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Status of F-35 – Senate Armed Services Committee Statement [pdf]

armed-services.senate.gov

41–50 of 173 posts

Re: Status of F-35 – Senate Armed Services Committee Statement [pdf]

#41
post #8

The F-35 is becoming the definitive example of how scope creep destroys a project. A system designed to do everything for everyone. When it should be designed to do one thing better than everything else. Divide the F-35 into three different attack aircraft. Single engine CAS with STOVL capability. Big/fast/stealthy twin engine bomber. Carrier based attack drone. All three would likely fulfill their roles better for l…

You could start a brand new Harrier programme right now, same basic design but new build airframes, avionics and engines using modern materials, and you would still beat the F35 not only into-service, but in a stand-up fight if it ever came to that.

Re: Status of F-35 – Senate Armed Services Committee Statement [pdf]

#42
post #20

F-35 looks like it's the most ambitious software project ever attempted. - Lots of system integration for the final product from multiple suppliers (usually nightmare). - Autonomic Logistics Information System (ALIS) is critical for the maintainability and it's millions of lines of code. Failure rate of large projects like this is typically 40-60% and ALIS looks like it's more advanced than most bean counting systems…

This is what so many non-software people trying to make decisions on software fail to realize - every constraint added increases the complexity of software by an order of magnitude.

well, a binary order of magnitude maybe

Re: Status of F-35 – Senate Armed Services Committee Statement [pdf]

#43
post #20

F-35 looks like it's the most ambitious software project ever attempted. - Lots of system integration for the final product from multiple suppliers (usually nightmare). - Autonomic Logistics Information System (ALIS) is critical for the maintainability and it's millions of lines of code. Failure rate of large projects like this is typically 40-60% and ALIS looks like it's more advanced than most bean counting systems…

This is what so many non-software people trying to make decisions on software fail to realize - every constraint added increases the complexity of software by an order of magnitude.

I run into this at work all the time.

Me: FYI, in scenario xyz, I updated the documentation to do abc. It seems like the best balance of complication and doing the right thing, especially considering it will almost never come up.

Boss: why does it even matter what it does? It will come up maybe once per year. Oh, and it should do instead, so do that.

Me: sigh....

Re: Status of F-35 – Senate Armed Services Committee Statement [pdf]

#44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It is a respunding success according to the amount of porking it generated. Is the f-22 exported? Edit: to clarify: they're not exporting the good one which could change an actual war.

No exports of the F-22. It's apparently got some technology they're not willing to transfer, even to allies.

I'm half-way suspecting that the F-22 isn't available for export, because it would hurt the sales of the F-35.

Re: Status of F-35 – Senate Armed Services Committee Statement [pdf]

#45

When viewing the F-35 through the lens of a defense project, it looks silly. You must also realize that this is also an indirect federal jobs program. When the F-35 would replace other aircraft and their roles, the bases, parts suppliers, and ...sub contractors those people had to be kept employed. No member of congress wanted to say don't add that or build that if it would hurt their district. So much backroom deali…

Army: We need 3 different planes

Government: Why not build one plane that can do 3 things? it will be cheaper.

... it turns out it isn't.

Re: Status of F-35 – Senate Armed Services Committee Statement [pdf]

#46

Earlier quoted context omitted.

F-22 is an apex predator, F-35 is a multirole fighter/bomber. two different planes. I think you mean going back to building specific planes for specific thing rather than jack off all trades plane

The F-35 is a 1.5 Trillion black hole; a stark lesson on the sunk cost fallacy. The F-22 exists, and works. We already have bombers, and frankly it seems less useful to put humans rather than robots in harm's way for a bombing run.

Maybe it is an example of the sunk cost fallacy. But ruminate on this for a moment: if we were having this conversation in 1996, you could have easily said something like, "The F-22 is a $800 billion black hole; a stark lesson on the sunk cost fallacy. The F-15 exists, and works..."

Maybe the F-35 is what you say it is, but when you look at the history of fighter development, I don't think the F-35 is significantly different, just a continuation and amplification of trends seen on previous programs. In other words, these kinds of problems aren't unique to the F-35. This is by no means an excuse, just a thinking point.

Re: Status of F-35 – Senate Armed Services Committee Statement [pdf]

#47

Earlier quoted context omitted.

IIRC, the F-22 has the equivalent of a Harris Night Hawk computer onboard. That was a big deal 20 years ago , but computationally outclassed by a $100 smartphone today. My memory, faulty as it may be, seems to recall a two page ad in AW&ST touting the Night Hawk "supercomputer" that would be in each F-22.

This is normal in the defense industry. You must be very careful when you upgrade hardware, because it should be proven that the upgrade provides at least the capability of the previous system (regression testing) plus whatever new/improved functionality you plan. Changing hardware on the timescale of consumer electronics is simply not viable, or necessary. In other words, my response to your statement that the avion…

Similar arguments apply to spacecraft. The processors and other IT tech are usually far behind consumer gear. This is party due to the radiation hardening required, but also the lack of a real requirement for the latest-and-greatest.

Re: Status of F-35 – Senate Armed Services Committee Statement [pdf]

#48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No exports of the F-22. It's apparently got some technology they're not willing to transfer, even to allies.

I'm half-way suspecting that the F-22 isn't available for export, because it would hurt the sales of the F-35.

The F-22 is not for export because we want to make sure we can shoot down the f35s we do export.

Re: Status of F-35 – Senate Armed Services Committee Statement [pdf]

#49

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The F-35 is a 1.5 Trillion black hole; a stark lesson on the sunk cost fallacy. The F-22 exists, and works. We already have bombers, and frankly it seems less useful to put humans rather than robots in harm's way for a bombing run.

Maybe it is an example of the sunk cost fallacy. But ruminate on this for a moment: if we were having this conversation in 1996, you could have easily said something like, "The F-22 is a $800 billion black hole; a stark lesson on the sunk cost fallacy. The F-15 exists, and works..." Maybe the F-35 is what you say it is, but when you look at the history of fighter development, I don't think the F-35 is significantly d…

The F-35 was inspired by the cost of F-22 production, an inspiration that has already proven to be wrongheaded. The rest of what you're saying is very reasonable, but spending 1.5 trillion to discover the answer isn't.

Re: Status of F-35 – Senate Armed Services Committee Statement [pdf]

#50
post #5

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So basically F35 is a plane embedded in a software. Why not have embedded computers in a decent plane? lol.

> Why not have embedded computers in a decent plane? Oddly enough, Fairchild Aircraft was formed when Mr Fairchild decided to build a 'decent plane' to carry-around his aerial cameras... Back to the F-35 it is interesting to contrast how Dassault in France has been slowly expanding the mission scope of its Rafale by adding additional software, without affecting the actual flight-control systems. After 12 years of gra…

> Oddly enough, Fairchild Aircraft was formed when Mr Fairchild decided to build a 'decent plane' to carry-around his aerial cameras...

Ya know, I think he may have been onto something there ...

> The A-10 was designed around the 30 mm GAU-8 Avenger rotary cannon that is its primary armament.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fairchild_Republic_A-10_Thunde...

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