Viewing profile — jpadkins

So it hasn't innovated since Oct of 2000? (when AdWords launched)

When model intelligence reliably hits 90%-95% of current day knowledge worker tasks, they are going to burn those weight to silicon and we will see another 10X improvement in price…

I had the same thought. Then I thought, maybe "replace" is what will become opposite. Antonyms of "replace" are hold keep precede break damage deprive forfeit lose penalize remain …

I think there are rules about public disclosures in a run up to an IPO. They may not be able to publish updates until the official IPO process begins.

This reddit thread is devoid of any useful information. Just fear and speculation.

it pales in comparison to all the brain cells burned chasing dumb ideas. Don't sweat it, and keep burning tokens in an effort to discover something great.

I think another important question is can you distill taste? (another comment uses the phrase "externalize", which might mean something similar). I think people have been trying fo…

also this post was a reply to Sandy on X.

Hah. Poe's law.

Why not N+1 planets? Too many extinction level possibilities outside of our control.

money is just an idea that spreads (a meme).

What you are describing applies to all forms of money. It has value because people believe other people will use it as money. If that belief drops, the value drops. People comment …

Brin did not come out of retirement or steer the ship :-) He probably came out of retirement because LLMs were showing promise to a life long dream.

okay, but that is not the world that you live in. Many countries are religious and use religion to decide immigration.

I don't have any questions for you. Just wanted to thank you for writing Lean Startup, it was very influential to me.

why only a few thousand? serious question.

local models still need information retrieval.

I find this site useful https://artificialanalysis.ai/leaderboards/models

That is the beauty of the Resolution part of prediction markets. If evil DDT Corp bets money to skew the market, then they lose even more money on the Resolution (assuming the reso…

who uses SAT scores as "potential succeed"??

Nice try to make a law sound moral.

The other question you could be asking: Why does Google want to keep this secret for a period of time?

yes it is good in many scenarios. Imagine bad (incorrect and potentially harmful) information is public knowledge. Examples are "X cures cancer" or "Is Y dangerous to consume". A p…

So because Quebec ancestors killed all the people who opposed the conquest of that land, it's okay for Quebec to secede? But because another set of Canadians didn't kill off all th…

What's great about this article is it's a falsifiable hypothesis. Is anyone keeping a list of companies in different sectors not firing due to AI? We can revisit this in 2 years an…