I wonder how energy costs would factor into these economics. A couple of thoughts off the top of my head: * drones run on electricity - they are less energy efficient than ground vehicles, but this can be offset by cheapness of electricity - particularly in areas where battery recharge could be done by solar or wind. * The large banks of batteries required to make the drones economically efficient (I imagine it would…
The Economics of Drone Delivery
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Re: The Economics of Drone Delivery
#12For Amazon, it's not necessarily about how well they can execute on their drone delivery program. I imagine that Amazon will actually make a go of turning drone fulfillment into a business, a la AWS, though the effort is still worthwhile for them even if that never happens. With this drone program, they are able to provide a large scale proof of concept, working through legal barriers that are relatively trivial for a company with Amazon's resources, but insurmountable for hypothetical drone logistics startups that might want to put pressure on UPS et al. But once the grunt work is done, the barriers to competing in the logistics industry through drone fleets will be substantially diminished.
This is the big upside for Amazon here: paving the way for increased competition in the delivery industry (whether it ends up primarily being driven by Amazon, incumbent companies, or startups) which will have the likely impact of improving it's unit costs while having the potential of eventually bringing it into parity with regards to the largest remaining advantage that Wal-Mart retains, same-day delivery.
The unit costs and limitations aren't particularly relevant to much at this point in time. Those will significantly improve as competition increases, as is typical in maturing technology industries.
Re: The Economics of Drone Delivery
#13Re: The Economics of Drone Delivery
#14I wonder how energy costs would factor into these economics. A couple of thoughts off the top of my head: * drones run on electricity - they are less energy efficient than ground vehicles, but this can be offset by cheapness of electricity - particularly in areas where battery recharge could be done by solar or wind. * The large banks of batteries required to make the drones economically efficient (I imagine it would…
An airplane is far more efficient than a helicopter (drone). Also, I can't imagine that a drone flying the last mile is going to be less energy efficient than driving that big heavy delivery truck.
Re: The Economics of Drone Delivery
#15However one, more interesting and probably lucrative part that should be easier to implement would be transport between major hub to nearby delivery point. Since these points can be built out and/or prepared, you can have deliveries coming non-stop, through FAA approved route, and then delivered from there. It doesn't even have to be dedicated Amazon employee, they can offer pick up or delivery by Uber or something like that.
For me this part can be very creative and I am surprised that Amazon doesn't see this as promising area of investment.
Re: The Economics of Drone Delivery
#16> Instead, the real challenge is the regulatory environment. The FAA has banned all commercial uses of drones in the U.S. I always don't understand this reasoning. There are tons of other markets, many of which Amazon is active in. Being successful there without any problems would be the perfect argument to also allow it in the US.
Re: The Economics of Drone Delivery
#17> Instead, the real challenge is the regulatory environment. The FAA has banned all commercial uses of drones in the U.S. I always don't understand this reasoning. There are tons of other markets, many of which Amazon is active in. Being successful there without any problems would be the perfect argument to also allow it in the US.
Re: The Economics of Drone Delivery
#18Re: The Economics of Drone Delivery
#19Earlier quoted context omitted.
An airplane is far more efficient than a helicopter (drone). Also, I can't imagine that a drone flying the last mile is going to be less energy efficient than driving that big heavy delivery truck.
Per pound of cargo I'm sure the delivery truck is way more energy efficient if it's relatively full.