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AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol 3-0 [video]

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Re: AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol 3-0 [video]

#311
post #79

My (long) commentary here: https://www.facebook.com/yudkowsky/posts/10154018209759228 Sample: At this point it seems likely that Sedol is actually far outclassed by a superhuman player. The suspicion is that since AlphaGo plays purely for probability of long-term victory rather than playing for points, the fight against Sedol generates boards that can falsely appear to a human to be balanced even as Sedol's probabili…

> the maximizing solution will lie at a vertex of the possibility space

Keep in mind that as well as AlphaGo plays, it's still extremely far from playing optimal moves.

Re: AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol 3-0 [video]

#312

I don't think Ke Jie would win against Alpha Go either.

No, I'm skeptical. And most importantly, due to how AlphaGo seems to be raising the bar just enough to lead confidently, I think Ke Je is in no position to judge how he would fare in advance. I mean, we have absolutely no idea whatsoever as for AlphaGo's true potential.

Re: AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol 3-0 [video]

#313
post #122

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Of course, a cat is not conscious. How do you know?

I'm not an expert in this domain, but I think it's pretty much scientific consensus that this is the case. Now experts can discuss details or semantics, but do you truly suggest cats might be conscious?

Cats haven't expressed self-recognition in the MSR test. However humans younger than 18 months also don't pass that test. So to say it is a measure of conciousness is quite a stretch.

Re: AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol 3-0 [video]

#314
post #310

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>> AlphaGo's core is built around a similar machine learning technology to Deepmind's Atari-playing system - the single, untweaked program that was able to learn superhuman play on dozens of different Atari games just by looking at the pixels, without specialization for each particular game. Woa there. The Deepmind Atari-playing AI was too specialised for each particular game. It had a reward function that translated…

I think you're wrong here. From the Nature paper describing AlphaGo: "We also tested against the strongest open-source Go program, Pachi, a sophisticated Monte Carlo search program, ranked at 2 amateur dan on KGS, that executes 100,000 simulations per move. Using no search at all, the RL policy network won 85% of games against Pachi." AlphaGo does use MCTS, but it seems that most of its improvements are actually comi…

I don't know whether this is true. If AlphaGo could do just as well without search, then why did it use search at all?

But in any case, I'm not necessarily disputing that. I'm particularly refuting the claim that the AlphaGo architecture is identical to the one that learned to play Atari games and that Deepmind have advertised as a general game-playing agent.

My comment here is specifically in reply to the GP who repeated this claim, but I'll dig up the relevant link if you're interested.

Re: AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol 3-0 [video]

#315
post #310

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think you're wrong here. From the Nature paper describing AlphaGo: "We also tested against the strongest open-source Go program, Pachi, a sophisticated Monte Carlo search program, ranked at 2 amateur dan on KGS, that executes 100,000 simulations per move. Using no search at all, the RL policy network won 85% of games against Pachi." AlphaGo does use MCTS, but it seems that most of its improvements are actually comi…

I don't know whether this is true. If AlphaGo could do just as well without search, then why did it use search at all? But in any case, I'm not necessarily disputing that. I'm particularly refuting the claim that the AlphaGo architecture is identical to the one that learned to play Atari games and that Deepmind have advertised as a general game-playing agent. My comment here is specifically in reply to the GP who rep…

Oh, fair enough. There are certainly differences; it's definitely not exact same architecture. They are both using Deep Reinforcement Learning, but e.g. AlphaGo benefits from getting an explicit representation of the board state and game rules rather than having to learn them.

Hassabis has said that in the next few months they want to try and get up to current AlphaGo performance without using any MCTS at all.

Re: AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol 3-0 [video]

#316

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>> At this point it seems likely that Sedol is actually far outclassed by a superhuman player. I still don't agree that this is the case, and I don't care what a thousand Google-hyped press releases say, beating the best human player in anything is not "superhuman" and "superhuman" performance has not been achieved by anything yet. [1] Why do I think so? Two reasons. One, because you can be entirely human and still b…

There used to be jobs for thousands of people to do what pocket calculators do. Those jobs have been gone for decades. Humans entirely replaced by machines. So, yes, calculators are superhuman.

Oddly enough, these people you mention were referred to as 'computers'. (Because they performed computations.)

Re: AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol 3-0 [video]

#317
post #310

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>> AlphaGo's core is built around a similar machine learning technology to Deepmind's Atari-playing system - the single, untweaked program that was able to learn superhuman play on dozens of different Atari games just by looking at the pixels, without specialization for each particular game. Woa there. The Deepmind Atari-playing AI was too specialised for each particular game. It had a reward function that translated…

I think you're wrong here. From the Nature paper describing AlphaGo: "We also tested against the strongest open-source Go program, Pachi, a sophisticated Monte Carlo search program, ranked at 2 amateur dan on KGS, that executes 100,000 simulations per move. Using no search at all, the RL policy network won 85% of games against Pachi." AlphaGo does use MCTS, but it seems that most of its improvements are actually comi…

[deleted]

Re: AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol 3-0 [video]

#318
post #310

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think you're wrong here. From the Nature paper describing AlphaGo: "We also tested against the strongest open-source Go program, Pachi, a sophisticated Monte Carlo search program, ranked at 2 amateur dan on KGS, that executes 100,000 simulations per move. Using no search at all, the RL policy network won 85% of games against Pachi." AlphaGo does use MCTS, but it seems that most of its improvements are actually comi…

I don't know whether this is true. If AlphaGo could do just as well without search, then why did it use search at all? But in any case, I'm not necessarily disputing that. I'm particularly refuting the claim that the AlphaGo architecture is identical to the one that learned to play Atari games and that Deepmind have advertised as a general game-playing agent. My comment here is specifically in reply to the GP who rep…

The idea is that even there's a policy network that is able to decide at some point what the best possible move is, the tree search is done to refine this choice and to "evaluate" it. This is why a value network is derived from policy network and is used in conjunction with MCTS to make sure that the moves AlphaGo picks are good ones.

Re: AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol 3-0 [video]

#319
post #310

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think you're wrong here. From the Nature paper describing AlphaGo: "We also tested against the strongest open-source Go program, Pachi, a sophisticated Monte Carlo search program, ranked at 2 amateur dan on KGS, that executes 100,000 simulations per move. Using no search at all, the RL policy network won 85% of games against Pachi." AlphaGo does use MCTS, but it seems that most of its improvements are actually comi…

I don't know whether this is true. If AlphaGo could do just as well without search, then why did it use search at all? But in any case, I'm not necessarily disputing that. I'm particularly refuting the claim that the AlphaGo architecture is identical to the one that learned to play Atari games and that Deepmind have advertised as a general game-playing agent. My comment here is specifically in reply to the GP who rep…

Where did he say "identical"?

Re: AlphaGo beats Lee Sedol 3-0 [video]

#320

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Of course, but it has to be trained anew, with new data. You can't train it on Go data and expect it to perform at all well on vision tasks.

How does that differ from a human brain?

A lot. A brain is much bigger and much slower.
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