Live data from Hacker News

Tesla’s big battery in South Australia may prove the viability of renewables

theguardian.com

121–130 of 172 posts

Re: Tesla’s big battery in South Australia may prove the viability of renewables

#121
post #39

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Batteries are used in lieu of pumped energy storage for several purposes: - emergency use: it's much faster than even the fastest pump sets which can switch over in seconds - load smoothing to avoid spooling up/down expensive peakers too much - daily energy arbitrage by downstream / middle consumers to buy off peak and use at peak in time-of-use billed electrical services - store solar energy for night use 129 MWh is…

The other advantage of substation level energy storage is in not having to upgrade the feed circuits. Design for average consumption not peak. Storage and renewables make the edges of the network resilient.

UK Power networks recently completed a 2 year trial of a 6MW/10MWh battery system which was installed as an alternative to adding a 3rd circuit to meet future peak demand of a town. At the end of the trial they produced a projected business case for future deployments of:

Conventional reinforcement (another circuit): £5.1M

Future Net Method Cost (battery): £1.6M

This data is from figure 8 of "SNS Close down report v1.0". This report and other information about the trial can be found at:

http://innovation.ukpowernetworks.co.uk/innovation/en/Projec...

Re: Tesla’s big battery in South Australia may prove the viability of renewables

#122

So basically we are transitioning from a fossil energy based world to lithium based one. Why does media never talk about the sustainability of build lithium ion batteries at large scale? Have the recycling problem been sorted out (I have a couple of lithium ion batteries and I don't know what to do about them) I also heard that lithium is very very scarce on Earth.

What are you a denier? Once we have consensus that means we shut off debate and stop doing economic analysis. Get with the program buddy.

Not a denier. Global warming is a fact regardless of what is causing it. Phasing out fossil fuels is a first step for more innovation in how we produce and consume energy.

Re: Tesla’s big battery in South Australia may prove the viability of renewables

#123

Can anyone comment more generally on using lithium ion batteries for grid scale storage? It seems nonsensical to me. Lithium makes sense for cars where power density is essential. But with grid scale storage, there are so many drawbacks, including 1.) High fixed cost vs. other batteries 2.) Degradation from dendrite growth 3.) Need for constant cooling 4.) Possibility of catastrophic failure in case of short circuiti…

Pretty sure they have good reasons, wikipedia lists low energy density / high areal costs and the need to be fully discharged.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zinc–bromine_battery

Re: Tesla’s big battery in South Australia may prove the viability of renewables

#124

So basically we are transitioning from a fossil energy based world to lithium based one. Why does media never talk about the sustainability of build lithium ion batteries at large scale? Have the recycling problem been sorted out (I have a couple of lithium ion batteries and I don't know what to do about them) I also heard that lithium is very very scarce on Earth.

It's not talked about in "the media" (at least not front page stuff) because it is not a huge problem. While "scarce" is relative, global demand until the year 2100 is estimated to be between 12 and 20 million tons, while currently known reserves are about 39 million tons. So we should be good for at least 80 years. Recycling is also a solved problem, though we'll have to build a few more factories to keep up with the increased amount.

Note that eventually, graphene based energy storage may take over anyway. Or possibly someone will invent proper hydrogen storage.

Finally, you could easily have found multiple studies by respected universities about the estimated amount of lithium on Earth, about the feasability of large scale recycling of Li-ion batteries and about transitioning into a lithium-based economy. If you are willing to take advice, reading up first before become alarmed and posting concerned comments will help a lot for your peace of mind.

Re: Tesla’s big battery in South Australia may prove the viability of renewables

#125
post #94
post #37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Failure to act on climate change has a game-theoretic cost. Taking unilateral action massively improves your negotiating position and reduces the cost for other countries to reduce their emissions via economies of scale Thanks - I wasn't aware of that. Are there any books / articles that go into this in more detail and might be accessible to someone with a decent math + comp sci education but no knowledge of game t…

I'm also appreciating the same as you quoted above. But I keep defaulting to a painfully pessimistic imagination that is the costs are collectively going to be so moot so much sooner than any expectation, due to unforseen extreme results. Am I going through a depression or something manic, maybe, because I don't believe we're not all suppressing contemplation of the outlier worse consequences of climate instability a…

Personally I have found reading both history and philosophy is helpful - not in "solving the problem" but being able to manage emotion and anxiety about climate change. I think learning about previous periods of large-scale ecological change or collapse of civilisations helps to normalise the possible/likely/inevitable upcoming events intellectually. Philosophy helps to figure out a workable emotional response. I think there is some value in stoic philosophy that can be applied in daily living, particularly in terms of managing responses to loss (e.g. loss of one's health, or one's material possessions, or loved one's, or perhaps one's society)

There's also this - Roy Scranton's "Learning How to Die in the Anthropocene":

https://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/11/10/learning-ho...

> The biggest problem climate change poses isn’t how the Department of Defense should plan for resource wars, or how we should put up sea walls to protect Alphabet City, or when we should evacuate Hoboken. It won’t be addressed by buying a Prius, signing a treaty, or turning off the air-conditioning. The biggest problem we face is a philosophical one: understanding that this civilization is already dead. The sooner we confront this problem, and the sooner we realize there’s nothing we can do to save ourselves, the sooner we can get down to the hard work of adapting, with mortal humility, to our new reality.

i am not sure if you will find any of this helpful but i hope that you can find some peace with time

Re: Tesla’s big battery in South Australia may prove the viability of renewables

#126

Hawaii and HECO are worth watching closely in the real world of energy and modern grids. http://www.utilitydive.com/news/hawaiian-electric-proposes-n... There is a great deal going on in the energy world right now around storage of electricity, I think it's a shame opEd websites such as the Guardian feature and focus on Musk, a single entrepreneur and his companies, over the broader advances that are unfolding...

Hawaii gets 85% of its electricity burning imported oil.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_in_Hawaii

If solar is cost effective then Hawaii should be an easy place to build it?

Re: Tesla’s big battery in South Australia may prove the viability of renewables

#127
post #52
post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is true, but I'd note this quite from the article: Nyhan showed a clear tendency for people with high numeracy skills to misread graphs about gun control or climate change, even when they’d just correctly read the same graph about soap. To address you specific point though - the price is less than A$150M/$US115M[1]. By comparison, the SA government is also building a new 250MW gas fired power station which costs…

How much is the price for kwh stored/dispatched , over the long term ? that's the missing data here. And btw: i don't know the economics of this project, but in general, if this was cost effective, Musk would have tons of customers(including power companies), to supply power during peak hours and save them a lot of money.

How much is the price for kwh stored/dispatched , over the long term ? that's the missing data here.

Oh, I didn't realize that was what you meant.

That data isn't really missing, it's unknown because it will be sold at market prices. Obviously the behavior of electricity prices is fairly complex, but for batteries I'd imagine it would make sense to dispatch at any point where the price received is higher than the price paid during charge (perhaps with a risk factor? A little unclear about the behavior regarding expected future prices).

SA historical market prices are available at[1] or per year at[2]. There is a large report on them available at [3].

To summarize, SA wholesale prices average A$123/MWh (US$93/MWH) last year. By comparison, according to [4], wholesale rates in California are around $US30/MWh.

I believe the smaller Tesla battery install in CA is known to be price competitive. I haven't tried looking for the numbers for that though. Either way, it's difficult to imagine that if it is price competitive in CA it won't be even more competitive in SA.

[1] https://www.aemo.com.au/Electricity/National-Electricity-Mar...

[2] https://www.aer.gov.au/wholesale-markets/wholesale-statistic...

[3] http://www.aemo.com.au/-/media/Files/Electricity/NEM/Plannin...

[4] https://www.eia.gov/electricity/wholesale/

Re: Tesla’s big battery in South Australia may prove the viability of renewables

#128

Can anyone comment more generally on using lithium ion batteries for grid scale storage? It seems nonsensical to me. Lithium makes sense for cars where power density is essential. But with grid scale storage, there are so many drawbacks, including 1.) High fixed cost vs. other batteries 2.) Degradation from dendrite growth 3.) Need for constant cooling 4.) Possibility of catastrophic failure in case of short circuiti…

They aren't trying to solve the problem of 'doing it the best way'.

They're trying to solve the problem of 'what else can we do with these high performance batteries'. So they have some where else to put overproduction, have more buying power of raw resources due to scale, more research dollars to put into li-ion batteries responsibly, or they already have the well made hammer of li-ion batteries so everything is a nail.

Re: Tesla’s big battery in South Australia may prove the viability of renewables

#129
post #124

So basically we are transitioning from a fossil energy based world to lithium based one. Why does media never talk about the sustainability of build lithium ion batteries at large scale? Have the recycling problem been sorted out (I have a couple of lithium ion batteries and I don't know what to do about them) I also heard that lithium is very very scarce on Earth.

It's not talked about in "the media" (at least not front page stuff) because it is not a huge problem. While "scarce" is relative, global demand until the year 2100 is estimated to be between 12 and 20 million tons, while currently known reserves are about 39 million tons. So we should be good for at least 80 years. Recycling is also a solved problem, though we'll have to build a few more factories to keep up with th…

What crystal ball are they using to predict the future out for 80 years? Are they making the assumption that there will be no technological paradigm shifts and demand growth will continue along current levels? Do they factor in the effects of climate change and global instability?

If you use an estimate of demand to justify increasing demand, you immediately, tautologically invalidate the estimate: the estimate did not account for your policy decisions based on itself.

Re: Tesla’s big battery in South Australia may prove the viability of renewables

#130

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What are you a denier? Once we have consensus that means we shut off debate and stop doing economic analysis. Get with the program buddy.

Not a denier. Global warming is a fact regardless of what is causing it. Phasing out fossil fuels is a first step for more innovation in how we produce and consume energy.

Sorry, I was just making fun of the tendency for commercially interested parties to push their products as energy solutions while not asking the kinds of questions that you are.
Post reply on HN