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The Geopolitics of the United States, Part 1: The Inevitable Empire (2011)

stratfor.com

11–20 of 57 posts

Re: The Geopolitics of the United States, Part 1: The Inevitable Empire (2011)

#11

Part Deux is here: https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/geopolitics-united-states-... It occurs to me that what Strat4 is doing here is forecasting . Extrapolating from historic bases of power to predict the emergence of future hegemons. But wouldn't it be possible to achieve a more data-driven, empirical analysis? Might make a sweet Kaggle crowd prediction problem ;)

Here if you're asked to register after reading part 1.

http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:4rknDaG...

Re: The Geopolitics of the United States, Part 1: The Inevitable Empire (2011)

#12
post #3
post #2

And so the final imperative of the dominant power of North America is to ensure that this never happens - to keep Eurasia divided among as many different (preferably mutually hostile) powers as possible. What a disturbing view of the world.

Disturbing that Stratfor thinks this, or disturbing to you that they might be right?

Disturbing that this is what the US foreign policy does for over half a century, Stratfor aside.

Re: The Geopolitics of the United States, Part 1: The Inevitable Empire (2011)

#13
post #4

According to Wikipedia the inland waterways of the US carry cargo worth $73 billion each year - which is about 4% of US GDP. In that context the fascination with inland waterways seems a bit odd.

Wikipedia probably doesn't include the downstream (no pun intended) value of that cargo. Grain becomes bread. Coal becomes energy and steel.

Re: The Geopolitics of the United States, Part 1: The Inevitable Empire (2011)

#15
post #14
post #7

> coastal plain of the Pacific Northwest Where's that?

http://www.united-states-map.com/topo/northwest.htm I don't read topos very well, but it looks like most of the coast on that map is greenish and plainish.

The linked map is not very detailed. This one lets you zoom in:

https://www.google.com/maps/@45.310701,-121.9917256,8z/data=...

Significant portions of the Oregon coast look like this:

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/0/0d/Heceta_H...

The Willamette Valley is a plain, but no one would consider it coastal.

Re: The Geopolitics of the United States, Part 1: The Inevitable Empire (2011)

#16
post #2

And so the final imperative of the dominant power of North America is to ensure that this never happens - to keep Eurasia divided among as many different (preferably mutually hostile) powers as possible. What a disturbing view of the world.

You are disturbed by peace and prosperity?

Re: The Geopolitics of the United States, Part 1: The Inevitable Empire (2011)

#17
post #2

And so the final imperative of the dominant power of North America is to ensure that this never happens - to keep Eurasia divided among as many different (preferably mutually hostile) powers as possible. What a disturbing view of the world.

Realpolitik 101. Which is the only kind of politik proven to work with a track record.

Re: The Geopolitics of the United States, Part 1: The Inevitable Empire (2011)

#18
post #2

And so the final imperative of the dominant power of North America is to ensure that this never happens - to keep Eurasia divided among as many different (preferably mutually hostile) powers as possible. What a disturbing view of the world.

Realpolitik 101. Which is the only kind of politik proven to work with a track record.

Considering how many millions of people have suffered due to the enforcement and enlargement of interests of hegemonies through realpolitik, I'd think your assertion at face value is abhorrent.

The track is littered with bodies in the wake of imperialists. That's the reality of realpolitik: institutions of power crushing as many people as they need to in order to persist.

Re: The Geopolitics of the United States, Part 1: The Inevitable Empire (2011)

#19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Realpolitik 101. Which is the only kind of politik proven to work with a track record.

Considering how many millions of people have suffered due to the enforcement and enlargement of interests of hegemonies through realpolitik, I'd think your assertion at face value is abhorrent. The track is littered with bodies in the wake of imperialists. That's the reality of realpolitik: institutions of power crushing as many people as they need to in order to persist.

> I'd think your assertion at face value is abhorrent.

Doesn't make it less true though. Reaison d'Etat and Realpolitik are at the base of anything we hold dear in the modern world. Otherwise we would have had Hapsburg theocracy in Europe and the modern world would have been impossible.

It was Richelieu going against his god, to service his country and Disraeli and Bismark that made the modern world possible.

Re: The Geopolitics of the United States, Part 1: The Inevitable Empire (2011)

#20
post #2

And so the final imperative of the dominant power of North America is to ensure that this never happens - to keep Eurasia divided among as many different (preferably mutually hostile) powers as possible. What a disturbing view of the world.

Realpolitik 101. Which is the only kind of politik proven to work with a track record.

So Russia occupying Crimea is just politics, just drawing borders in a way favorable to you?
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