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What if states earned their Electoral College votes based on turnout?

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Re: What if states earned their Electoral College votes based on turnout?

#51
post #10

Meh, why is turnout something one should encourage? Put another way, why should the voices of those who could barely be bothered to show up be amplified over those of those who really care? I don't want 100% turnout; I do want the people who don't care to stay home. I'd also like to only allow people who can pass the citizenship test given to prospective naturalised citizens to be able to vote, but that's an entirely…

I don't want 100% turnout either, but for an entirely different reason. It would be a big waste of time! Why get 100% of the US's 300+ million people to take an afternoon out of their lives when we could get nearly the same accuracy if we only had 1% of that turn out to vote (keeping the demographics the same, ideally). The margin for error is miniscule with 3 million voters for 4-5 candidates, just as it is miniscule with 300 million. And the productivity gains (including increased leisure time as productive) would be huge.

Re: What if states earned their Electoral College votes based on turnout?

#52
post #41
post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There's the teensiest difference between cynically encouraging people to vote, because nonvoters tend to be more Democratic than voters, and cynically trying to prevent black people from voting, because black voters tend to be more Democratic than nonblacks.

Sure there is. But are we really going to say that it is the official stance of the entire Republican party to actively prevent black people from voting? Despite the fact that one of the leading Republican candidates right now is a black man? That is absolutely ridiculous and can only be the product of a childish and overactive imagination of a conspiracy theorist partisan nutjob that produces nothing of value whatso…

There's not a single policy or position that could be described as "the official stance of the entire Republican party," so you're demanding an unrealistic bar be met.

The voter suppression schemes are transparent, and they are officially endorsed in the most recent Republican platform. If you want to deny their intent--decreasing Democratic votes--and effect--disproportionately removing black people's ability to vote--you might as well go back and claim that Southern literacy tests were a wholly benign attempt at improving good government.

I'm not even sure how much we disagree, aside from equivocation about Republicans taking that position to increase odds of winning and Democrats taking the opposite to increase their odds. But the USA has a long and storied history of screwing over black people and their civil rights, so we should be especially sensitive about policies that target them to undermine their civil and political rights.

Re: What if states earned their Electoral College votes based on turnout?

#53
post #52
post #41

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure there is. But are we really going to say that it is the official stance of the entire Republican party to actively prevent black people from voting? Despite the fact that one of the leading Republican candidates right now is a black man? That is absolutely ridiculous and can only be the product of a childish and overactive imagination of a conspiracy theorist partisan nutjob that produces nothing of value whatso…

There's not a single policy or position that could be described as "the official stance of the entire Republican party," so you're demanding an unrealistic bar be met. The voter suppression schemes are transparent, and they are officially endorsed in the most recent Republican platform. If you want to deny their intent--decreasing Democratic votes--and effect--disproportionately removing black people's ability to vot…

>> There's not a single policy or position...

That's exactly my point. I'm not the one suggesting it, I'm responding to it.

>> The voter suppression schemes are transparent...

Yes, I even stated that. My point is that I'm not willing to label half the country as to be a part of it. In fact, I'm willing to blame people among the Democrat party of doing much the same. I just don't say it's official Democrat policy so that I'm not blaming the entire group.

>> literacy tests

Which tests? Those run by Republican or Democrat members?

>> I'm not even sure how much we disagree...

On the face of it, I don't think we do.

>> But the USA has a long and storied history of screwing over black people and their civil rights...

Which I said, US history is rife with voter fraud or disenfranchisement, whichever term you prefer. I'm not sure where you're going with all this, since it seems you are agreeing with me. Am I misunderstanding?

Re: What if states earned their Electoral College votes based on turnout?

#54
post #21

Will never happen. The Republican Party has almost made it its official platform to make it very hard for voters to vote. They are opposed to a holiday for elections; they come up with all sorts of excuses to take people off electoral rolls; they raise the bogey of "voter fraud" each and every election, when there's not much evidence of any.

Okay, I'm in. The Democrat Party has almost made it its official platform to make it very easy for non-citizens to vote; since they're most likely to vote Democrat. They support a holiday for elections; only because it would make it easier for a part of their base to vote, not because of any benefit to voters in general. They come up with all sorts of excuses to keep people on electoral rolls; whether they should be…

> The Democrat Party

No such party exists.

Re: What if states earned their Electoral College votes based on turnout?

#55

I'm surprised voter turnout isn't lower. Unless you live in a swing state, or Maine or Nebraska, voting for president is a waste of time. If you are in a swing state, it still might not matter unless you are in a swing district. It's a terribly broken voting system.

The National Popular Vote bill would guarantee the Presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states and DC.

The national popular vote winner would receive all of the 270+ electoral votes of the enacting states.

Under National Popular Vote, every voter, everywhere, would be politically relevant and equal in every presidential election. Every vote would matter in the state counts and national count.

In Maine, where they award electoral votes by congressional district, the closely divided 2nd congressional district received campaign events in 2008 (whereas Maine's 1st reliably Democratic district was ignored). In 2012, the whole state was ignored. 77% of Maine voters support a national popular vote for President

In Nebraska, which also uses the district method, the 2008 presidential campaigns did not pay the slightest attention to the people of Nebraska's reliably Republican 1st and 3rd congressional districts because it was a foregone conclusion that McCain would win the most popular votes in both of those districts. The issues relevant to voters of the 2nd district (the Omaha area) mattered, while the (very different) issues relevant to the remaining (mostly rural) 2/3rds of the state were irrelevant. In 2012, the whole state was ignored. 74% of Nebraska voters support a national popular vote for President

National Popular Vote would give a voice to the minority party voters in presidential elections in each state. Now they don't matter to their candidate.

And now votes, beyond the one needed to get the most votes in the state, for winning in a state, are wasted and don't matter to candidates. Oklahoma (7 electoral votes) alone generated a margin of 455,000 "wasted" votes for Bush in 2004 -- larger than the margin generated by the 9th and 10th largest states, namely New Jersey and North Carolina (each with 15 electoral votes). Utah (5 electoral votes) alone generated a margin of 385,000 "wasted" votes for Bush in 2004. 8 small western states, with less than a third of California’s population, provided Bush with a bigger margin (1,283,076) than California provided Kerry (1,235,659).

In 2008, voter turnout in the then 15 battleground states averaged seven points higher than in the 35 non-battleground states.

In 2012, voter turnout was 11% higher in the 9 battleground states than in the remainder of the country.

Analysts already conclude that only the 2016 party winner of Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Wisconsin, Colorado, Iowa and New Hampshire is not a foregone conclusion. So less than a handful of states will continue to dominate and determine the presidential general election

With National Popular Vote, presidential campaigns would poll, organize, visit, and appeal to more than 7 states. One would reasonably expect that voter turnout would rise in 80%+ of the country that is currently conceded months in advance by the minority parties in the states, taken for granted by the dominant party in the states, and ignored by all parties in presidential campaigns.

The bill has passed a total of 33 legislative chambers in 22 rural, small, medium, large, red, blue, and purple states states with 250 electoral votes. The bill has been enacted by 11 jurisdictions possessing 165 electoral votes—61% of the 270 electoral votes necessary to activate it

http://www.NationalPopularVote.com

Re: What if states earned their Electoral College votes based on turnout?

#56
post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Which is why the votes ought to be pooled across states, so all the Republican votes in California don't get lost, just because the state majority ended up voting Democratic.

If you're pooling votes across the states then you don't exactly have an eloctoral college any more, and you get the turnout-proportional results anyway.

The National Popular Vote bill would guarantee the majority of Electoral College votes and the Presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states and DC.

The national popular vote winner would receive all of the 270+ electoral votes of the enacting states.

Under National Popular Vote, every voter, everywhere, would be politically relevant and equal in every presidential election. Every vote would matter in the state counts and national count.

The bill has passed a total of 33 legislative chambers in 22 rural, small, medium, large, red, blue, and purple states states with 250 electoral votes. The bill has been enacted by 11 jurisdictions possessing 165 electoral votes—61% of the 270 electoral votes necessary to activate it

http://www.NationalPopularVote.com

Re: What if states earned their Electoral College votes based on turnout?

#57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Vermont and Rhode Island get two senators apiece as well, and they're not exactly the most conservative states.

I count 13-16 low population states. Pretty much all of them are red states. Vermont and Rhode Island don't remotely make up for it. The reality is that if you live in a highly populated state, your voting influence is greatly diluted compared to the people in these states. Hell, the city I live in has TWICE the population of North and South Dakota combined. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_and_terri…

Count again. Of the 12 of the 13 lowest population states (3-4 electoral votes), 6 regularly vote Republican (AK, ID, MT, WY, ND, and SD), and 6 regularly vote Democratic (RI, DE, HI, VT, ME, and DC) in presidential elections.

Similarly, the 25 smallest states have been almost equally noncompetitive. They voted Republican or Democratic 12-13 in 2008 and 2012.

In the 25 smallest states in 2008, the Democratic and Republican popular vote was almost tied (9.9 million versus 9.8 million), as was the electoral vote (57 versus 58).

In the 25 smallest states in 2008, the Democratic and Republican popular vote was almost tied (9.9 million versus 9.8 million), as was the electoral vote (57 versus 58).

Now political clout comes from being among the handful of battleground states. 80% of states and voters are ignored by presidential campaign polling, organizing, ad spending, and visits. Their states’ votes were conceded months before by the minority parties in the states, taken for granted by the dominant party in the states, and ignored by all parties in presidential campaigns.

State winner-take-all laws negate any simplistic mathematical equations about the relative power of states based on their number of residents per electoral vote. Small state math means absolutely nothing to presidential campaign polling, organizing, ad spending, and visits, or to presidents once in office.

In 2012, 24 of the nation's 27 smallest states received no attention at all from presidential campaigns after the conventions after Mitt Romney became the presumptive Republican nominee on April 11. They were ignored despite their supposed numerical advantage in the Electoral College. In fact, the 8.6 million eligible voters in Ohio received more campaign ads and campaign visits from the major party campaigns than the 42 million eligible voters in those 27 smallest states combined.

Support for a national popular vote is strong in every smallest state surveyed in recent polls among Republicans, Democrats, and Independent voters, as well as every demographic group

Among the 13 lowest population states, the National Popular Vote bill has passed in nine state legislative chambers, and been enacted by 4 jurisdictions.

http://www.NationalPopularVote.com

Re: What if states earned their Electoral College votes based on turnout?

#58

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Vermont and Rhode Island get two senators apiece as well, and they're not exactly the most conservative states.

I count 13-16 low population states. Pretty much all of them are red states. Vermont and Rhode Island don't remotely make up for it. The reality is that if you live in a highly populated state, your voting influence is greatly diluted compared to the people in these states. Hell, the city I live in has TWICE the population of North and South Dakota combined. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_and_terri…

With National Popular Vote, big cities would not get all of candidates’ attention, much less control the outcome.

16% of the U.S. population lives outside the nation's Metropolitan Statistical Areas. Rural America has voted 60% Republican. None of the 10 most rural states matter now.

The population of the top five cities (New York, Los Angeles, Chicago, Houston and Philadelphia) is only 6% of the population of the United States and the population of the top 50 cities (going as far down as Arlington, TX) is only 15% of the population of the United States. 16% of the U.S. population lives in the top 100 cities. They voted 63% Democratic in 2004.

Suburbs divide almost exactly equally between Republicans and Democrats.

Big cities do not always control the outcome of elections. The governors and U.S. Senators are not all Democratic in every state with a significant city.

The main media at the moment, TV, costs much more per impression in big cities than in smaller towns and rural area. Candidates get more bang for the buck in smaller towns and rural areas.

Re: What if states earned their Electoral College votes based on turnout?

#59
post #21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Okay, I'm in. The Democrat Party has almost made it its official platform to make it very easy for non-citizens to vote; since they're most likely to vote Democrat. They support a holiday for elections; only because it would make it easier for a part of their base to vote, not because of any benefit to voters in general. They come up with all sorts of excuses to keep people on electoral rolls; whether they should be…

> The Democrat Party No such party exists.

Wow, I had no idea that some people viewed that term as negative. I had to look it up. I guess I picked it up while reading history from when the term wasn't considered negative.

I always thought Democrat Party and the Democratic Party went together depending on usage plus the preference of the person speaking. I mean, after all, they are called Democrats so it would seem to me that Democrat Party would be used. Methinks people are just complaining to be complaining.

Interesting. Today, I learned something. Anyway, I don't think I'll shall stop using the term. Thanks for the input.

Re: What if states earned their Electoral College votes based on turnout?

#60
post #59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The Democrat Party No such party exists.

Wow, I had no idea that some people viewed that term as negative. I had to look it up. I guess I picked it up while reading history from when the term wasn't considered negative. I always thought Democrat Party and the Democratic Party went together depending on usage plus the preference of the person speaking. I mean, after all, they are called Democrats so it would seem to me that Democrat Party would be used. Meth…

> Anyway, I don't think I'll shall stop using the term.

Given the pervasive way Republicans have aggressively and consistently used the term for longer than most people have been alive, I can understand its use in ignorance by people whose information sources have skewed to a Republican bias. But, if after your ignorance is cured, you are knowingly and deliberately using a term for a party that has been pretty much exclusively used as a hostile epithet by political opponents of that party for more than half a century, that's kind of telling.

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