Live data from Hacker News

Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

economist.com

191–200 of 242 posts

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#191

Earlier quoted context omitted.

so that chart is from 2003 - 2009 ... and that is evidence of what exactly? 6 samples of a multi century phenomenon and you are ringing an alarm bell ! the chart smacks more of searching around for a chart that shows a decline to prop up the "ice is in trouble narrative". ice extent ( recovered from 2008/12 ) , ice age ( recovered again from 2012 ), ice thickness ( recovered ), ice refreeze date ( recovered ), polar…

https://sites.google.com/site/arcticseaicegraphs/longterm What is it going to take to convince you? Let's just wait a few more decades to be sure though. It would be a waste spending resources trying to prevent the demise of life on Earth when we didn't need to.

Is there a name for this sort of chart?:

https://sites.google.com/site/pettitclimategraphs/sea-ice-vo...

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#192

Earlier quoted context omitted.

By all reports, Trump can't stay focused on any one thing more than a few minutes, whether it was 20 years ago talking to reporters, people working for him, whatever. So he's not likely to be the person who will care about a long term, non-immediate risk. I still can't believe someone like him can be president. If Jeb Bush had won, I would have been a little disappointed, but I would have gone to sleep and not worrie…

Honest question: do you think a person like you describe could have his record in business management? Reportedly he was almost bankrupt in the 90's and recovered a quite large fortune afterwards. While I'm not a big believer in the capitalist mythology that people get rich by their effort and skills, and I'm aware that luck plays a huge factor, I do suppose that there is a bare minimum of cleverness and focus needed…

Or he's the lucky man.

What's more likely? Being lucky enough times to keep his business going, or being veery veery cunningly business-savage deep inside, yet do the stupidest things (start businesses with no expertise, no secret niche, no partner - vodka, flight, university).

He's a salesman, a snake charmer, like Reagan, the guy who keeps on going, persistent, strong, never defeated, because it's not how many times you fall, it's that you get up that many plus one times, and sell, sell, sell, do the talk, push, make deals, don't worry, there's always a next door where you can try a new pitch and dump that vacuum cleaner.

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#193
post #23
post #18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

china's coal use peaked by 2014: http://www.greenpeace.org/international/en/press/releases/20...

According to that article: "China’s coal consumption growth was responsible for more than half of global CO2 emission growth in the past 10 years." China gets over 70% of its electricity from coal. Yes, they are building more solar but it'll take over a decade for there to be significant change. Anyway, the real problem is that even if everyone somehow meets the Paris limits, it's not enough. https://www.beforetheflo…

And they're building nuclear plants too.

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#194
post #180

Earlier quoted context omitted.

so that chart is from 2003 - 2009 ... and that is evidence of what exactly? 6 samples of a multi century phenomenon and you are ringing an alarm bell ! the chart smacks more of searching around for a chart that shows a decline to prop up the "ice is in trouble narrative". ice extent ( recovered from 2008/12 ) , ice age ( recovered again from 2012 ), ice thickness ( recovered ), ice refreeze date ( recovered ), polar…

Can you provide a citations that Antarctica as a whole is gaining ice mass?

Here's one from NASA:

http://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/nasa-study-mass-gains-of...

More detailed discussion on Antarctic here:

http://joannenova.com.au/2016/07/backflip-antarctic-peninsul...

Nature study finding Antarctic has cooled is in the "References" section of that second link.

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#195

Earlier quoted context omitted.

well fortunately the Antarctic is gaining mass, so things happen. We are still only 12k years out an ice age and learning as we go. Natural variability is quite boring so it doesn't make headlines as much as it should. the real reality is that the Paris agreement is a horrid piece of do nothing legislation that lets the major developing powers do what they want all the while getting the nod of acceptance from the UN…

No, there is an Antarctic ice sheet that is gaining mass. As a whole, Antarctica is losing ice mass. As is the case for global ice mass balance. Chart of satellite gravity measurements for Antarctica: http://www.skepticalscience.com/images/Antarctica_Ice_Mass.g...

NASA disagrees: "A new NASA study says that Antarctica is overall accumulating ice."

http://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/nasa-study-mass-gains-of...

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#196
post #180

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Can you provide a citations that Antarctica as a whole is gaining ice mass?

Here's one from NASA: http://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/nasa-study-mass-gains-of... More detailed discussion on Antarctic here: http://joannenova.com.au/2016/07/backflip-antarctic-peninsul... Nature study finding Antarctic has cooled is in the "References" section of that second link.

Anything more recent? That article showed a dramatic slowdown in the growth and only covered up until 2008.

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#197
post #190

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I believe "stop pollution" was always the goal and they had to crank the message to alarmist levels to get any traction. As technology progresses and we get better at keeping our local environments clean, I predict their predictions will become increasingly dire. These doomsday warnings are just a sign that we're improving.

Or, you know, that things are getting dire. We shall see who was right though.

Dire enough that the population of the United States is going to have to evacuate en masse to Canada?

Really?

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#198

"According to research published last year, spending a day in Beijing is currently akin to smoking almost 40 cigarettes." Wow

There have been a number of studies on how many deaths can be attributed to air pollution. It seems to be ~1 million deaths a year in China. Here's a typical source (a press release with good graphs, the original paper is linked in it):

https://www.healtheffects.org/system/files/HEI-GBD-MAPS-Chin...

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#199

I believe that it is already too late. Here's my proposed solution. Send a robot into space. Pickup an asteroid and bring it to Lagrangian L1. Have it begin weaving a solar curtain.

doesn't fix the ocean acidification

you got me there

Re: Global warming: The state of the climate in 2016

#200

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is why the US should not just be "about equal". We can afford to improve the situation, not just maintain the status quo. Instead, we often find ourselves sitting in judgement of developing countries doing the same things we did to develop.

Do you think American voters are going to be happy about sacrificing their own well-being explicitly so that other people can pollute/deforest more? Do you think that's a platform that will win elections?

I think we should use our wealth and clout to both do better than the bare minimum in our own country and pressure other countries to do at least the bare minimum. I think our leaders should figure out how to do that while still winning elections. That does sound hard, but if the job description were only to pander, anybody could do it.
Post reply on HN