Viewing profile — energy123

Private sector gained jobs. Public sector lost more jobs than the private sector gained. News reports a negative number.

You can look at current levels, or look at trends. China has stopped increasing coal. They're building a small number of new coal plants, but this is outstripped by the coal plants…

I don't have much to discuss about the movement (although I am sceptical due to the repeated historical pattern of Mensheviks making way for Bolsheviks), but the subject we are dis…

> Apple keyboards are near-horrific IMO I visited a mechanical keyboard shop, tried about 20 of them including low profile variants, then visited an Apple shop. Both shops allowed …

The cognitive load of having to press two keys takes its toll and breaks flow, even though it doesn't seem like it should make a difference, at least in my experience. I'm back to …

Those would be social democracies.

From a profitable prediction markets trader: > "Prediction: in 1-2 years, almost everyone will agree that open sourcing the best AIs is totally crazy as the AIs become capable of a…

I would argue we're crossed that point recently. This is a comment from twitter that I appreciated: > "Already, there are very few mathematicians qualified to verify OpenAI’s new r…

What is the y-axis in this claim about logarithmic improvements? Any exponential curve can be trivially turned into a logarithmic and vice-versa, and the y-axis redefined as "progr…

The breakthroughs are coming from simple prompts, some made by people with no math training: https://www.newscientist.com/article/2580932-extremely-basic... The referenced Terence …

That's a false binary. The right binary is whether it's a convergent function or a divergent function. A sigmoid is convergent, which is not well substantiated and more farfetched …

No they were not. These were his 5 predictions in 2022: """ 1. By 2029, AI will still be unable to watch a movie and accurately explain the characters, events, conflicts, and motiv…

SpaceX is selling compute to a willing buyer. You can't point to one side of the trade as evidence for under/over capacity. The way we usually judge such things is the price. If th…

> infrastructure that looks increasingly unneeded This is the crux that needs to be substantiated. Without substantiation none of your other arguments hold up.

Someone should have sent Claude's output, which spotted the trivial bug behind the recent bitcoin heist, to the Coldcard developers. It might be rude to send LLM output. It's also …

IQ gets manually recalibrated downwards when people get stupider so it's mean 100 by construction.

More job opportunities due to better grades. It's not mutually exclusive with learning the material, it's just an additional bump.

In one of my college courses, 100% of my fellow students cheated, including me. This is when I learned that virtually every person is deep down a liar and a cheat if they think the…

Countries compete for FDI but they also compete for labor. Canada has high taxes, high costs and lower opportunities. They deserve to lose talent to countries who offer them a bett…