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Your yearly dose of is-the-universe-a-simulation

scottaaronson.com

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Re: Your yearly dose of is-the-universe-a-simulation

#61
post #38

Here's what I wrote in a comment here last year about the Bostrom simulation argument specifically: The simulation argument, going back to Bostrom, relies on two flaws. 1) It leverages our optimism to corrupt our understanding of statistics and logic. It essentially says that if you think humanity doesn't destroy itself, then our descendants will probably try to simulate us. But of course if you just take a statistic…

Why does it need to be a complete simulation? At the extreme, it could be a simulation in which you alone are the only conscious entity. Nothing outside your immediate proximity is simulated.

I just would like to know how this game is scored and how many lifes I have left...

Re: Your yearly dose of is-the-universe-a-simulation

#62

Here's what I wrote in a comment here last year about the Bostrom simulation argument specifically: The simulation argument, going back to Bostrom, relies on two flaws. 1) It leverages our optimism to corrupt our understanding of statistics and logic. It essentially says that if you think humanity doesn't destroy itself, then our descendants will probably try to simulate us. But of course if you just take a statistic…

The thing I always found perplexing about the idea of an ancestral simulation is - how do you initialize that? E.g. suppose we are in the year 3,000 and we have super advanced computers and I'd like to simulate the year 2017. How do I lay out all the humans/their brains/animals/trees/rocks/etc, without access to the snapshot of the state? And some attempts at patching this, e.g. by simulating physics backwards from a…

[deleted]

Re: Your yearly dose of is-the-universe-a-simulation

#63

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I can answer the "why" question. Provided, our descendants will be able to empathize with their ancestors (rather big "if"), they can use the simulation to reverse the death and resurrect every person who ever lived. As for verifying the accuracy of the simulation, you only need information about the initial state of the universe (think CMB radiation) and partial information about past states of the universe to repro…

You're using words like "only", "partial" and "a selected region" but you're still talking about staggering amounts of information, on any humanly achievable scale. A single human body contains on the order of 10^27 atoms. If you just wanted to record the state of someone's mind, with sufficient fidelity to be worthy of the term "resurrection", you could probably get away with a coarser granularity. But you're talkin…

None of the above needs to happen overnight. Who knows what humanity will be capable of in 1000 years?

Furthermore, in a strict sense my question would be 'Is it possible to extract additional information with any degree of certainty about the past state of some region of the universe, using simulation algorithms and partial information about past states of this region?'

This assumption doesn't need to go to the atomic level on the first try. If you can replicate distribution of mass on the scale of galaxy clusters as compared to the present day using the above approach, it would certainly prompt further research in this area.

Re: Your yearly dose of is-the-universe-a-simulation

#65

Here's what I wrote in a comment here last year about the Bostrom simulation argument specifically: The simulation argument, going back to Bostrom, relies on two flaws. 1) It leverages our optimism to corrupt our understanding of statistics and logic. It essentially says that if you think humanity doesn't destroy itself, then our descendants will probably try to simulate us. But of course if you just take a statistic…

The thing I always found perplexing about the idea of an ancestral simulation is - how do you initialize that? E.g. suppose we are in the year 3,000 and we have super advanced computers and I'd like to simulate the year 2017. How do I lay out all the humans/their brains/animals/trees/rocks/etc, without access to the snapshot of the state? And some attempts at patching this, e.g. by simulating physics backwards from a…

It doesn't have to be historically accurate. Just believable by the simulated.

Re: Your yearly dose of is-the-universe-a-simulation

#66
Can someone explain the first bit of the last sentence?

> if our world is a simulation, then whoever is simulating it seems to have a clear preference for the 2-norm over the 1-norm

Is it basically saying that space looks Euclidean at a range of scales and Pythagoras crops up everywhere or is it saying something else / more sophisticated? What would the Universe look like if its creator favored a 1-norm?

Re: Your yearly dose of is-the-universe-a-simulation

#67

Here's what I wrote in a comment here last year about the Bostrom simulation argument specifically: The simulation argument, going back to Bostrom, relies on two flaws. 1) It leverages our optimism to corrupt our understanding of statistics and logic. It essentially says that if you think humanity doesn't destroy itself, then our descendants will probably try to simulate us. But of course if you just take a statistic…

The thing I always found perplexing about the idea of an ancestral simulation is - how do you initialize that? E.g. suppose we are in the year 3,000 and we have super advanced computers and I'd like to simulate the year 2017. How do I lay out all the humans/their brains/animals/trees/rocks/etc, without access to the snapshot of the state? And some attempts at patching this, e.g. by simulating physics backwards from a…

1) you start from Big Bang and go forward.

2) you can at any state check the difference between the simulated state and historical record

3) if your simulation converges, that is the closer to present day, the less the uncertainty, then you are on a right track.

4) if you simulation diverges you go to step 1 and tweak the initial conditions

5) you don't run a single simulation - you run many in parallel and select the best match at each step.

Re: Your yearly dose of is-the-universe-a-simulation

#68
post #28

But couldn't our universe be being simulated by a species far more advanced and discrete to anything the human race has ever encountered? How do we know that another form of life doesn't find everything that we find super complex extremely trivial ?

It could be the case that we are being simulated by a far superior alien species. It could also be that invisible pink unicorns in the 15th dimension control all of our thoughts and only want us to believe this. Without being tongue in cheek, I'll observe that the empirical evidence for both of these ideas is equal in quantity. We don't know for sure that these things aren't true. But to ask that question is to inapp…

There are many questions in life that are interesting to consider, independent of whether they're falsifiable. It tends to get boring to consider only questions that can be experimentally proven, though different people have different interests.

Questions about society and human nature are worth considering, for example, but it's difficult to do controlled experiments.

There's some truth to "watch out for wishful thinking," but usually conversations about the actual topic are more interesting.

Re: Your yearly dose of is-the-universe-a-simulation

#69
post #55
post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your first sentence is precisely Bostrom's argument, which is pretty much the canonical argument for the simulation hypothesis.

And thus we open the door again for Intelligent Design. If we live in a simulation, then we could be the creation of an intelligent and powerful designer.

The point about unfalsifiability is still valid. Even if we can simulate sentient life we still can't prove we ourselves are simulated or not.

Re: Your yearly dose of is-the-universe-a-simulation

#70

But couldn't our universe be being simulated by a species far more advanced and discrete to anything the human race has ever encountered? How do we know that another form of life doesn't find everything that we find super complex extremely trivial ?

The trouble is that your view requires both an imagination, and humility.
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