https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multivariate_normal_distributi...
When the U.S. air force discovered the flaw of averages
21–30 of 115 posts
Re: When the U.S. air force discovered the flaw of averages
#22Has nobody heard of quetelet?
edit:
Found the article:
http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2016/02/the-inve...
Re: When the U.S. air force discovered the flaw of averages
#23Re: When the U.S. air force discovered the flaw of averages
#24Articles like this remind me how rational and practical the military is. I know so many brilliant military minds, yet war itself seems outdated and plagued by so many emotionally irrational decisions. I can't reconcile those two thoughts. How can people inside the military be so incredibly smart, yet still think it makes sense to ... you know, kill people's friends and families and not expect them to become terrorist…
...and yes, of course the military-industrial complex is complicit in our ongoing distraction, but they only hire the pundits and media personalities. We're the ones who listen to them.
Re: When the U.S. air force discovered the flaw of averages
#25Articles like this remind me how rational and practical the military is. I know so many brilliant military minds, yet war itself seems outdated and plagued by so many emotionally irrational decisions. I can't reconcile those two thoughts. How can people inside the military be so incredibly smart, yet still think it makes sense to ... you know, kill people's friends and families and not expect them to become terrorist…
Do military people disagree with your analysis about killing ?
I guess they have to think, what is the alternative? We can't change our role in the Middle East. We can't just stop supporting Israel for example.
I suppose yes, they tried Camp David. I guess I just want everyone to cease fire.
Maybe the overpowered people resorting to terrorism, I do hate that word, have to think there is a positive outcome from the cease fire. If they cease firing and life doesn't improve, why did they cease firing? At least firing alleviates the frustration of it all. They think they are hurting those who are hurting themselves.
But life for the Palestinians never improves no matter. It just keeps getting worse and worse and worse for them. The people with the power have to stop exerting it over others and selfishly taking more.
I had a buddy in Afghanistan and he said their way of life is 500 years old. I mean, I think okay, if they don't want to progress, that doesn't mean we should use the tools of our progress to take from them so we can progress more.
I think at some point we have to stop betraying people.
Re: When the U.S. air force discovered the flaw of averages
#26Articles like this remind me how rational and practical the military is. I know so many brilliant military minds, yet war itself seems outdated and plagued by so many emotionally irrational decisions. I can't reconcile those two thoughts. How can people inside the military be so incredibly smart, yet still think it makes sense to ... you know, kill people's friends and families and not expect them to become terrorist…
Re: When the U.S. air force discovered the flaw of averages
#27Is it just me or does this sound oddly familiar to machine learning recommendation systems? ie: show an item based on the average of all the other items that everyone else has looked at.
Re: When the U.S. air force discovered the flaw of averages
#28Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yeah, in this case if the 10 traits are independent and the chance of falling in the "average range" is 1/3 for any one trait then the probability of any one soldier falling the the average range for 10 traits is (1/3)^10 = 1/59049.
That's assuming that they're independent, though, which is certainly false. I'm curious by how much.
Re: When the U.S. air force discovered the flaw of averages
#29Articles like this remind me how rational and practical the military is. I know so many brilliant military minds, yet war itself seems outdated and plagued by so many emotionally irrational decisions. I can't reconcile those two thoughts. How can people inside the military be so incredibly smart, yet still think it makes sense to ... you know, kill people's friends and families and not expect them to become terrorist…
Re: When the U.S. air force discovered the flaw of averages
#30joint distribution of 2 normal distributions isn't necessarily a normal distribution in 2 variables. Independence would be sufficient condition for that, yet obviously there is no independence between various measurements of a human body. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multivariate_normal_distributi...