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First Human Embryos Edited in U.S

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201–210 of 292 posts

Re: First Human Embryos Edited in U.S

#201
post #45

Earlier quoted context omitted.

100 million paying 10k is much more likely. And 1 trillion is in market value, not revenue. Imagine if you could sell a therapy such as a seasonal cure for "common cancer". Drugs can be insanely profitable and there are already several drug makers in the hundreds of billions of market cap.

"100 million paying 10k is much more likely." 10K is already well within the range people spend on births (currently about $8k including prenatal and postnatal care). Not to mention the cost involved in raising the child to adulthood. :-) You might even be able to charge $50k or $100k, if it actually got to the point of design-to-order (which, granted, would be orders of magnitude more difficult than simply removing…

How much would an insurance company pay to fix high cholesterol, diabetes, cancer etc? I know people spending close $10,000 a year on cholesterol medication. Diabetics' insulin can cost $500 (I don't know how long this lasts), plus the other blood monitoring costs and costs of other complications. Cancer treatment is not cheap but I don't know how to look up the costs.

All of the above costs are mostly covered by insurance, but if you work them out, a $100k treatment can pay off in as little as 10 years.

Of course there is a difference between ensuring someone's kids don't have a condition and fixing it in someone who is already alive. Will parents make this choice even if insurance pays for it?

Re: First Human Embryos Edited in U.S

#202
post #70

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> We’re in no rush to allow any genome editing other than that. china in particular does not have the west's historical scruples wrt genetic editing and eugenics. i think this 'debate' will last about as long as it takes for the first generation of modded chinese children with two or three SDs on the mean to be brought into the world.

I don't think you can make a very strong argument for the "west's historical scruples wrt genetic editing and eugenics" when you look at the prevalence of convenience abortions and the history of eugenics in America.

The west has been very anti-eugenics for over half a century at this point, but I agree it isn't very historical. That being said, there's a big difference between genetic editing and abortions of fetuses with genetic disorders (which is what I assume you mean by "convenience abortions").

A lot of people are scared of GMOs, even if it's just a simple alteration to a plant. I doubt that genetic modification of people will begin in the west without significant outcry and pushback.

Re: First Human Embryos Edited in U.S

#203

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>If we had orders of magnitues more of genius level intellects pushing the boundaries of technology and science, humanity would be better for it. I just don't see where this would be harmful if it works as intended. Because science and technology alone cannot save us from destroying ourselves. Einstein, MLK, Carl Sagan and many others warned of how our scientific progress has been outpacing our human social progress.…

That is partly because most people are not Einstein, MLK, Carl Sagan. If using genetic techniques and most people become as smart and wise as those names the world WILL be a better place, no?

You are confusing intelligence/wisdom with empathy/ethic.

Re: First Human Embryos Edited in U.S

#205

I've seen most of these arguments for and against gene editing before, but the fact of the matter is that it will come down to the economic competitiveness of nations, as always. What concerns me in the long term is that gene editing will cause human genomes to converge to a single gold standard with proven mental and physical benefits, thereby reducing our species' genetic diversity and leaving us more vulnerable to…

From an interview with Geoffrey Miller, an evolutionary psychologist:

"Q: What does that mean in human language? A: Any given couple could potentially have several eggs fertilized in the lab with the dad’s sperm and the mom’s eggs. Then you can test multiple embryos and analyze which one’s going to be the smartest. That kid would belong to that couple as if they had it naturally, but it would be the smartest a couple would be able to produce if they had 100 kids. It’s not genetic engineering or adding new genes, it’s the genes that couples already have.

Q: And over the course of several generations you’re able to exponentially multiply the population’s intelligence. A: Right. Even if it only boosts the average kid by five IQ points, that’s a huge difference in terms of economic productivity, the competitiveness of the country, how many patents they get, how their businesses are run, and how innovative their economy is.

Q: How does Western research in genetics compare to China’s? A: We’re pretty far behind. We have the same technical capabilities, the same statistical capabilities to analyze the data, but they’re collecting the data on a much larger scale and seem to be capable of transforming the scientific findings into government policy and consumer genetic testing much more easily than we are. Technically and scientifically we could be doing this, but we’re not.

Q: Why not? A: We have ideological biases that say, “Well, this could be troubling, we shouldn’t be meddling with nature, we shouldn’t be meddling with God.” I just attended a debate in New York a few weeks ago about whether or not we should outlaw genetic engineering in babies and the audience was pretty split. In China, 95 percent of an audience would say, “Obviously you should make babies genetically healthier, happier, and brighter!” There’s a big cultural difference.

https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/5gw8vn/chinas-taking-over...

Re: First Human Embryos Edited in U.S

#206
post #174

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Will it cause a convergence? Or, a divergence, as we engineer people for specificity? A dedicated military caste, intellectual caste, etc.

This would imply that you had to choose a specialization when the "designed" human could just be best suited for all of those things. Physical and mental perfection.

The Monty Python sketch "Bicycle Repair Man" predicts that unusual variations will be highly valued when a particular "ideal" genotype becomes common.

Re: First Human Embryos Edited in U.S

#207
post #161

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The medical dogma never comes down to do no harm, at least today. The Hippocratic oath is largely symbolic today. The main goal of a physician is to ensure the well being of their patient. This means that they will judge the risks/harm to the benefits and make a judgement, and receive informed consent. Anyway what’s abhorrent about the blastulation method? Furthermore, I don’t think there is a need to only let those…

As one of the earlier male in vitro embryos successfully carried to term in the US, I'll claim a unique perspective on the scientific creation of life. As a living, thinking human, I am grateful for everything that was done so that I may live. If the fertility lab had mixed chemicals differently, or deleted a propensity towards colon cancer, or changed my hair color, there's no way in hell I would have mourned my "un…

> So can we please stop with the deification of the default and get on with progress?

Well said! I fear, though, that a problem with this admonition is that some ascribe the default state to a deity.

However, I'm not sure that the characteristics you mentioned are of the same quality.

Hair color, gender, and other traits are neutral in quality - especially if there's risk in the procedure, it would seem wrong to select these superficial changes to fit the parents' preference. And while it would be nice to look into the future and determine what the human being created would prefer, we can't do that.

A propensity towards colon cancer or a propensity towards drug addiction being added or removed would be another class of traits, having a quality based on removing observed defects. I imagine this class is the most likely to be experimented with first.

The third class would be traits which are relative to baseline humans. Increasing intelligence, perhaps, would be the change that could most universally be described as an unalloyed positive change. What hypothetical future human would mourn their unborn mirror self and wish they were less intelligent? Perhaps the acuity of their vision and other senses would also be desirable. You might also consider changing aspects such as their respiratory or cardiovascular capacity - some humans like Chris Froome or Michael Phelps are extraordinary examples of not just training but innate talent, and wouldn't it be nice if we went beyond reducing the risk of heart disease to make everyone innately talented at breathing? And then you get into issues like whether or not to make them stronger (who's healthier, Froome or Phelps?), or taller, or more good looking (who decides what that looks like?).

It would be great if we could help our kids be healthier. And I (and most people) would like it if my parents had made me smarter. But the technology opens the door to dangerous possibilities.

Re: First Human Embryos Edited in U.S

#208

I've seen most of these arguments for and against gene editing before, but the fact of the matter is that it will come down to the economic competitiveness of nations, as always. What concerns me in the long term is that gene editing will cause human genomes to converge to a single gold standard with proven mental and physical benefits, thereby reducing our species' genetic diversity and leaving us more vulnerable to…

From an interview with Geoffrey Miller, an evolutionary psychologist: "Q: What does that mean in human language? A: Any given couple could potentially have several eggs fertilized in the lab with the dad’s sperm and the mom’s eggs. Then you can test multiple embryos and analyze which one’s going to be the smartest. That kid would belong to that couple as if they had it naturally, but it would be the smartest a couple…

" Q: Could it develop into something more sinister?

A: That same research does open up the door potentially to genetic engineering in the future. But that would take a lot longer to make practical.

===

Q: When do you think the embryo analysis might be implemented on a large scale?

A: Actual use of the technology to do embryo screening might take five to ten years, but it could be just a few years. It depends on how motivated they are.

......"

Re: First Human Embryos Edited in U.S

#209
post #164

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The medical dogma never comes down to do no harm, at least today. The Hippocratic oath is largely symbolic today. The main goal of a physician is to ensure the well being of their patient. This means that they will judge the risks/harm to the benefits and make a judgement, and receive informed consent. Anyway what’s abhorrent about the blastulation method? Furthermore, I don’t think there is a need to only let those…

> This means that they will judge the risks/harm to the benefits and make a judgement, and receive informed consent. We should remember that it's not just the individual whose genome is edited that may be harmed, but all of their descendants. > And can’t you just sequence or test one of the cells from the morula stage? This isn't sufficient. It has been observed (in mice) that editing the germline by directly editing…

> It has been observed (in mice) that editing the germline by directly editing the embryo will result in chimerism in the fetus.

This is an implementation detail to be overcome, not a problem with the general concept. And this study seems to have overcome it.

> The earlier Chinese publications, although limited in scope, found CRISPR caused editing errors and that the desired DNA changes were taken up not by all the cells of an embryo, only some. That effect, called mosaicism, lent weight to arguments that germline editing would be an unsafe way to create a person.

> But Mitalipov and his colleagues are said to have convincingly shown that it is possible to avoid both mosaicism and “off-target” effects, as the CRISPR errors are known.

Re: First Human Embryos Edited in U.S

#210
post #174

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This would imply that you had to choose a specialization when the "designed" human could just be best suited for all of those things. Physical and mental perfection.

I think divergence is more likely, simply because of tradeoffs required. For example, physical strength and mental capabilities compete with each other for energy.

Excess dietary energy is more of a problem than a limitation at the moment, especially amongst groups that can afford genetic engineering.

Perhaps the first changes would be to our dietary track to absorb more energy, so we can change more things!

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