow up on, or that got off on technicalities
Re: 26% of violent crime convicts account for 63% of violent crime conviction (2014)
#33We may like equality but Nature likes the power law.
Re: 26% of violent crime convicts account for 63% of violent crime conviction (2014)
#34Earlier quoted context omitted.
I guess it’s easier in Sweden which is not especially diverse. Also it’s worth noting that these are convictions so will be missing any unreported violence, or that police didn’t follow up on, or that got off on technicalities
Sweden is as diverse as the US, or more so.
Re: 26% of violent crime convicts account for 63% of violent crime conviction (2014)
#35Re: 26% of violent crime convicts account for 63% of violent crime conviction (2014)
#36https://www.theguardian.com/inequality/2017/nov/14/worlds-ri...
Re: 26% of violent crime convicts account for 63% of violent crime conviction (2014)
#37Earlier quoted context omitted.
What does ethnic homogeneity have to do with this?
Studies like these that take place in the USA are labeled racist because they disproportionately include minorities.
When you control for income and wealth, particularly intergeneraltional, racial differences disappear.
Re: 26% of violent crime convicts account for 63% of violent crime conviction (2014)
#38Earlier quoted context omitted.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confusion_matrix The challenge is to fix that 1%, without terrorizing the N% who look vaguely similar.
Yeah. Looking at the data, we could prevent 90% of violent crimes by locking up all men. Somehow, I don't think most people here would go for that.
Re: 26% of violent crime convicts account for 63% of violent crime conviction (2014)
#39Earlier quoted context omitted.
I guess it’s easier in Sweden which is not especially diverse. Also it’s worth noting that these are convictions so will be missing any unreported violence, or that police didn’t follow up on, or that got off on technicalities
Sweden is as diverse as the US, or more so.
Re: 26% of violent crime convicts account for 63% of violent crime conviction (2014)
#40Humans consistently make the same mistake about understand the motivations, the inhibiting and promoting pressures of other people. We assume that everyone else is exactly like us. Therefore, when we build systems and institutions that attempt to alter behavior, we encode our own motivations and desires as the impetus. I.E. why we have UX researchers, do user testing, A/B testing etc when we develop products. Our ins…