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Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

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171–180 of 324 posts

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#171
post #89

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't often see this sort of pride in America. Normally the flavors I do observe are hyper-nationalistic and filled with bravado... I'd go even further: our current presidential administration spends a lot of energy telling us that America sucks because the people in it suck, the government they built sucks, and the ideals they aspire to suck, and that the solution is to deal out cruelty to the right kinds of peopl…

>the people in it suck, the government they built sucks, and the ideals they aspire to suck, and that the solution is to deal out cruelty to the right kinds of people. Amazing reality inversion. Trump never said anything like any of these. He has said politicians and the political class suck. Not 'Americans'. Hillary and others on that side consistently say Americans suck (deplorables), US traditional culture is evil…

"... America sucks because the people in it suck..." ≠ Americans I believe Trump has said a lot about non Americans in the US (Mexicans for ex.). But he has also said a lot about Americans (American muslims for ex.).

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#172
post #89

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't often see this sort of pride in America. Normally the flavors I do observe are hyper-nationalistic and filled with bravado... I'd go even further: our current presidential administration spends a lot of energy telling us that America sucks because the people in it suck, the government they built sucks, and the ideals they aspire to suck, and that the solution is to deal out cruelty to the right kinds of peopl…

>the people in it suck, the government they built sucks, and the ideals they aspire to suck, and that the solution is to deal out cruelty to the right kinds of people. Amazing reality inversion. Trump never said anything like any of these. He has said politicians and the political class suck. Not 'Americans'. Hillary and others on that side consistently say Americans suck (deplorables), US traditional culture is evil…

> He has said politicians and the political class suck. Not 'Americans'.

Well, not all Americans. Not white or Christian Americans. But he has demonized a lot of minority groups, many of them American.

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#173

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's easy to find funds that had great performance in the past. If anybody knows how to pick those that will perform in the future, they are keeping it a secret. And you might not be able to invest directly in rentec, but their holdings are public [1]. So if they really had a good secret, it could be replicated. [1] https://www.holdingschannel.com/all/stocks-held-by-renaissan...

RenTec doesn't make money off "buy and hold." They're a quant firm that profits from small inefficiencies in the market, trading that with leverage. Their really good secret is that they have superior data sources, and superior modeling (lowering their risk to almost nothing).

Their secret sauce is less subtle.

They harvest tax loopholes [0].

[0] http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-07-21/how-rentec-made-mor...

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#174
post #164

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That is magnitudes different than saying the american people suck. Lets try not to put words in peoples mouth, thats how we divide people.

I don't think you could cause more division than the current administration has.

That's your opinion but mine is that division requires minimum two parts.

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#175

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Land really isn't that valuable. You can build a great country without it. See Israel or Japan or SK or HK or Singapore. Its the people and way of life that matter. Primary resources can be bought. In fact land can be a hindrance when it induces Dutch Disease.

You have to consider geographical advantages when considering the growth of a civilization. For instance, the Mississippi River has amazing properties for transportation which was obviously great for trade, manufacturing, and settling. Many rivers in Africa may seem similar on the surface but due to things like frequent waterfalls and variation of depth, they are not nearly as advantageous.

This stratfor article discusses the natural capital afforded to the US: https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/geopolitics-united-states-... both in terms of transportation networks and being removed by an ocean from the costly power struggles of Europe (which I'll add can be seen in the numbers of casualties for Americans in the first and second world war relative to our European counterparts and realized gains from those wars).

There is also an interesting observation by Nick Szabo about the value of a transportation network: ' Combine this with Metcalfe's Law and we reach a dramatic but solid mathematical conclusion: the potential value of a land transportation network is the inverse fourth power of the cost of that transportation. A reduction in transportation costs in a trade network by a factor of two increases the potential value of that network by a factor of sixteen.'

http://unenumerated.blogspot.com/2014/10/transportation-dive...

So yes, the actual land we occupy is worth booku bucks.

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#176

Earlier quoted context omitted.

RenTec doesn't make money off "buy and hold." They're a quant firm that profits from small inefficiencies in the market, trading that with leverage. Their really good secret is that they have superior data sources, and superior modeling (lowering their risk to almost nothing).

Their secret sauce is less subtle. They harvest tax loopholes [0]. [0] http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-07-21/how-rentec-made-mor...

That might be true, but you'd make your argument more credible if you cited Bloomberg (or anyone else, but BB is who ZeroHedge cites) rather than ZeroHedge, the InfoWars of finance.

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#177
post #149
post #81

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Buffett, as an active investor, can outperform the market, while active investors as an aggregate might not. I fail to see any ludicrousness. > Buffett Annual Report is a long form sales letter to persuade people to buy more Berkshire shares. Nonsense. Buffett doesn't care one whit about people buying more Berkshire Hathaway shares. If anything, he wouldn't mind people selling shares and driving the price down to bel…

If active investment were negative-sum in aggregate then society would be better off if there were no active investors at all and everybody would invest in passive index funds instead. Unfortunately you need active investors to keep the market honest, without active investors index funds wouldn't work! Index funds are needed so investment funds don't overcharge their customers, and investment funds are needed to keep…

I think you and your interlocutors are talking past each other. It's true (and fashionable to point out) that active investment is what makes price discovery, and thus the markets themselves, work. But that doesn't make it a good idea to invest in hedge funds or any other active investment vehicles. Just as Buffett describes earlier in the letter w/r/t the insurance business, active investors can compete the returns on effective price discovery down below the returns on passive investing.

Maybe over the long term the returns on active investing will simply go to prop traders.

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#178

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Their secret sauce is less subtle. They harvest tax loopholes [0]. [0] http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-07-21/how-rentec-made-mor...

That might be true, but you'd make your argument more credible if you cited Bloomberg (or anyone else, but BB is who ZeroHedge cites) rather than ZeroHedge, the InfoWars of finance.

> That might be true, but you'd make your argument more credible if you cited Bloomberg (or anyone else, but BB is who ZeroHedge cites)...

Your statement's not "credible." ZH didn't just cite Bloomberg. The ZH post also includes excerpts from the 93 page report (not included in the Bloomberg article) released by the US senate subcommittee, which was highly relevant.

Is anything in the ZH post false? Please add it to the discussion.

Next time, please comment on the substance of ideas and arguments instead of ad hominem attacks. It was one of the first searches that came back for the topic I was looking for. It added more context than a brief Bloomberg article.

Re: Warren Buffett's Annual Letter to Berkshire Hathaway Shareholders [pdf]

#180
post #66

It took me 30 minutes to read the complete letter. It was time well spent. I learned why the property/casualty insurance business has a really good business model. It also reminds me to walk away from deals where the financial fundamentals are wrong, but our competition is eager to sign. And finally, I feel that his humble tone is honest and that he is trying teach by showing his considerations, successes and failure…

If you enjoyed that - take the time and get the book compilation of all BH's annual letters to shareholders - starting 1960s to present. Some of the most valuable reading I have done in years - strongly recommend.

You can view many of the letters for free here: http://berkshirehathaway.com/letters/letters.html
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