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Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

berkshirehathaway.com

281–290 of 324 posts

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#281

Earlier quoted context omitted.

But aren't you still doing that today? I believe that somewhere in your country, someone wants a big pipe on some land, but the people living there don't want it, yet they force it anyway.

That "someone" is really every American who enjoys cheap energy and, by extension, cheap food, transportation, etc. whether they know it or not.

Don't generalize. I'd much rather gas prices stay high and the environment not get spoiled so alternative energy sources can compete fairly.

Besides there cost / benefit of the pipeline only really makes sense to those who profit from it directly.

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#282
that is assuming the stock market doesn't crash. if you bought an index fund in 1928 you would still be broke AF in 1935 and wouldn't get your money back until the 50s.

buffett profited off the housing bubble and should not be trusted. he owned huge stakes in the ratings agencies that were giving AAA+ ratings to these awful mortgage products, even as publically he was decrying the financial products involved as 'mass destruction' he was making money on it.

he is doing the same with his stock market push. if a million people listen to him and go buy stocks, what do you think happens to his index funds? They go up of course.

absolutely hilarious and sad to watch people worship this guy. if his secret is really to buy index funds, then why do people listen to his speeches and newsletters? you could just go buy index funds and be done with it.

like every other con artist, his genius is to get people to buy in to his story.

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#283
post #18
post #5

The transparency and humble tone is pretty unique. "Unfortunately, I followed the GEICO purchase by foolishly using Berkshire stock" " It was, nevertheless, a terrible mistake on my part" "Despite that cautious approach, I made one particularly egregious error" I bet you don't find that sort of thing in many other annual shareholder letters.

Warren Buffett is an expert salesperson, and this tone is the exquisitely crafted product of 70 years of salesmanship. Buffett has worked tirelessly to build his public image, and his "aw-shucks" act is a critical part of that. His image of a down-to-earth person with unquestionable integrity* has enabled him to lock down investment deals under the most favorable possible terms. *) read one of his biographies to see…

he's just a simple cave man billionaire.

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#284
post #253

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Actually having a giant amount of money to throw at a hedge fund is counterproductive. In order to invest all that money, a greater number of investments will need to be made. And the more investments one makes, the more likely it is for them to revert to the mean, performance-wise. It's a simplification, but if a hedge fund manager finds a fantastic investment for $100mn, but they have $100bn to invest, they have to…

Yes I'm aware of that, but it doesn't change the reality that hedge funds have an incentive to have more money from fewer investors, even if they have to be careful not to take on too much money overall.

Absolutely. Reduce the number of friction points.

"Managing money is easy. Managing investors is hard."

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#285

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> for economic understanding it's important to note that these were not the major drivers of growth. Two hundred years of slavery was not a major driver of economic growth? Edit: Serious question, rephrased: do economic historians really not consider slavery a major driver of growth? If so, that would be highly counterintuitive. We're talking about the free labor of ~10 million people over two centuries, in an econom…

Slaves were expensive, not free (not to say they werent a contributing factor)

Expensive compared to what? Since this idea is a little counter-intuitive, can you suggest a search or link?

From this [0] I can only conclude that owners were paying for value and the price did go up over time, as did the price of cotton, but it looks like it was a good deal.

[0] https://www.measuringworth.com/slavery.php

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#286
post #92

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, it isn't that America doesn't deserve its riches, it's that just about every current national government doesn't deserve its riches. The working class is as globally exploited as its ever been. edit: Yo guys I'm not saying we need to give it all back. History is stained in blood.

The working class is living better than at any other time in history. Without progress they'd all be working fields, with little to no leisure time, with little in the way of education, entertainment and the arts. They'd be worried about famines and diseases that have long been brought under control. Life back then was short, nasty and brutish. If the population continued to grow with corresponding progress, we'd be…

> The working class is living better than at any other time in history

On the larger scale of history, yes. I don't think working class people are necessarily doing better than a few decades ago, when they had stronger unions and more power, and before wages stopped rising (which seems likely related to the loss of power).

But an important note, and I don't mean to pick on the parent. In these discussions, the working class is almost always described as "they" and not "we". What do we really know? Input from people with real experience is necessary.

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#287

Earlier quoted context omitted.

they all represent a net gain for Americans from the barren lands, primitive structures and meager output of 1776. Starting from scratch, America has amassed wealth totaling $90 trillion. This was a gain that was achieved not by starting from scratch but by stealing lands from indigenous people and forcing Africans to work that land. I'm not sure if you can describe the kidnapping, murder, rape and ultimately genocid…

> This was a gain that was achieved not by starting from scratch but by stealing lands from indigenous people Seeing as how you are saying that the growth of America was dependent on 'stealing' land you must be implying that the success is dependent on the stealing of resources. Which is trivially proven false by simply looking at South America. > forcing Africans to work that land Forcing Africans to work the land s…

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Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#288
post #79
post #46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> if a hedge fund is actually worth investing in (and there are quite a few) Apparently it is hard to come up with a collection of 5 of them that would beat the S&P 500 over 10 years. At least Buffett had a hard time finding counterparties for a bet.

Renaissance Technologies claims 71% annualised from 1994 to 2014.

They are a market maker, that accounts for most of their outperformance.

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#289
post #248
post #46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> if a hedge fund is actually worth investing in (and there are quite a few) Apparently it is hard to come up with a collection of 5 of them that would beat the S&P 500 over 10 years. At least Buffett had a hard time finding counterparties for a bet.

RenTec, D.E. Shaw, Baupost, Bridgewater, Farallon, off the top of my head. There are others. I agree that it's hard to find firms that beat the market over long terms but it's not quite that difficult. Much like other very difficult but not impossible things in life, it is very difficult but not impossible to beat the market for long periods of time. It's fair to say that most people, millionaires included, should go…

You and I can't invest in those funds, and you can't confidently predict which open funds will outperform.

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#290
post #95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What's the worst he's done?

I do not know what the worst is that he has done. For sure he and his business partners tried to strongarm the german city / community of Egelsbach to sell it's airport (Germany's largest small airplane airport, near Frankfurt/Main) to him. The aim was to expand the airport, at the expense of the inhabitants. The upside would have been 1-10 jobs, the downside a lot of noise and reduced price of property and life qual…

So a subsidiary wanted to expand an airport they use. What's the big deal?
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