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Thomas Piketty: Clamping down with law and order will not be enough

piketty.blog.lemonde.fr

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Re: Thomas Piketty: Clamping down with law and order will not be enough

#111
post #6

It's been clear for a very long time - what's needed is: Opportunities for creation of wealth, access to health care and specifically mental health care and lots of education. Next.

There is absolutely no credible, facts-driven research to suggest that lack of wealth, access to health care, access to mental health care, or access to education have a direct correlation to individuals joining terrorist groups or the rise of such groups. It's just a common trope repeated because it fits with people's existing ideologies. Terrorism is much more complicated than that.

That's a bit generalizing. This paper[1] talks about the over-representation of engineers in violent Islamic organizations. Specifically talks about how there are fewer engineers in Saudi Arabia and Indonesia versus Palestine and other countries in the same type of groups. There seems to be /some/ correlation between economic opportunity and sub-segments of the population joining these types of groups.

[1] http://www.sociology.ox.ac.uk/materials/papers/2007-10.pdf

Re: Thomas Piketty: Clamping down with law and order will not be enough

#112
post #98

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No. No I would not murder dozens of innocent people. There's a lot of poverty in the world and the vast majority of the impoverished do not commit such atrocities.

"no I wouldn't" I guess it was too much to ask you to walk a mile in their shoes, because we internet dwelling rich folk literally cannot comprehend poverty on this level, of watching your family die before your eyes as a teenager. "vast majority of the impoverished do not commit such atrocities." The vast majority don't have a years pay untaxed offered, never have to make the choice. Easy to say they won't do someth…

It is possible for me to walk two miles and still conclude that no I would not purposefully murder dozens of innocent civilians. It's possible I've even thought about this before.

But it's cool that you think there's only one logical outcome and anyone who disagrees is just too unempathetic to see why your view is the only correct view.

Re: Thomas Piketty: Clamping down with law and order will not be enough

#113

I don't understand why we shouldn't believe what's coming straight out of ISIS' mouth. ISIS has said they're killing us because of their interpretation of a book written in the first millennia. They say this every time they attack us. Yet (mostly on the left) we keep coming up with reasons why this isn't the case. "No, actually, you're not attacking us for that reason, really it's our fault because we gave the oil to…

> I don't understand why we shouldn't believe what's coming straight out of ISIS' mouth.

Accepting it doesn't really answer much.

> ISIS has said they're killing us because of their interpretation of a book written in the first millennia.

Yes, and if we accept this, we are faced with the question of what makes particular people in particular times and places likely to accept and act on messages like this, and what circumstances enable them to be successful when they do. Daesh isn't the only group to promote an ideology like this based on interpretation of some ancient religious text (nor is the phenomenon of groups trying, or even succeeding, in doing that limited to the Middle East, or the Islamic world, nor are the Quran the only text which has been used in this role.)

Nor, for that matter, was Daesh (though it had a different name!) new to this when they first started achieving real success -- they had similar goals and interpretation of Islam before they became known as al-Qaeda in Iraq, when they were known as al-Qaeda in Iraq, and when they rejected their affiliation with al-Qaeda to style themselves first as "the Islamic State in Iraq", then "the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant", and finally "the Islamic State".

> When someone shoots up a Planned Parenthood, however, he doesn't even have to make a public statement and the same people are quick to blame Christian beliefs or rhetoric and immediately accept the ideological reason for the violence.

Women's health clinic attacks by violent religious extremists with an overt religious motivation are a recurring pattern in the US; assuming that another such attack is part of that pattern rather than breaking with it is not exactly a giant leap. In any case, the ideology behind the attack and the conditions which made the attacker susceptible to adopting that ideology are distinct issues.

> Why don't we say that gunmen attack Planned Parenthoods because of income inequality in the United States?

Actually, lots of people on the left -- the only people who generally acknowledge the overt ideological motivation of violence of Christian religious extremists -- point to social factors like income inequality and persistent poverty as among the factors that make people susceptible to that extremism (as well as pointing to deliberate acts by certain political elites to fan that extremism and channel it for political ends as contributing to the uptake of the extremism.) These positions are complementary, rather than incompatible.

Re: Thomas Piketty: Clamping down with law and order will not be enough

#114

I don't understand why we shouldn't believe what's coming straight out of ISIS' mouth. ISIS has said they're killing us because of their interpretation of a book written in the first millennia. They say this every time they attack us. Yet (mostly on the left) we keep coming up with reasons why this isn't the case. "No, actually, you're not attacking us for that reason, really it's our fault because we gave the oil to…

Rudimentary talk-radio analysis aside...

I find Daesh far scarier than other Islamic fundamentalist movements because their techniques are more sophisticated and their aim is much higher. The "they're killing us!" argument is so silly... terror attacks are to stir western nations into violent action, not to actually significantly injure us. And it works - far too many Americans and Europeans live and act politically in abject terror of very low-impact, unlikely events.

What scares me about Daesh, though, is that I think they're trying to goad outside powers into massive wars with each other! This is why they've attacked everyone - the US, France, Russia, and all the major Arab nations. Everyone is off fighting in Syria, and not as a unified front, but a bunch of independent powers making independent alliances and jockeying for position.

During a recent presidential debate, Rand Paul wisely asked the question, "Are you ready to shoot down Russian planes?" (note: I'm not a Rand Paul supporter. I just thought he was spot-on with this.) If the US creates a no-fly zone while Russia wants to do bombing runs in it, we could have a situation where American and Russian planes are in direct combat. There's a non-zero chance that this could lead to nuclear war and the destruction of the West as we know it. And we've already had the first taste of it, with NATO member Turkey shooting down a Russian plane.

If I wanted to destroy the West, that's exactly what I'd do - provoke a war between the US and Russia with those giant Cold War nuclear arsenals.

And that makes me think Daesh is by far the most sophisticated and dangerous enemy we've seen since the Nazis.

Re: Thomas Piketty: Clamping down with law and order will not be enough

#115
Just read the article - the Washington post did quite a bit of editorializing.

> Le tout-sécuritaire ne suffira pas

Translated roughly as "Total security will not suffice" (or the "state security apparatus" will not suffice). His argument isn't that inequality created ISIS. But rather that:

> C’est une évidence   : le terrorisme se nourrit de la poudrière inégalitaire moyen-orientale, que nous avons largement contribuée à créer. Daech, «  Etat islamique en Irak et au Levant  », est directement issu de la décomposition du régime irakien, et plus généralement de l’effondrement du système de frontières établi dans la région en 1920.

He says the evidence shows that terrorism preys on the "powder keg" of middle-eastern inequality, and that the invasion of Iraq (and destruction of the previous regime) lead to the creation of ISIS. Not exactly ground breaking.

Anyhow, I'm not going to translate the whole thing, but near the end this:

> Rien ne peut excuser cette dérive sanguinaire, machiste et pathétique.

"Nothing can excuse this bloodthirsty, masochist and pathetic act"

> Tout juste peut-on noter que le chômage et la discrimination professionnelle à l’embauche (particulièrement massive pour les personnes qui ont coché toutes les bonnes cases en termes de diplôme, expérience, etc., comme l’ont montré des travaux récents; voir également ici) ne doivent pas aider.

"We can only note that unemployment and discrimination don't help"

> C’est par le développement social et équitable que la haine sera vaincue.

"It's through social development and equality that hate will be defeated"

Again, not ground breaking. It took the west several reformations of our culture/religion, and 2 world wars to finally get our heads out of our proverbial asses. Also, social welfare has played a huge part in the rise of a real 'middle class'. We aren't as capitalist as we think, and 'socialism' is part of the reason inequality isn't as bad today as in 1900. But, as the data shows, inequality is on the rise yet again (as conservative politics are also on the rise).

Re: Thomas Piketty: Clamping down with law and order will not be enough

#116

Then what is behind the rise of the Islamic State's recruiting, whose targets aren't suffering any obvious economic strife? http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/22/world/middleeast/from-minn... Modern liberalism offers no solution to the problem of evil. It assumes that as long as your basic needs are met, and you're mentally sane, that you will behave as a rational, non-violent person. It sees humans as essentially materi…

You statement assumes that everyone who joins/supports ISIS is evil or brainwashed like the people in that article.

Imagine you are a resident of a town just captured by ISIS in Syria. Assuming that they don't kill you immediately for being a Shia, Kurd, Christian or Yazidi, how hard would it be for you to say no to supporting them, when the alternative is death, or to flee to another place only to be forced into destitution due to lack of economic opportunity.

No doubt ISIS seems to have a special capability to recruit people with sociopathic desires, but any army marches on its stomach, and that requires regular, non-evil people, to participate in the effort.

Re: Thomas Piketty: Clamping down with law and order will not be enough

#117
post #64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ah. People are in poverty and to get out of poverty they blow themselves up in a public place such that they can murder a bunch of innocent civilians in the process. Got it. Good to know.

If your country was destroyed, there was no jobs, you had no money, no food, your home was crumbling, your siblings starving, your parents helpless... and you were 17 and powerless, and someone offered you $10,000 to do it... would you? Would you do something terrible to ensure that your family got a huge payday that would put food on their table for potentially years?

You seem to think everyone's decency has a price, especially poor people. Pretty depressing thought but thankfully not true. Otherwise people would be blowing themselves up all over the world, including the US. Instead it is almost entirely the members of one death cult.

Re: Thomas Piketty: Clamping down with law and order will not be enough

#118

I don't understand why we shouldn't believe what's coming straight out of ISIS' mouth. ISIS has said they're killing us because of their interpretation of a book written in the first millennia. They say this every time they attack us. Yet (mostly on the left) we keep coming up with reasons why this isn't the case. "No, actually, you're not attacking us for that reason, really it's our fault because we gave the oil to…

The left claims ISIS happened because of geopolitical bullying that the West did in that area for about a century now. The right claims ISIS happened because they are religious nutjobs fundamentally opposed to western values.

I think it's not either / or. I think it's a messy situation with a complicated causal web. It's more like all of the above.

You get Picot / Sykes after WWI to stir up trouble in the region. And the creation of an artificial state after WWII in the region, which the West keeps sponsoring so that they dominate the area militarily. And things like the CIA coup to remove Mosaddegh from office in Iran, who ended up being replaced with a theocracy. And the relentless pressure and meddling from the West, for the purpose of maintaining an oil supply.

And then you get a bunch of religious nutjobs ruling various places in the area. And a religion which seems to have a particularly "robust" attitude towards "holy wars". And then throw in the mix some climate shifts that knock out harvests and upset the price of food staples. And maybe the economists are right, too, and vast inequalities of all sorts in the area just made everything else worse.

If any one of the factors mentioned above was acting in isolation, nothing would have happened. But the stack, as you see, is pretty thick, and I guess something broke somewhere. It's all of the above. It's not one single, isolated reason.

Re: Thomas Piketty: Clamping down with law and order will not be enough

#119
post #58

The cause of ISIS is Islamic extremism. Not income inequality. Not climate change. Islamic extremism. Those who claim otherwise are merely playing politics to advance political agendas. Sam Harris, the well-known atheist author and speaker, describes such people well[0]: "These people are part of what [Muslim reformist] Maajid Nawaz has termed the “regressive Left”—pseudo-liberals who are so blinded by identity polit…

I am not disagreeing with you here, but what you are saying doesn't discount that income inequality could still lead desperate people into Islamic (or more generally religious, or even more generally, ideological) extremism. Blind faith thrives among the poor and uneducated.
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