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How to know if where you live is “up and coming”: fried chicken vs. coffee shops

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191–200 of 313 posts

Re: How to know if where you live is “up and coming”: fried chicken vs. coffee shops

#191
post #178

This analysis is simplistic and flawed. It asserts a correlation between the fried chicken/coffee shop ratio index and home price, which is reasonable enough. It then assumes that homes that are undervalued vis-a-vis their implied value by the FC/CS index are up and coming. This likely makes sense in an environment of overall rising house prices. However if house prices are falling or stagnant overall it may be the c…

So it just missing a term then? Add in rising prices and call it a day?

Re: How to know if where you live is “up and coming”: fried chicken vs. coffee shops

#194
post #178

This analysis is simplistic and flawed. It asserts a correlation between the fried chicken/coffee shop ratio index and home price, which is reasonable enough. It then assumes that homes that are undervalued vis-a-vis their implied value by the FC/CS index are up and coming. This likely makes sense in an environment of overall rising house prices. However if house prices are falling or stagnant overall it may be the c…

The Fritsch-Waugh-Lovell theorem: if

y = ax + by + cz + (zero-mean nuisance),

I can estimate a least-squares model of the form

y' = ax + b*y + (zero-mean nuisance)

and get a correct estimate of b, as long as y and z are uncorrelated.

(Where this breaks down: for example, a regression of IQ on age and arm length; omit age and you'll get longer arms (older kids) producing higher IQ scores, because age and arm length are correlated.)

Re: How to know if where you live is “up and coming”: fried chicken vs. coffee shops

#195

There's no justification for the assumption of a high coffee-to-chicken ratio implying up-and-coming. It's not an unreasonable assumption, but it's definitely anecdotal.

Why not try a backtest? Pick a point in time (say, Jan 1, 2011). Pick another data point (say, Jan 1 2015). See which variables explain the rise in house prices the best?

Re: How to know if where you live is “up and coming”: fried chicken vs. coffee shops

#196
post #32

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm not from America - care to explain?

I'm not an American, but I believe they are referring to the racist meme that associates fried chicken to Americans of non-white ethnicities. This differs from the UK where fried chicken is more associated with the lower classes than a particular race.

[deleted]

Re: How to know if where you live is “up and coming”: fried chicken vs. coffee shops

#197
post #32

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm not from America - care to explain?

I'm not an American, but I believe they are referring to the racist meme that associates fried chicken to Americans of non-white ethnicities. This differs from the UK where fried chicken is more associated with the lower classes than a particular race.

Exactly. I hadn't even thought of this as being racist until I started reading comments here- in London especially, KFC ripoffs aren't a race thing, they're a class thing. I'm reasonably sensitive to people being racist, but given that this article is about London, I'm finding it hard to see the racism.

Re: How to know if where you live is “up and coming”: fried chicken vs. coffee shops

#198
post #184

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Jogging, fried chicken, and coffee shops. Yup. You'd be paying fines and penalties if you posted this from the USA. I doubt there'd be criminal prosecution under 42 USC unless you repeatedly continued posting this kind of content after warnings, but that is not legal advice. It's illegal for anyone involved in the housing or real estate industries to propagate racist information. Also it's illegal to advocate racist…

Wait, What? There is a law against giving racist real estate advice? That, isn't actually true, is it? You are joking? Is that actually true?!

Relax. Even if there is such a law it certainly is not illegal in USA to "advocate (...) opinions (...) in public". See what happened last time someone thought advocating opinions was illegal [1]...

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Citizens_United_v._FEC

Re: How to know if where you live is “up and coming”: fried chicken vs. coffee shops

#199

A more interesting indicator that authors may consider is how many people living in the area do jogging. When I moved to London's SE4 postcode three years ago (it's pretty close to Peckham, FWIW), the regeneration of the area has just started and the more middle-class looking people appeared around, the more men and women in running gear were visible in the streets in the morning. Poor on average take worse care of t…

Jogging, fried chicken, and coffee shops. Yup. You'd be paying fines and penalties if you posted this from the USA. I doubt there'd be criminal prosecution under 42 USC unless you repeatedly continued posting this kind of content after warnings, but that is not legal advice. It's illegal for anyone involved in the housing or real estate industries to propagate racist information. Also it's illegal to advocate racist…

Are jogging, fried chicken and coffee shops clear signals for specific parts of the population outside the US as well?

I live in Berlin and would have trouble correlating any of the above with distinct subsets of the population -- all kinds of people from natives to immigrants, young and old, rich and poor go jogging, eat fried chicken (or Döner) and have coffee.

Re: How to know if where you live is “up and coming”: fried chicken vs. coffee shops

#200
post #184

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Jogging, fried chicken, and coffee shops. Yup. You'd be paying fines and penalties if you posted this from the USA. I doubt there'd be criminal prosecution under 42 USC unless you repeatedly continued posting this kind of content after warnings, but that is not legal advice. It's illegal for anyone involved in the housing or real estate industries to propagate racist information. Also it's illegal to advocate racist…

Wait, What? There is a law against giving racist real estate advice? That, isn't actually true, is it? You are joking? Is that actually true?!

I know that my wife isn't allowed to answer the question "Are the schools good here?" with anything other than "This home is in school district 123", or "you'll have to do your own research". It's considered "steering". (Because Good Schools is considered a dog whistle for "white neighborhood")
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