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Massive permafrost thaw documented in Canada, portending huge carbon release

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Re: Massive permafrost thaw documented in Canada, portending huge carbon release

#121
post #110

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Bacteria-ulcers weren't proven by people who really really really wanted them to be true, they were proven by a doctor, using (fairly unconventional) scientific methods. If you've got compelling historical sources for holocaust denial or compelling scientific evidence against climate change, let's see it.

or compelling scientific evidence against climate change Oh please. No one would even try in this political climate. As you said "don't believe in climate change? you are a nazi".

Nice try. Scientific evidence, please?

Re: Massive permafrost thaw documented in Canada, portending huge carbon release

#122

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's also possible to reduce the use of carbon based fuels. We know how to do that.

Currently to do it properly it's by killing poor people.

Solar, wind and nuclear kill poor people?

Re: Massive permafrost thaw documented in Canada, portending huge carbon release

#123
post #56
post #43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The feedback loop peaks out at a global temperature increase of 5-8 degrees celsius, if the models and past events are to be believed: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paleocene–Eocene_Thermal_Maxim...

Remember the sun wasn't so bright then either.

If you're talking about when all the coal was buried, that was about 350 million years ago in the Carboniferous Period (so named because that's when the plant matter that became our coal was laid down). And yeah, it does appear the Sun was about 2-3% less intense, corresponding to roughly 2-3 degrees Celsius in the case of a blackbody at equilibrium in space. http://phenomena.nationalgeographic.com/files/2013/01/sun-gr...

Re: Massive permafrost thaw documented in Canada, portending huge carbon release

#124
post #43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The feedback loop peaks out at a global temperature increase of 5-8 degrees celsius, if the models and past events are to be believed: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Paleocene–Eocene_Thermal_Maxim...

There is a lot of ignorance regarding what 5-8 degree warming means. The worst case scenario (and that is the only one we should be concerned with!) is a global mass extinction event. We've already had 5 of them - one of which was due to runaway greenhouse warming - https://cosmosmagazine.com/palaeontology/big-five-extinction... We cannot be sure we'll stop at 5 degrees or 8 degrees. After that we will have a mass ex…

How would every last human die? I mean, sure, millions or even billions . . . but not one human surviving with all the resources and resourcefulness we have at our disposal?

Re: Massive permafrost thaw documented in Canada, portending huge carbon release

#125
post #41

Geo-engineering projects could not come too soon. Because of how grand they are in scale, they don't seem to get much attention from the mainstream scientific community, but it seems feasible technologically (albeit expensive) to put forth major projects to reflect sunlight over deserts and capture significant amounts of carbon from power plants and oceans, amongst numerous other creative approaches. https://en.wikip…

> Geo-engineering projects could not > come too soon And also, treating climate-change deniers like a cross between holocaust deniers and flat-earthers can't come soon enough.

So about 50% of US citizens you would treat like holocaust deniers/flat-earthers?

http://www.pewinternet.org/2016/10/04/public-views-on-climat...

Re: Massive permafrost thaw documented in Canada, portending huge carbon release

#126
post #81
post #67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why would civilization be over? The sea rise wouldn't happen over night and people would move or build walls.

We already have tremendous political instability in the US and Europe right now caused in part by a not-so-great-but-not-devastating economy and the Syrian refugee crisis. Imagine a worldwide crisis with tens or hundreds of millions of people losing their homes and livelihood, how is that going to play out?

40% of global population lives in coastal areas of lesser elevation than 50m.[1] That is more like 3 billion people. Syrian refugee crisis seems quite insignificant in comparison. Of course, only one of those is currently underway, and we don't really know how fast sea levels will rise.

[1] http://www.un.org/esa/sustdev/natlinfo/indicators/methodolog...

Re: Massive permafrost thaw documented in Canada, portending huge carbon release

#127
post #59
post #52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Isn't a 5 - 8 degree rise catastrophic though? Genuine question.

Depends on what you consider catastrophic. 5-8C means you lose both the Greenland and Antarctic ice caps, so you get 60m (200 ft) sea-level rise, so you totally lose all the coastal cities, and the current round of civilization is almost certainly done for. But homo sapiens will probably survive, and so civilization will probably eventually be rebuilt. It won't be the end of life on earth under any circumstances. Act…

> Actually, the biggest danger is that political instability brought on by climate change will lead to nuclear war

Can you please elaborate on this point?

Re: Massive permafrost thaw documented in Canada, portending huge carbon release

#129

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is a lot of ignorance regarding what 5-8 degree warming means. The worst case scenario (and that is the only one we should be concerned with!) is a global mass extinction event. We've already had 5 of them - one of which was due to runaway greenhouse warming - https://cosmosmagazine.com/palaeontology/big-five-extinction... We cannot be sure we'll stop at 5 degrees or 8 degrees. After that we will have a mass ex…

How would every last human die? I mean, sure, millions or even billions . . . but not one human surviving with all the resources and resourcefulness we have at our disposal?

Oxygen and nutrition; we can't even get self-sustaining bio domes working now, despite decades of attempts.

We could solve the problem, sure, but it's a race against time while society is crumbling, in this scenario.

Re: Massive permafrost thaw documented in Canada, portending huge carbon release

#130
post #125

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Geo-engineering projects could not > come too soon And also, treating climate-change deniers like a cross between holocaust deniers and flat-earthers can't come soon enough.

So about 50% of US citizens you would treat like holocaust deniers/flat-earthers? http://www.pewinternet.org/2016/10/04/public-views-on-climat...

Yes, absolutely.
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