Part Deux is here: https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/geopolitics-united-states-... It occurs to me that what Strat4 is doing here is forecasting . Extrapolating from historic bases of power to predict the emergence of future hegemons. But wouldn't it be possible to achieve a more data-driven, empirical analysis? Might make a sweet Kaggle crowd prediction problem ;)
http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:4rknDaG...