This reminds me of master persuader Scott Adams mentioned about "cognitive dissonance"[1] on some of his recent tweets.
Cognitive bias cheat sheet
11–20 of 143 posts
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#12This is 'cheat sheet'; short and handy reference for making a quick decision. Full reference is probably a few tons of books.
I feel that someone who just uses instinct, will make faster and better decision, even with all the biases and cognitive illusions.
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#13In politics, I find gambling is the best way to resolve disputes among friends stemming from cognitive bias. Put a bit of money on various results and someone will be right and someone will be wrong.
I've heard it said that wagering on real life events (presidential election outcome, climate change, etc) is "a tax on bullshit."
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#14Looks like the wheel chart has already been added to the Wikipedia page... talk about circularity...
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#15"The world is very confusing, and we end up only seeing a tiny sliver of it, but we need to make some sense of it in order to survive. Once the reduced stream of information comes in, we connect the dots, fill in the gaps with stuff we already think we know, and update our mental models of the world." So wonderfully said. I wonder what biases AI will develop in its models
Likely a lot of the same biases... Look at the categorization, these are things any general system of intelligence is going to have to do at some level. Only a system with infinite computational power can afford to be without bias.
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#16To summarize biases further, in one word: Incompetence.
Lab results confirming cognitive biases come from testing small groups of students (up to 200). Among other things, it means: (1) respondents with similar background, so we can't generalize (2) respondents don't care about outcomes, (3) tests are synthetic. Plus publication bias and other standard issues.
These results are themselves a sort of confirmation bias.
Mistakes in real life happen when we don't know what we're doing. If a person can learn, he'll discover systematic mistakes. But that comes with domain experience, not cognitive science.
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#17Granted this might be useful but I believe the ability to recognize these biases and fallacies can only be improved by experience. You can read or memorize what each bias is but you might not be that quick to recognize it in a discussion, it takes practice not just a cheat sheet[0]. 0. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cognitive_biases
First line of article: I’ve spent many years referencing Wikipedia’s list of cognitive biases[0] whenever I have a hunch that a certain type of thinking is an official bias but I can’t recall the name or details.
I don't think there's anything the article author mentioned that argues against improvement through experience, critical thinking, and sensitivity to the limitations of the human mind.
[0] actually links to https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_cognitive_biases
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#18To summarize biases further, in one word: Incompetence. Lab results confirming cognitive biases come from testing small groups of students (up to 200). Among other things, it means: (1) respondents with similar background, so we can't generalize (2) respondents don't care about outcomes, (3) tests are synthetic. Plus publication bias and other standard issues. These results are themselves a sort of confirmation bias.…
It's not that simple. Some cognitive biases, especially related to shortcuts in decision making, are more prevalent in smarter people.
Here's a good jumping off point: http://www.newyorker.com/tech/frontal-cortex/why-smart-peopl...
I highly recommend reading more of Daniel Kahneman's work if you find the above interesting.
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#19This is excellent. It could be improved by adding a very short summary of each bias. This would help the reader to drill-down to a specific bias of interest.
If a one-sentence tooltip for each bias were added to the codex graphic fielded on a webpage, and each bias was linked to its own page, that would make the graphic more sensible and accessible. And if each quartile of the codex had a color coded mouse target, you could popup a menu of just that cluster of biases sorted into whatever spectrum makes the most sense.
And if "Not Enough Meaning" and "Too Much Information" were no so similar in colour. :( (At least to my eyes)
Re: Cognitive bias cheat sheet
#20This is excellent. It could be improved by adding a very short summary of each bias. This would help the reader to drill-down to a specific bias of interest.
If a one-sentence tooltip for each bias were added to the codex graphic fielded on a webpage, and each bias was linked to its own page, that would make the graphic more sensible and accessible. And if each quartile of the codex had a color coded mouse target, you could popup a menu of just that cluster of biases sorted into whatever spectrum makes the most sense.
Though, if the article is to be believed, 'a one-sentence tooltip for each bias' would itself be highly incomplete and therefore subject to all sorts of biases in its interpretation and application ;)