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Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

nytimes.com

111–119 of 119 posts

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#111
post #52

goldman's asset management arm bought the bonds for client portfolios- not goldman itself. I don't see any controversy here.

I agree with you, but also your comment made me think about the absurdity of how most people perceive banking. I.e. "if a bank does it to be profitable, it's bad; but if somebody else does it, it's OK".

also, how would GSAM look if they didn't let their clients buy this? they may lose those clients and their own reputation.

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#112
post #92

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The latter is what happens on an unstable government that thinks its going down. Poeple scramble to get the last piece and get out. IT might not happen with this, but it might and being south american, its likely.

This might happen, if the government can issue the debt immediately. That's highly unlikely in an unstable situation like in Venezuela. I couldn't find anything in the article, but I bet the debt was issued way before the unrest began. If there was any embezlement, it had to be way earlier.

The article mentions that the sellers were a government group, and the payment got to government accounts, if i read correctly.

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#113

It looks like Goldman Sachs is betting that Venezuela will sort it self out by 2022, and getting a good discount. I'm not sure how that is “making a quick buck off the suffering of the Venezuelan people”, or how the people would benefit if nobody buys the bonds.

> It looks like Goldman Sachs is betting that Venezuela will sort it self out by 2022

Or GS thinks they will have more favorable government in power in venezuela who will pay their bonds in full.

Looks like GS, CIA, Trump, etc are lining up to overthrow the venezuelan regime in the next few years.

> I'm not sure how that is “making a quick buck off the suffering of the Venezuelan people”

Forcing a nation to pay 100% on bonds that are worth shit is how you make a quick buck off the suffering of the people.

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#114

Goldman bought a lot of Greece debt that it knew wasn't great and made tons: https://www.thenation.com/article/goldmans-greek-gambit/ Goldman Sachs was also very involved in selling subprime mortages to unwitting investors. Goldman Sach has had to deal with lawsuits that it wasn't acting in its clients' best interests: http://articles.latimes.com/2010/may/16/business/la-fi-hiltz... If Goldman Sachs is involved, you a…

Don't forget Puerto Rico. GS and a lot of hedge funds linked to GS "encouraged" PR to take on a ton of debt...

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#115
post #88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm sorry, what? Most legal system recognize default as a breach of contract. Also, contracts are between at least two parties. Which of these parties don't you consider being a part of society?

Most legal systems have procedures in place for when debt cannot be repaid. That is why I take issue with the statement that it 'must' be repaid. "Which of these parties don't you consider being a part of society?" - This is a strawman. Both are part of society, but the contract between them may do more harm than good in total. And blindly holding contracts sacred quickly leads to bad outcomes (non-competes, EULAs, s…

This is the same as taking issue with the statement "one mustn't steal" because there are mechanisms for dealing with theft.

Man, the straw man fallacy on HN is like the proverbial hammer... You are talking about externalities of private contracts. Thing is, this also is subject to specific legal regulations in most Western countries. It is not subject to whichever moral judgement you are trying to fit in here.

Construction, industrial emissions, things like that are when the state can limit the civil rights of contract parties. Buying and selling bonds is generally considered not to have externalities that endanger the common good.

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#116
post #108
post #105

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Venezuela cannot print USD and needs USD to pay coupons/principal.

I may be missing something. They make USD by selling bonds, as long as they make more USD then the scheme has running cost they can increase the amount of USD they have right now by selling more bonds below value, leaving any future government in dept.

Venezuela cannot produce USD dollars out of thin air. If their monetary regime allows it, they may print Venezuelan bolivar at the cost of raising inflation in the country.

When we say "Venezuela issues a 2.8 billion USD bond" that means that the central bank sells new bonds denominated in USD on the international market (most likely an auction among bank players in London or NY).

What had happened here is that they did that and then unbeknownst to them one banker sold their bonds to another banker. The act of reselling that debt on the secondary market does not magically increase that debt. It just changes whom you have to repay it to.

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#117
post #80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What stops Maduro from issuing a bond for $1000 and selling it for $100? After all he knows he'll be dead or in Switzerland when the bond matures. He just cares about the $100 now.

What's the difference between issuing a bond by Maduro and selling it?

When he issues a bond, he takes a piece of paper (perhaps not literally...) and stamps "Venezuela will pay bearer $1000 on 1 January 2025" (or whatever) on it. When he sells it, he gives the piece of paper to someone else and in return they give him money, theoretically the present value of the bond. The discount between the two amounts is mostly an indication of Venezuela's creditworthiness, but of course a portion of the difference is just a reflection of the discount rate for assets to be delivered in future. This is exactly the same as when any other entity issues a bond.

Re: Goldman Buys $2.8B Worth of Venezuelan Bonds, and an Uproar Begins

#118
I've been reading a lot on the deal (I'm Venezuelan, so yes, I'm pretty concerned) and I am trying to find out how exactly is Dinousaur Group (the original lender) tied to the Venezuelan government. Because the only way that the Maduro regime can actually obtain more money than the 2.8 billion it first got in 2014 is for it to be tied in some way to Dinosaur Group and get the GS deal money from them, correct?
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