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Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

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Re: Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

#61
post #33
post #29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not that hard. Assuming you are storing it in cold storage: 1) Send to GDAX 2) Sell on GDAX 3) Withdraw to Bank

Unfortunately GDAX by default only allows to withdraw $10k per day. It's possible to ask for an increased limit, but reviewing those requests currently seems to take multiple weeks for them.

[deleted]

Re: Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

#62
post #23
post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm very curios: whoever downloaded this comment above, could you please tell us, why do you think it's not true?

I didn’t downvote it, but it’s so obvious as to be unhelpful. Who needs to be reminded that an asset isn’t worth its price until it’s liquidated? It’s self-evident, and yet you have it following every time someone mentions returns on BTC. You have it at least twice here on this thread, in fact.

>but it’s so obvious as to be unhelpful

You'd be surprised at the number of people who would proclaim "I'm rich!" and then the stock market tanks before they sell.

It is obvious, yes, but only if you actually give it a moment of thought. Many people don't.

Re: Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

#63

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Who needs to be reminded that an asset isn’t worth its price until it’s liquidated? Mom & pop class investors who characteristically are the ones left holding the bag when a bubble pops.

Exactly the type of people who read HN then! Wait...

Be honest, the only thing you might know is who you think comments. You know literally nothing about who just reads the site, none of us do.

Re: Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

#64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There was a story on the top of HN recently about an Asian student who came to live in the US and joined a hedge fund out of uni. He successfully predicted a huge windfall for his fund - but for entirely the wrong reasons. He put a lot of effort and research into his analysis of the market and was sure he understood it well enough to bet big. He failed but luck saved him and made a killing. His boss told him not to t…

Link?

https://americanaffairsjournal.org/2017/11/western-elite-chi...

Re: Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

#65

A good look into trader psych is Taleb's "Fooled by Randomness". All of this predates Bitcoin, though I'd argue the open nature of cryptocurrency allows for people with "extraordinarily active imaginations" (let's say) to participate.

There was a story on the top of HN recently about an Asian student who came to live in the US and joined a hedge fund out of uni. He successfully predicted a huge windfall for his fund - but for entirely the wrong reasons. He put a lot of effort and research into his analysis of the market and was sure he understood it well enough to bet big. He failed but luck saved him and made a killing. His boss told him not to t…

The book "What I Learned Losing A Million Dollars" tells the opposite of that story - what happens when you misinterpret luck as talent.

Re: Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

#67
post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I've sold and transferred over $800k of cryptocurrencies to a US bank over the course of 3 days. I could probably have done it faster if I tried. This was through Gemini.

How much did the price change from the first coin you sold to the last?

take a look at any bitcoin price chart and draw out 3 days? if you're thinking that 266k/day dump is going to move the market, it's not.

Re: Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

#68

A good look into trader psych is Taleb's "Fooled by Randomness". All of this predates Bitcoin, though I'd argue the open nature of cryptocurrency allows for people with "extraordinarily active imaginations" (let's say) to participate.

There was a story on the top of HN recently about an Asian student who came to live in the US and joined a hedge fund out of uni. He successfully predicted a huge windfall for his fund - but for entirely the wrong reasons. He put a lot of effort and research into his analysis of the market and was sure he understood it well enough to bet big. He failed but luck saved him and made a killing. His boss told him not to t…

There are no prodigies, only bull and bear markets.

Re: Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

#69
post #33
post #29

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not that hard. Assuming you are storing it in cold storage: 1) Send to GDAX 2) Sell on GDAX 3) Withdraw to Bank

Unfortunately GDAX by default only allows to withdraw $10k per day. It's possible to ask for an increased limit, but reviewing those requests currently seems to take multiple weeks for them.

FWIW, I applied for a $50k/day limit on GDax recently, and it took effect within a couple days.

Re: Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

#70

Bitcoin has gone up 1547% in the last year. Unless you are heavily shorting it, you are making money and it's not necessarily because of talent or great strategy.

If you're also selling it, then yes, you're making money. Otherwise, you are merely holding a speculative investment that you may or may not be able to eventually make money on.

It almost feels like buying a roller coaster ticket.
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