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Uber’s subprime leases put drivers on road, but leave some shackled

seattletimes.com

41–50 of 91 posts

Re: Uber’s subprime leases put drivers on road, but leave some shackled

#41

> She drives about 25 hours a week. In one week in May, she earned $604 for 28 hours of work, she said — a slightly better-than-average week. Uber took $160 for the car directly out of her paycheck, leaving her with $444. So, for 28 hours of work, the driver got a car (with maintenance covered) and a ~$16/hour salary on top. Without the car payment, it's a $21/hour salary. That's apparently a near-average week. I see…

What about gas? What about fees from traffic infractions? What about accidents? While accidents may be low probability, they present a very high expected cost and the areas in which ride-sharing is popular probably have higher rates of accidents.

I'm just saying that this is probably not the full arithmetic for arriving at an ~$16/hr wage.

Re: Uber’s subprime leases put drivers on road, but leave some shackled

#42
>After dropping $250 up front for her lease of a 2015 Honda Civic, she pays $160 a week to Xchange. If she keeps the car for the full three-year term, she’ll end up paying Uber $25,210. The Kelley Blue Book fair purchase price for a new 2015 Honda Civic SE in Los Angeles is $18,142. Schmitt said she’ll need to pay Uber $5,000 or so more to buy the car if she wants to keep it at the end of her lease.

This is kind of par for the course for some chunk of car dealers. They have no qualms in getting someone to ultimately pay $30,000 for an $18,000 car of which the margins are normally extremely tight (2-3%) with profit being a very long tail of maintenance work orders. This one Civic, if she ran it to term and then bought it out, brought in as much profit as DOZENS of Civics.

My sister learned similarly many years ago. She ended up paying $26K for a $15K car, simply because she didn't do the math.

Although we'd like businesses to not engage in these kinds of deals, but unfortunately many businesses rely on these deals. I think the only decision more costly that people getting unwillingly put over a barrel for a car is people making poor retirement planning decisions and paying through the nose in fees (or buying what a "financial advisor" that is really a salesman at a bank is peddling) when there are far lower cost alternatives. It sucks, but it's true.

Re: Uber’s subprime leases put drivers on road, but leave some shackled

#43
post #41

> She drives about 25 hours a week. In one week in May, she earned $604 for 28 hours of work, she said — a slightly better-than-average week. Uber took $160 for the car directly out of her paycheck, leaving her with $444. So, for 28 hours of work, the driver got a car (with maintenance covered) and a ~$16/hour salary on top. Without the car payment, it's a $21/hour salary. That's apparently a near-average week. I see…

What about gas? What about fees from traffic infractions? What about accidents? While accidents may be low probability, they present a very high expected cost and the areas in which ride-sharing is popular probably have higher rates of accidents. I'm just saying that this is probably not the full arithmetic for arriving at an ~$16/hr wage.

It's not, and the rest of this thread dives into it a bunch.

Gas and tire wear implies a ~$2/hour hit, roughly.

Tickets are presumably negligible for long-term drivers? Most people get Accidents are hard to call - their 'cost' is basically whatever you pay in insurance (plus some adjustment for future insurance hikes if you file a claim). I don't know how the Uber-insurance thing shook out, so I can't speak to that at all.

The $16/hour wage is now at something like $12/hour (very roughly), but that's neglecting the benefits of having a car (I'm assuming most drivers with Xchange wouldn't have cars if they worked elsewhere, otherwise raise the effective wage by $5/hour).

But of course, that's part-time work. It's voluntarily part-time, but you can't scale up Uber driving arbitrarily - presumably you're already working the highest cash-flow hours and will see decreased hourly wages as you add less-profitable driving time.

So I'll stand by a claim that the money is pretty good, at least in <$10/hour minimum wage markets, but it's locked into a no-benefits, part-time status that prevents it from being an especially good living.

Re: Uber’s subprime leases put drivers on road, but leave some shackled

#44
post #32

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I agree with most of this, but it should be noted that $16/hour as 1099 income is not at all the same thing as $16/hour as a regular W2 employee. A rough equivalent would be about $11/hour. I think that's high still, as there are costs other than maintenance...like gasoline.

Average city driving speed for LA is 26.8 MPH [0], which means she's driving around 750 miles per week. She leased a 2015 Honda Civic, which has a rated fuel economy of 31 MPG. Assuming she gets the rated gas mileage from her civic, she's buying 24 gallons of gasoline per week for 2.39 [1] per, costing her $57. AAA gives an estimated 5.51 cents per mile for maintenance and tires [2], costing her $41. So, take home pa…

wow, thats quite a thorough calculation of expenses. But I'd assume a leased car probably has less maintanence costs, but certainly added costs for gas.

I'm not sure if you factored in commercial insurance for a leased vehicle which will be more expensive per month, compared to personal auto insurance for own car. Factoring the commercial/rideshare auto insurance in, will leave little wiggle room.

Re: Uber’s subprime leases put drivers on road, but leave some shackled

#45
post #26

Subprime lending == bad Extending credit to lower-income borrowers == good Are we just talking about price (interest) here? You may not like the price, but prices exist for a reason and cannot be changed by diktat. Who gets prime vs a subprime lease isn't determined by some ethnicity or the religious sect someone belongs in. It's determined by the risk and size of the loan. Smaller loans have relatively higher fixed…

You capture my feelings, too.

I don't think all rates should be the same; the risks of default should be priced in to the finance or lease rate.

I agree "predatory == bad", so perhaps we could devise a system to (try to) ensure that the hit that subprime borrowers are taking is commensurate with the risk the lenders take. But arguably this is already done through competition (in lending in general, not specifically with this one-lease-company-only arrangement via Uber).

Maybe you can say we as a society should 'protect' subprime borrowers by banning lease/finance rates that are more than x% more than the best rate, and you tell sub-prime borrowers who don't meet the criteria, "too bad". But then lenders would game it by not lending to the best credit folks in order to extend down to the truly sub-prime.

Or it might flatten the rate spread between prime and subprime. Maybe this isn't an entirely bad thing; well-qualified buyers take a slight hit in order to subsidize those who are down on their luck. But then another lender comes along with better prime rates, and everyone who can swing it goes there.

Personally, I'm not really a fan of telling people they can't make their own financial decisions because "it's bad for you". Isn't this the opposite of what basic income proponents say? That we should let people be free to make their own decisions? We hear over and over that poor people make bad financial decisions (with the anecdata to support it... and some ACTUAL data and scientific research).. but there's also lots of data showing that people are best left to make their own decisions rather than some 'helpful' government scheme/program/regulation.

Re: Uber’s subprime leases put drivers on road, but leave some shackled

#46
post #26

Subprime lending == bad Extending credit to lower-income borrowers == good Are we just talking about price (interest) here? You may not like the price, but prices exist for a reason and cannot be changed by diktat. Who gets prime vs a subprime lease isn't determined by some ethnicity or the religious sect someone belongs in. It's determined by the risk and size of the loan. Smaller loans have relatively higher fixed…

A few disconnected thoughts:

It is worth noting that without the current low interest rate environment, subprime loans would be a lot more expensive or just wouldn't not exist.

There certainly is a balance of responsibilities both among the borrower and the lender. Presumably the lender is the most educated of the two parties, especially in a sub prime situation where the borrower may not even be at a high school math level.

Lenders should not expect to be able to give extend unlimited amounts of capital and use a taxpayer funded legal system to recover it. Bankruptcy on the borrowers side is definitely a very important tool to keeping things somewhat fair. Most young people now see what a catastrophe that can cause in the case of student loans, a whole generation or two facing a very grim financial future short of massive inflation or winning the lottery.

Nothing is perfect and I imagine solutions will introduce their own downsides. Future car use probably won't even be a loan or a lease but rather a license to use a vehicle at a given time. That system could apply to a lot more than vehicles 10 years from now.

Re: Uber’s subprime leases put drivers on road, but leave some shackled

#47

The headline claim that drivers are left "shackled" doesn't seem to be supported by the article, which states drivers can leave their lease agreements at any time after the first 30 days, with only two weeks notice, and without harming their credit score. If you think uber are overcharging for the vehicles, given the terms of the agreement, the risk they are bearing, etc. why not start your own offering which charges…

Great comment. I went back and checked the article because I thought you were wrong and it said "within the first 30 days". But you're correct, any time AFTER 30 days, they can leave the program.

No mileage penalties and no contractual obligation to the lease are huge benefits.

Re: Uber’s subprime leases put drivers on road, but leave some shackled

#48
post #42

>After dropping $250 up front for her lease of a 2015 Honda Civic, she pays $160 a week to Xchange. If she keeps the car for the full three-year term, she’ll end up paying Uber $25,210. The Kelley Blue Book fair purchase price for a new 2015 Honda Civic SE in Los Angeles is $18,142. Schmitt said she’ll need to pay Uber $5,000 or so more to buy the car if she wants to keep it at the end of her lease. This is kind of p…

Congratulations on figuring out how a BHPH dealer works.

Buy cheap economy cars that aren't upscale enough for a "real" used car dealer to have on the lot. Have your mechanic fix anything imminently wrong and put a GPS tracker in it. Require huge down payment (usually close to enough to break even) and/or absurd monthly payments. Hopefully you screw the customer out of a few months of payments before they can't pay, at which point you repo the car immediately and put it back on the lot for the next sucker.

Re: Uber’s subprime leases put drivers on road, but leave some shackled

#49

Southwest airlines, and taxi companies know one thing: an idle vehicle is an un-funded cost. Will uber add in functionality to support a "hot seat" model, one driver owns the car and another contributes to it by "using" it?

I wonder if Uber allows multiple drivers to use the same vehicle? I'm sure the lease company wouldn't like it...

Re: Uber’s subprime leases put drivers on road, but leave some shackled

#50
post #46
post #26

Subprime lending == bad Extending credit to lower-income borrowers == good Are we just talking about price (interest) here? You may not like the price, but prices exist for a reason and cannot be changed by diktat. Who gets prime vs a subprime lease isn't determined by some ethnicity or the religious sect someone belongs in. It's determined by the risk and size of the loan. Smaller loans have relatively higher fixed…

A few disconnected thoughts: It is worth noting that without the current low interest rate environment, subprime loans would be a lot more expensive or just wouldn't not exist. There certainly is a balance of responsibilities both among the borrower and the lender. Presumably the lender is the most educated of the two parties, especially in a sub prime situation where the borrower may not even be at a high school mat…

"Most young people now see what a catastrophe that can cause in the case of student loans, a whole generation or two facing a very grim financial future short of massive inflation or winning the lottery."

The problem with student loans is that you can't bankruptcy them out of existence.

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