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Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

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Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#541

Post by dartos »

doku wrote: post #465
dartos wrote: post #347

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Really bullish on AI, huh? Designing an engine? “[snuffs] out common diseases”? Solving SEO? Idk cotton, let’s see how this plays out.

"Solving" is a bad choice of word. SEO does not have a solved state. Digital design of engines can already happen now. AI chip design is already a thing, I think they help lay out more efficient trace lines. Since digital design and simulation can all happen digially. The whole cycle is digital. A system like Claude's computer use can take control and produce 100s or thousands of small modification of existing design…

I think it’s far more likely that a specialized model would be make for a such a task. Just like with chip design.

I’d be surprised if they weren’t already using some kind of ML/statistical analysis in the design of engines.

When I read AI, though, I was assuming you meant LLMs, not one of several statistical modeling technique.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#542

Post by adamredwoods »

- Google search will be split off.

- Research will prove that "attention is all you need" LLMs have a ceiling, but new theoretical LLMs will emerge.

- Putin will launch a nuclear strike against Ukraine.

- Bird flu will become zoonotic, but milder.

- Taylor Swift will get married, biggest event of the year.

- Apple and Disney will merge, raising prices to everything in the solar system.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#543

Post by adamredwoods »

0x00cl wrote: post #442

Lets get creative - There will be a "Predictions for 2026" thread. (Hehehe) - OpenAI announces GPT-5 will be the last model of the GPT-n series (As in they won't release a GPT-6) - Apple will sell a backpack (With some sort of technology included of course) - Magnus Carlsen will lose his 1st place in the FIDE top ranking. ("He has held the No. 1 position in the FIDE world chess rankings since 1 July 2011") - E.T. wil…

>> E.T. will get a sequel

Sweet! Maybe he'll arrive with a queen that lays eggs. E.T. aliens can't be mammals, right?

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#544

Post by paul7986 »

HDThoreaun wrote: post #466
paul7986 wrote: post #168

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think Open AI will release a GPT phone and the UX is built around your phone being your personal AI assistant. When you pick it up it's like you are always on a Facetime call with your AI personal assistant. You can skin your AI personal assistant how they look .. to look like a celebrity to a deceased friend or relative whose always there to help & guide you through your day (get things done for you, your knowlegd…

I dont think openAI has the staffing required to release a phone anytime soon. As far as I know there arent any hardware people there.

Open AI and Microsoft could work together to create a new personal device paradigm either a branded GPT Phone or a branded GPT Phone operating system.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#545

Post by snapplebobapple »

bobro wrote: post #175
quantisan wrote: post #72

Previous years: 2024: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38777115 (the rest of this list is copied from https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38779963 ) 2023: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34125628 2022: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746236 2021: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25594068 2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596 2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859 2018:…

Crazy how wrong people were in the top 2024 comments.

I was eeading an article on this a while ago tgat i sadly cant find but you should expect these threads to be wildly incorrect because people can read everyone elses predictiobs and be swayed by them. The wisdom of the crowd only appears to work when nobody gets to see otger results first and then the median position is wgat is usually most accurate.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#547

Post by akg_67 »

stackghost wrote: post #110
andrewinardeer wrote: post #87

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This 100%. The monstrous debt storm just over the horizon that most people can't see (or refuse to acknowledge) will hit and will hit hard. The Fed won't be able to restrain or lessen it with policies and blunt instruments at their disposal. Over the last 4 months I've moved most of my investments to gold, trading cards, BTC, wine, land and rare earth.

I'm not American but would like to read more about this "debt storm", since your politics move world markets. Can you provide some jumping-off points for the financially-literate?

/r/AskEconomics is a good subreddit for such topics, mostly due to top level replies being highly referenced and vetted. Check it out for informed discussions.

IMO, US is a unique case as the biggest consumer, importer, military and financial power. All these economic concerns about debt, trade deficit, inflation etc is just election year rhetoric that will die down once new admin is sworn in (may be this is my prediction for 2025).

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#548

Post by akg_67 »

johnny22 wrote: post #219
kelseyfrog wrote: post #96

Nation adopts AI generated national anthem. Self-driving truck cross country without human approval. Extreme heat warps bridges in mid-west. North Korea claims successful moon landing. 'Self-aware' AI chatbot sues it's creator. AI incorrectly labels school children as criminals.

> AI incorrectly labels school children as criminals. I thought this would have already happened

Didn’t CVS get sued for following through on their AI labeling POC customers as shoplifters?

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#549

Post by audessuscest »

pjerem wrote: post #181
Lordarminius wrote: post #157

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>I like index funds so much , that everything else feels a time / effort waste even though I am aspiring to be a programmer , maybe that's partially why I don't see much reason in crypto. Crypto is the future of money and finance. If you are aspiring to become a programmer you should internalize this and get in.

> Crypto is the future of money and finance. Why ? Crypto is the digital version of the old commodity money (whose value comes from a commodity of which it is made). Turns out it was absolutely impractical because people rarely want to be physically responsible for their own estate. I neither see crypto disappear anytime soon and we may see innovative usage. It can probably make sense in unstable economic environment…

money is already in very large part digital.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#550

Post by user3102410 »

sawyerbilt wrote: post #301

https://drive.google.com/drive/u/0/folders/1tDzUTGyjnBSAJbID... Massive repo of all Trends for 2025

Thanks for sharing. Is there any value in these corporate powerpoints or are they simply riding the AI wave, adding a few numbers to make it seem legit and calling it a day
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