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Category 5 Hurricane Irma Brings 180-MPH Winds to Bear on Caribbean Islands

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Re: Category 5 Hurricane Irma Brings 180-MPH Winds to Bear on Caribbean Islands

#131

Post by mjcl »

CiPHPerCoder wrote: post #123
orbitur wrote: post #120

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Honest question: You'd be stranded if you left now?

The problem isn't just the hurricane, it's surviving the aftermath. Let's look at the scenarios for evacuating the state. If I leave now (without any vehicle to my name), I'd need to arrange for a car rental. Assuming any vehicles are even available to be driven out of the state, and they'd rent one to someone who is half-blind and doesn't have a driver's license, by the time I got into one, I'd be looking at several…

For what it's worth, I hope you make it through with life, limb and property unscathed.

Re: Category 5 Hurricane Irma Brings 180-MPH Winds to Bear on Caribbean Islands

#132

Post by idlewords »

JshWright wrote: post #100
idlewords wrote: post #52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Cliff Mass (whose blog is really worth following) points out that this is not an abnormal hurricane season by historical standards. There is not a big temperature anomaly in the waters fueling these storms: http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2017/08/global-warming-and-hur... In other words, this is the kind of storm season you can expect to get once in a while even before factoring in the effect of warming seas.

Indeed. It is more or less impossible to say "this storm happened because of climate change". What climate change does is shift the storms/year bell curve slightly to the right.

It's not a bell curve, though.

Re: Category 5 Hurricane Irma Brings 180-MPH Winds to Bear on Caribbean Islands

#133

Post by Sandorie »

I was born and raised in Cuba. I lived through Katrina, Wilma, and many others (while in cuba). For the most part, everytime theres any climate discrepancy the primate part of the brain activates -chaos and disorganization arise- Which is, in part related to the amount of casualties. Key things to do: -keep calm -seek higher ground -gather dry food, and non-perishable food (nuts, dry meat, canned fish, etc) -water -detachment of any material things. (Countless lives have been lost because people refuse to let go of their belongings) -dont wait until the last minute to take action.

In Cuba we didn't have nearly a quarter of the resources available in the U.S. We managed to minimize casualties because we kept our cool and didnt give in into despair.

Re: Category 5 Hurricane Irma Brings 180-MPH Winds to Bear on Caribbean Islands

#134

Post by piceas »

Jazonk wrote: post #85
lugg wrote: post #4

Been watching this for a few days with /r/tropicalweather. Amazing to watch. This site[1] has some really good info and daily videos with the rundown of the latest forecast [1] https://www.tropicaltidbits.com

It's also pretty fascinating to look at the Satellite images. Here you can check out the latest from the hi-res GOES-16. It's insane to see the scale of the hurricane, all told. http://rammb-slider.cira.colostate.edu/

They have a nice loop of Irma's eye.

2017/09/05 - A closeup look at Hurricane Irma's eye via 1-min Band 2

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop_of_the_d...

mp4 link: http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/images/loop_o...

Re: Category 5 Hurricane Irma Brings 180-MPH Winds to Bear on Caribbean Islands

#135

Post by rovr138 »

erobbins wrote: post #67

I have been through 5 hurricanes in south florida, and always stayed put. Wilma was a strong 2/weak 3, and it was no joke. Afterwards there were trees uprooted everywhere, concrete power poles snapped like toothpicks. This storm's winds have 2.5x the energy of Wilma's currently. I would GTFO for this one, it looks really bad.

I’m in Puerto Rico. Came down for Labor Day weekend to visit family. I’m stuck here with my wife and our dog.

At least we have been able to help family out.

Re: Category 5 Hurricane Irma Brings 180-MPH Winds to Bear on Caribbean Islands

#136

Post by rovr138 »

ftxrcc wrote: post #110
singularity2001 wrote: post #31

Earlier quoted context omitted.

chances are you will just be saved : https://earth.nullschool.net/#2017/09/07/0000Z/wind/isobaric...

It was expected to go north today. Unfortunately, all models were wrong and it actually is coming much faster to our direction, and it keeps getting stronger. I'm legitimately scared.

We all are.

I’m in Guaynabo. Not close to the coast, so I didn’t have to evacuate.

Came down for the weekend, stayed because of the hurricane...

Be safe!

Re: Category 5 Hurricane Irma Brings 180-MPH Winds to Bear on Caribbean Islands

#137

Post by rovr138 »

ars wrote: post #13

I remember reading a few days ago that European models were predicting a turn to the north, and US models were predicting a high pressure ridge holding the hurricane to the west. Anyone know more about this? Because if true, it's the second time European models were more correct than American ones. Last time they decided we needed more supercomputing power, and they got it. Did it help?

All I know,

In PR, we where expecting it to shift a bit north. It didn’t.

We are now expecting it to be closer and faster today.

Re: Category 5 Hurricane Irma Brings 180-MPH Winds to Bear on Caribbean Islands

#138

Post by rovr138 »

Sandorie wrote: post #133

I was born and raised in Cuba. I lived through Katrina, Wilma, and many others (while in cuba). For the most part, everytime theres any climate discrepancy the primate part of the brain activates -chaos and disorganization arise- Which is, in part related to the amount of casualties. Key things to do: -keep calm -seek higher ground -gather dry food, and non-perishable food (nuts, dry meat, canned fish, etc) -water -d…

> We managed to minimize casualties because we kept our cool and didnt give in into despair.

It’s been a shit show in Puerto Rico the last couple of days.

Re: Category 5 Hurricane Irma Brings 180-MPH Winds to Bear on Caribbean Islands

#139

Post by rovr138 »

Xoros wrote: post #107

Winds started here in Guadeloupe. The sea is bumpy but not that much. Waiting for the night to come to see that will be. Big thoughts for all those who will be less lucky than us.

You safe? Any updates? How’s it been?

Expecting it here today/tonight (Puerto Rico)

Re: Category 5 Hurricane Irma Brings 180-MPH Winds to Bear on Caribbean Islands

#140

Post by Xoros »

rovr138 wrote: post #139
Xoros wrote: post #107

Winds started here in Guadeloupe. The sea is bumpy but not that much. Waiting for the night to come to see that will be. Big thoughts for all those who will be less lucky than us.

You safe? Any updates? How’s it been? Expecting it here today/tonight (Puerto Rico)

Thank for asking. Guadeloupe Island is now safe, without major damages, but the French northern islands (St Martin and St Barthélémy) have been heavily impacted.

Don't have much news by now, but I saw video feeds that were very concerning.

Stay safe, I wish you the best. And tell us if you're ok tomorrow.

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