Earlier quoted context omitted.
On the flip side, your chances of ever getting past 200k/year (or equivalent) are much better with a degree... if you accept that you aren't likely to hit the top 5-10% of income earners, then most people are not better off with the college experience.
Your point stands, but FYI - you're way off on your numbers. $100k would put you in the top 5% of individuals. $200k would put you in the top 3% of households.
My advice to people today, is go to the cheapest school you can, local community college is probably the best option, unless you're going to a top tier school, and have plenty of funding for it without student loans.