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Elon Musk on How to Build the Future

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Re: Elon Musk on How to Build the Future

#531
post #473
post #282

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Pretty much every company relies on government subsidies of some form or another. (Cheap transportation infrastructure and a workforce partially or entirely educated via the public school system are two of the larger subsidies governments provide.) Taxpayers generally don't have a problem with that when those subsidies are a net benefit to society.

Yeah, but this is taken to the extreme. I mean, Tesla isn't currently profitable and they are relying on subsidies to just stay afloat. We're talking billions of dollars of government cash flowing into Tesla/SpaceX to keep them from going bankrupt. You can't tell me it's the same for other car companies because it's simply not true.

http://www.cheatsheet.com/business/high-on-the-hog-the-top-8...

- GM - $3.58 Billion in subsidies

- Ford - $2.52 Billion in subsidies

- Fiat Chrysler Automobiles — $2.06 Billion in subsidies

Took 10 seconds of Googling to find that.

Plus Tesla is actually innovating on a massive scale and pulling the world into a more sustainable, quieter future. I too hate subsidies but as long as the US Governemnt is going to keep up corporate welfare it may as well be towards the actual innovators building a better future than the laggards trying their best to maintain the status quo so they can extract maximum profits.

Re: Elon Musk on How to Build the Future

#532

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I want to respond to you, because you seem to view Musk as obviously great. And you know, how could someone not like him? I can tell you there's something about him that rubs me the wrong way. Maybe it's because his only big success is Paypal, which you can argue was him being in the right place at the right time. All his other ventures, while more grandiose, have not yet been super successful. So I don't feel like h…

Thanks for the response. Elon definitely is not a fluke like you imply. He is not the best eng but it is his relentless work ethic (read: no other timesink in his life at all) that puts him above the others. Have you ever worked more than 100hrs a week? I don't even think I've managed it once but Elon does it every week. To admire elon, you must first understand what that means. You say he has only had one successful…

> Even if Tesla used child labour with huge workplace accident rates, you should still support them, because no matter how you cut it, we will destroy our atmosphere permanently without huge electric car adoption. Nevermind all of the other parts of the power industry that are hugely polluting.

You should be advocating for international cooperation and government action, not a company that creates electric sports cars.

Re: Elon Musk on How to Build the Future

#533
post #528
post #524

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not in my country.

Where exactly do you live? A quick search indicates that Tesla is outselling Ford in Norway. If you live in Norway, then astazangasta is correct and you're looking at a symptom of income inequality. Norway is rather wealthy even by Western standards. Tesla has done a great job of dressing up a status symbol as an environmentally friendly choice. (Or vice versa.) If you look at the poorer citizens in your country, you…

Yes it's Norway, and no, while poorer people (like me) don't drive Teslas - they drive Leafs or e-Golfs, so I maintain it has nothing to do with inequality. Nobody buy Fords because they don't have a viable EV offering on the market. Norwegians aren't really wealthier than say Danes, who have very different outcome of EV market so far due to very different policies.

Nobody I know here bought a petrol car last two years; one got a plug-in hybrid. Tesla is hardly a status symbol here, it attracts customers both from the middle and luxury segments. People who in the past would consider Audi A5 or Volvo X70 would go for Tesla. The economics for electric cars are simply much better.

Re: Elon Musk on How to Build the Future

#534
post #241

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I would ask him, if he is still using https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Adderall .

Do you have a source of him using Adderall?

Rumors, just rumors: https://twitter.com/swiftonsecurity/status/73836540146617958...

Re: Elon Musk on How to Build the Future

#535
post #533
post #528

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Where exactly do you live? A quick search indicates that Tesla is outselling Ford in Norway. If you live in Norway, then astazangasta is correct and you're looking at a symptom of income inequality. Norway is rather wealthy even by Western standards. Tesla has done a great job of dressing up a status symbol as an environmentally friendly choice. (Or vice versa.) If you look at the poorer citizens in your country, you…

Yes it's Norway, and no, while poorer people (like me) don't drive Teslas - they drive Leafs or e-Golfs, so I maintain it has nothing to do with inequality. Nobody buy Fords because they don't have a viable EV offering on the market. Norwegians aren't really wealthier than say Danes, who have very different outcome of EV market so far due to very different policies. Nobody I know here bought a petrol car last two yea…

"Poor" is relative since apparently workers in Norway earn more per capita than any other nation. A quick search indicates you guys earn something like 55% more than workers in France or Britain. So you could feel pretty poor relative to your neighbors and still bring in significantly more than the average in even affluent countries.

A quick search also indicates that your gas is 25% more expensive than France or Britain, and more importantly that your electric car incentives are so absurd that your politicians are beginning to roll them back. No taxes, no tolls, no ferry charges, no parking fees, free use of bus lanes. Electric cars there are cheaper than equivalent gas powered cars, because the taxes are ~50% of the cost. Yeah, with incentives like that, I'd probably own an electric car, too. I'm not sure this counts as an electric car revolution so much as a government handout, though. If the government subsidized 50% of the price of Fords, you'd probably see their sales skyrocket but no one would really call that a revolution.

Tesla is definitely a status symbol, though. The fact that Audi drivers moved to Tesla didn't dispute that because Audi is also a status symbol. Volvo to a lesser extent.

Re: Elon Musk on How to Build the Future

#536
post #535
post #533

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes it's Norway, and no, while poorer people (like me) don't drive Teslas - they drive Leafs or e-Golfs, so I maintain it has nothing to do with inequality. Nobody buy Fords because they don't have a viable EV offering on the market. Norwegians aren't really wealthier than say Danes, who have very different outcome of EV market so far due to very different policies. Nobody I know here bought a petrol car last two yea…

"Poor" is relative since apparently workers in Norway earn more per capita than any other nation. A quick search indicates you guys earn something like 55% more than workers in France or Britain. So you could feel pretty poor relative to your neighbors and still bring in significantly more than the average in even affluent countries. A quick search also indicates that your gas is 25% more expensive than France or Bri…

Average income here is way below Bay Area however, and it has less EV per capita than Norway. Perhaps you chose a poor metric.

Parking is not free, although some municipalities subsidize rebates for EV spots in select garages. Urban dwellers (majority of EV market) nearly never take ferries. Incentives were clearly temporary from the beginning, you are hardly breaking any news to me here. The price of car is not subsidized, a Tesla here costs more dollar-to-dollar than it does in California before rebates.

Sure there are (also temporary) import tax incentives, but it's about the only way a government can encourage adoption of clean tech in chicken and egg infrastructure situation. There has to be some upside for being the first guy in the town who can't fill at gas station. As soon as it gains momentum, the incentives will be rolled back. It is however already clear that EV adoption in Norway is a success.

Also you have to be really really broke to see an ordinary German sedan as a status symbol, certainly not anywhere in Western Europe.

Re: Elon Musk on How to Build the Future

#537
post #536
post #535

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"Poor" is relative since apparently workers in Norway earn more per capita than any other nation. A quick search indicates you guys earn something like 55% more than workers in France or Britain. So you could feel pretty poor relative to your neighbors and still bring in significantly more than the average in even affluent countries. A quick search also indicates that your gas is 25% more expensive than France or Bri…

Average income here is way below Bay Area however, and it has less EV per capita than Norway. Perhaps you chose a poor metric. Parking is not free, although some municipalities subsidize rebates for EV spots in select garages. Urban dwellers (majority of EV market) nearly never take ferries. Incentives were clearly temporary from the beginning, you are hardly breaking any news to me here. The price of car is not subs…

> Average income here is way below Bay Area however, and it has less EV per capita than Norway. Perhaps you chose a poor metric.

I'm not sure I did pick a poor metric. Income in the Bay Area is pretty uneven. You see a lot of Teslas at the Google campus, but relatively few at Wal-Mart. Salaries at tech companies are six figure but minimum wage is just above $10/hr.

> Parking is not free, although some municipalities subsidize rebates for EV spots in select garages. Urban dwellers (majority of EV market) nearly never take ferries. Incentives were clearly temporary from the beginning, you are hardly breaking any news to me here.

The article I read indicated that they were, but maybe not. Obviously the tax exemption is the big factor.

> The price of car is not subsidized, a Tesla here costs more dollar-to-dollar than it does in California before rebates.

That's not a realistic claim if the government is waving taxes that would otherwise amount to half the total cost of the car.

It's not very interesting to compare the absolute Tesla cost there and in California. What's interesting to compare is the Tesla cost there vs California relative to other options. A Tesla Model S in California costs about as much as a BMW M3. It looks like in Norway the effective cost of a Model S is closer to a basic Model 3.

> Sure there are (also temporary) import tax incentives, but it's about the only way a government can encourage adoption of clean tech in chicken and egg infrastructure situation. There has to be some upside for being the first guy in the town who can't fill at gas station. As soon as it gains momentum, the incentives will be rolled back. It is however already clear that EV adoption in Norway is a success.

I'm not opposed to tax incentives. My point is just that the "revolution" here is being driven by massive government subsidies. A 50% subsidy will make almost anything a success.

> Also you have to be really really broke to see an ordinary German sedan as a status symbol, certainly not anywhere in Western Europe.

I think this says something about your financial situation that you think the only way to see an Audi as a status symbol is if you're "really broke". I don't know about Norway, but most cars sold in Europe are not Audis or BMWs. Fiat outsells BMW and Audi. So does GM. So does Ford. And Peugot. And Renault. Volkwagon beats Audi and BMW combined. BMW and Audi are not "ordinary German sedans". They are luxury cars purchased by a minority of the population. They are absolutely status symbols.

http://www.acea.be/statistics/tag/category/by-manufacturer-r...

Re: Elon Musk on How to Build the Future

#538
post #537
post #536

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Average income here is way below Bay Area however, and it has less EV per capita than Norway. Perhaps you chose a poor metric. Parking is not free, although some municipalities subsidize rebates for EV spots in select garages. Urban dwellers (majority of EV market) nearly never take ferries. Incentives were clearly temporary from the beginning, you are hardly breaking any news to me here. The price of car is not subs…

> Average income here is way below Bay Area however, and it has less EV per capita than Norway. Perhaps you chose a poor metric. I'm not sure I did pick a poor metric. Income in the Bay Area is pretty uneven. You see a lot of Teslas at the Google campus, but relatively few at Wal-Mart. Salaries at tech companies are six figure but minimum wage is just above $10/hr. > Parking is not free, although some municipalities…

> Salaries at tech companies are six figure but minimum wage is just above $10/hr.

Guess what, same here. An engineer at Statoil makes a lot more than a janitor. Minimum wage here is higher and there's a more elaborate safety net, still living at that end is very uncomfortable. Again I don't see any takeaway from this.

> That's not a realistic claim if the government is waving taxes that would otherwise amount to half the total cost of the car.

This is a realistic claim because the government does not subsidize a vehicle with own money as it is often presented here, but withholds extra taxation. No taxpayer money harmed. Tax discounts are not unprecedented, e.g. tax code here has elaborate cases for families with children, people with disabilities etc. Two people doing identical job can be paying very different amount of tax. Different categories of imported food can have taxes differing by magnitude, and so on.

> What's interesting to compare is the Tesla cost there vs California relative to other options.

I don't think anyone had illusions that Tesla isn't economic in Norway relative to other options. That's why people buy it and I mentioned it before.

The end result is people here drive tons of Teslas and other EVs, and the market has changed for good. When tax incentives removed, people will still drive them, as they are simply better rides overall with simpler maintenance routine.

I don't see in any way why has Tesla miscalculated the market as initially stated. I see tons of their cars on the roads every day, so it arrived here. It is hilarious my benign remark was treated as some classist rub.

> I don't know about Norway, but most cars sold in Europe are not Audis or BMWs.

Look, I'm not sure how it's in the States, but a BMW or Audi won't get you laid in Europe. Kids won't drop their candy and men won't think of your "status". Cabbies drive Merc E class here (not just in Norway). Pakistani immigrants drive German sedans. Everyone knows they are more expensive but not out of range of a middle income family on a financing - just a matter of your priorities. Porsche Cayenne is "luxury", Maibach is, but A5 and the likes, made in hundreds thousands each year is not. Tesla is cool in its own high tech way, but salon trim doesn't give a luxury vibe either.

Re: Elon Musk on How to Build the Future

#539

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Thanks for the response. Elon definitely is not a fluke like you imply. He is not the best eng but it is his relentless work ethic (read: no other timesink in his life at all) that puts him above the others. Have you ever worked more than 100hrs a week? I don't even think I've managed it once but Elon does it every week. To admire elon, you must first understand what that means. You say he has only had one successful…

> Even if Tesla used child labour with huge workplace accident rates, you should still support them, because no matter how you cut it, we will destroy our atmosphere permanently without huge electric car adoption. Nevermind all of the other parts of the power industry that are hugely polluting. You should be advocating for international cooperation and government action, not a company that creates electric sports car…

That is totally a reasonable thing to suggest, and examining it brings to light the importance of Tesla.

Government is like Thor's hammer. If you can wield it, you wield tremendous power.

Think of mega corps as Thor, wielding the hammer. This is how government works: A mega corp pays for politics to happen in a certain way, and thus change happens at huge scale through taxpayer money.

However, you may not wield the hammer if you are not Thor, because it's too heavy. Analogously, lobbying is too expensive for small players, and to be a politician advocating risky things without a huge payout is career suicide.

Advocating governmental change is a nice thought, but how government actually works is by having enough cash. Be a huge mega-corp and then paying lobbyists that pay people inside of government.

Or, you could simply grow a company and do your best to be completely independent of government while stile abiding by their rules and operating under fair laws. That's what Tesla is doing.

Re: Elon Musk on How to Build the Future

#540

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Thanks for the response. Elon definitely is not a fluke like you imply. He is not the best eng but it is his relentless work ethic (read: no other timesink in his life at all) that puts him above the others. Have you ever worked more than 100hrs a week? I don't even think I've managed it once but Elon does it every week. To admire elon, you must first understand what that means. You say he has only had one successful…

> Even if Tesla used child labour with huge workplace accident rates, you should still support them, because no matter how you cut it, we will destroy our atmosphere permanently without huge electric car adoption. Nevermind all of the other parts of the power industry that are hugely polluting. You should be advocating for international cooperation and government action, not a company that creates electric sports car…

At this point, your baseless bias against Tesla should be clear to yourself. If you can take this revelation with humility, that you have been advocating against the exact thing that humanity truly needs, I declare you in the top 98% of people for emotional self-control. It is not an easy thing to accept that you're wrong, but I've spelt it out.

And we need your help, stranger, because time is running out super fast and there are millions out there making the same misjudgment that you have here, but some of them are a genuine threat to Tesla's fate.

It is a race against the clock to get everyone behind this guy.

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