Live data from Hacker News

Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

bloomberg.com

11–20 of 101 posts

Re: Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

#11
So does nearly every habitual gambler.

> “Those are legitimate needs that people have, to figure out if there’s a way to gamble their way to another lifestyle.”

I'm not sure who decides what "needs" are "legitimate" -- but can't they just go to casinos, which have been legalized just about everywhere now?

Also I can't believe that quote, sounds like a parody.

Re: Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

#13
post #10

As they say, past performance is no indication of future potential. This is especially true the shorter the trader's history. Thus, reading one trader's secret of success may as well be like listening to a slot machine player's 3-week winning strategy story. Meanwhile, identifying recurring inefficiencies and working out the details of how to take advantage of those inefficiencies can produce a more reliable income.…

> I have my own crypto strategy, and it's about as simple as surfing. Each new wave (no pun intended, if you know what I mean ;) ) may grow and give you something to ride.

All the way to the scene of the crash.

Re: Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

#14

Bitcoin has gone up 1547% in the last year. Unless you are heavily shorting it, you are making money and it's not necessarily because of talent or great strategy.

If you're also selling it, then yes, you're making money. Otherwise, you are merely holding a speculative investment that you may or may not be able to eventually make money on.

Re: Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

#16
post #4

I’m in a discord chat with about hundred cryptocurrency traders. Reading their insights is great but wow do they put themselves on a crazy ride. I traded for one day only and the mind f$&k is a strong one.

can you link to the discord community? I'm always interested to see community behaviours in action

There's also r/bitcoinmarkets slack... one of the oldest around along with whalepool..

https://signup.bitcoinmarkets.co/

Re: Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

#17
post #9

Day trading crypto is a zero sum game. You can profit if you're able to somewhat predict the madness and stupidity of the market just before the market acts that way.

this is the simplest, most correct understanding. there are some things that drive the price of bitcoin that are more fundamental, like instability of various currencies, and government regulations on btc. but none of those have changed drastically recently. so what is driving the price? hype, and the price itself. i think you should be pretty skeptical any time you made money and youre not sure why.

Re: Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

#19
post #10

As they say, past performance is no indication of future potential. This is especially true the shorter the trader's history. Thus, reading one trader's secret of success may as well be like listening to a slot machine player's 3-week winning strategy story. Meanwhile, identifying recurring inefficiencies and working out the details of how to take advantage of those inefficiencies can produce a more reliable income.…

So far, it seems to me that a level-headed crypto bull would have had an advantage over the average crypto trader. Winning strategy, historically, would be to be biased towards holding Bitcoin, but selling when the price rises start to reach maybe 20% /day, and resisting the urge to buy back in when the price is rebounding a few months after a major bubble burst, choosing instead to start buying when the price has gone down to 20% of the previous top.

One problem is, it's really hard to follow that strategy since most if the time, it'll look like the market is moving against you. A bigger problem is that the strategy assumes Bitcoin will continue to rise in valuation for at least one more bubble. Which is a huge assumption to make.

Re: Bitcoin Traders Claim There’s Method to Their Madness

#20
post #12

Bitcoin has gone up 1547% in the last year. Unless you are heavily shorting it, you are making money and it's not necessarily because of talent or great strategy.

Until you successfully cash out, you’ve made nothing.

I'm very curios: whoever downloaded this comment above, could you please tell us, why do you think it's not true?
Post reply on HN