Quite funny when hearing yourself think "Yeah this is confirming my own thoughts" and then you stop and think about what you just read.
Cognitive bias cheat sheet
31–40 of 143 posts
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#32In politics, I find gambling is the best way to resolve disputes among friends stemming from cognitive bias. Put a bit of money on various results and someone will be right and someone will be wrong.
Interesting; can you expand on that?
Sure. For instance, I had a buddy that was sure Bernie would win the NY democratic primary since Bernie had such huge rallies and people were excited. I trusted the polls. We both made small bets on PredictIt - I even bet Clinton would win by at least a 15 point margin, since that's where the polls were. I won, and he now trusts poll aggregates more.
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#33To summarize biases further, in one word: Incompetence. Lab results confirming cognitive biases come from testing small groups of students (up to 200). Among other things, it means: (1) respondents with similar background, so we can't generalize (2) respondents don't care about outcomes, (3) tests are synthetic. Plus publication bias and other standard issues. These results are themselves a sort of confirmation bias.…
> If a person can learn, he'll discover systematic mistakes. But that comes with domain experience, not cognitive science.
Describing and categorizing systematic mistakes that people do is precisely what cognitive science does. The human mind is a domain of it's own.
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#34Thanks for putting this together! As someone interested in cognitive biases, I wonder: how many of these effects have survived the recent replication crisis intact?
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#35This is the third article on the front page that is running on medium.com infrastructure with that annoying banner in the footer.
Is that the new standard?
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#36Can one get that graph in a non renderd format.
Is it only available as that blury jpg?
Looked for myself, but i cant find anything.
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#37Great article, but what on earth is the point of the huge wheel chart? Its pretty, but I'm not sure what conclusions it helps me draw, other than sorting sources of bias by group/subgroup in a difficult to read manner.
I agree. However, the groupings of biases is pretty brilliant and useful.
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#38Earlier quoted context omitted.
Interesting; can you expand on that?
Sure. For instance, I had a buddy that was sure Bernie would win the NY democratic primary since Bernie had such huge rallies and people were excited. I trusted the polls. We both made small bets on PredictIt - I even bet Clinton would win by at least a 15 point margin, since that's where the polls were. I won, and he now trusts poll aggregates more.
Heh. New meaning to "put your money where you mouth is." Perhaps a corollary.
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#39This reminds me of master persuader Scott Adams mentioned about "cognitive dissonance"[1] on some of his recent tweets. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_dissonance
Lots of Clinton supporters here, with their powerful donwvote clicking :)
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#40I'm impressed that he managed to figure this out whilst taking care of a baby. When my son was born, I spent most of the wee hours testing which Star Wars theme I hummed worked best for getting him back to sleep. (By the way, The Imperial March worked best, especially slowed down and rocking him on every 4th beat)
I made my own song up something about ...little baby falls asleep so dad can go back to bed...