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Google veterans head off on their own to work on self-driving trucks

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101–110 of 141 posts

Re: Google veterans head off on their own to work on self-driving trucks

#101
post #44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How does it work for self-driving cars then? In case of regular cars, you go to jail for vehicular manslaughter when you brake the traffic laws and in effect kill someone. My guess is that, if the driver of a self-driving car decides to press the "auto drive" button and the car violates traffic laws and kills someone, it's still the driver who's responsible. The self-driving features are not deemed safe by law and ar…

> In case of regular cars, you go to jail for vehicular manslaughter when you brake the traffic laws and in effect kill someone. But the truck won't do that. Break the law, that is. Unlike humans, its knowledge of traffic laws will be complete. It won't "break the law" in the sense that you are using the phrase. However, there are other ethical/moral issues (do we program a car to kill 1 person if it saves 3?).

> Unlike humans, its knowledge of traffic laws will be complete.

Its knowledge of the text may be, its knowledge of what that means in practical terms will probably not be; the law often specifies that action be "reasonable" or similar terms, in light of the conditions. A human trier of fact may well find that the actions of an automated system -- especially in combinations of circumstances its creators did not specifically account for -- is unreasonable.

Re: Google veterans head off on their own to work on self-driving trucks

#102
post #16

This makes a lot of sense. Given how rule-based the trucking industry is (max 11hrs/day; 30min break after x amount of driving etc., strict speed limits, complete in lane driving with little overtaking etc.), self driving trucks could gain very strong adoption given they could follow the road rules in place predictably and will not have any time based restrictions wrt driving thus saving a lot of cost.

Agreed. HN highlighted this artice a few weeks ago. It does the numbers and estimates a 400% increase in productivity by having trucks drive (themselves) around the clock. http://techcrunch.com/2016/04/25/the-driverless-truck-is-com...

Re: Google veterans head off on their own to work on self-driving trucks

#103
post #92
post #15

Sending a truck down an interstate for 20 hours has to be the lowest hanging fruit for self driving vehicles. When was the last time an entire category of jobs became obsolete fast enough that laid off employees blamed the technology? When long haul truckers are out of work, how will municipal bus driver unions react?

The interesting challenges on a interstate are pretty similar as the usual challenges of autonomous vehicles, so what happens if there is a construction site, or if there are people on the road. (But you have to deal with that at a lot higher speeds.) And Ars had a very interesting article on the validation of self-driving cars, the thing is humans are rather good at driving, to the tune of 10^8 km per fatal accident…

I would think dealing with the SAME challenges simply at higher speeds would mean automation wins every time.

Re: Google veterans head off on their own to work on self-driving trucks

#104

refueling?

No reason that automated fueling stations couldn't be built. OTOH, it could just be a return of "full service" fueling, at least for trucks. Maybe even employ a few of the people that lose their jobs to automated trucking, though likely at a much lower wage.

Re: Google veterans head off on their own to work on self-driving trucks

#105
post #84

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Maybe some jobs will be replaced, but the industry is facing a shortage of truck drivers. One of the most common job listings on Craigslist is for truck drivers with paid training. The lifestyle of a truck driver can be brutal and unhealthy.

Plus, who would want to get into that industry today when you know that it's going to be automated as soon as possible?

People who need money today.

Re: Google veterans head off on their own to work on self-driving trucks

#106
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You are not taking into account the risk of trouble (non-negligible)... Driving includes solving problems like lack of oil, crashes, etc...

Robberies should be question #1.

Careful dude, Michael Bay might hear you.

Re: Google veterans head off on their own to work on self-driving trucks

#107
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It does, and I wondered why Google hadn't targeted it first. Its simpler,and there is a compelling business case. I wonder if their decision was driven by political savvy - self driving cars help the blind/elderly, and automate work most people are glad to see automated. Self-driving trucks are going to have a major employment impact which will likely draw political resistance.

I would say this is absolutely a political decision and a marketing decision. Google has gone to great lengths to help the public feel comfortable with autonomous cars, right down to the 'cute' buggy look of their vehicles. The trick is to move slow enough so people's interest out paces their fears. The implications for self driving cars is nothing short of an existential threat for so many people in this world. As w…

> Similarly, Apple moved very slowly in introducing the iPad even though the under technology had been available for years.

Apple did introduce the Newton, many years earlier. Their slow pace for iPad may just have been due to lessons learnt.

Re: Google veterans head off on their own to work on self-driving trucks

#108
post #82

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> When was the last time an entire category of jobs became obsolete fast enough that laid off employees blamed the technology? Containerized shipping. Interestingly, it's in the world of logistics too. Longshoremen/dockworkers/stevedores used to be among the most common occupations in the US at the turn of the century, but now the industry employs a tiny fraction. A small group of a few hundred people can effectively…

Source: The Wire Season 2.

It always bothered me that they gave Sobotka the "We used to make shit in this country" line considering his entire job was importing stuff made in other countries.

Re: Google veterans head off on their own to work on self-driving trucks

#109
post #15

Sending a truck down an interstate for 20 hours has to be the lowest hanging fruit for self driving vehicles. When was the last time an entire category of jobs became obsolete fast enough that laid off employees blamed the technology? When long haul truckers are out of work, how will municipal bus driver unions react?

It reminds me of when we added autopilots to airplanes and suddenly there were no more pilots.

Re: Google veterans head off on their own to work on self-driving trucks

#110
post #15

Sending a truck down an interstate for 20 hours has to be the lowest hanging fruit for self driving vehicles. When was the last time an entire category of jobs became obsolete fast enough that laid off employees blamed the technology? When long haul truckers are out of work, how will municipal bus driver unions react?

An actual long-haul trucker commented at length about this on a reddit thread. I can't seem to find it. The TL;DR was that tyhe actual driving of the truck was a no-brainer to automate away, but that despite being a large portion of the job from a time perspective, it was a small portion of the job functionally speaking. The majority of a long haul trucker's job is interacting with legal authorities at weigh stations…

The train engineer analogy is a good one, you would imagine that a single "truckgineer" so to speak could be responsible for managing a convoy of let's say 10-15 trucks which would make it much more efficient. In regards to fueling, would you make that more efficient by adding a larger fuel tank or fuel car?
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