Viewing profile — credit_guy

Wealth is not a terrible measure of good life. "Money does not bring happiness" is a trope that rich people would like poor people to believe. I don't think poor people fall for it…

I don’t think you need an additional law for that, I think the current laws cover this already. > If the HF hack were perpetrated by a human, they would certainly be charged. WHY h…

The title does not follow from the stated facts. At most one could say that the US Army has used "virtually all" of its long-range munitions. But the war in Iran is mainly prosecut…

I seriously doubt that. Here's why: > The agreement also requires OpenAI to train its personnel on the INA’s anti-discrimination requirements, revise its employment policies, and b…

They have 2 moats. The first is the compute. OpenAI and Anthropic secured huge amounts of compute, Google, Meta and xAI have their own huge datacenters. Now anyone can rent some cl…

Weak yen is low, strong yen is high.

The cost you are quoting is the one for the cleanup for nuclear weapons, not for civilian reactors.

I'm one of those proponents. Like many proponents, I'm not claiming the problem does not exist. I do think it is minor, although not insignificant. But I think you (and in general …

> When they [the hyperscalers] sell capacity in their data centers to AI service providers such as OpenAI and Anthropic PBC, these customer contracts typically last several years, …

For those who don't have access to ft.com, here's a link with the time series of the SPR from the EIA: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W...

Yes, that's how I read Amodei's post. Imagine Kimi K4 will be as powerful as Mythos. Anthropic can work for months and months to set up guardrails on Mythos, so when the model is f…

Ok. What's your stance on gun ownership then? And by gun, I mean naval guns.

I know it's unpopular, or unfashionable, but I agree with this letter. LLMs are becoming so powerful that they are dangerous. We've seen last week with the OpenAI hacking (by mista…

Those could be subsequent developments, but that's not what the linked transcript was about. The transcript was a discussion of the DeepSeek founder (Liang Wenfeng) with investors,…

I think the way to parse the current title "DeepSeek pause fundraise after comments on compute gap to US leaked (transcript) [pdf]" is that there was a leak that DeepSeek will paus…

If you see the long 3rd paragraph twice, know that you are not alone.

My guess is they used the other Anthropic models extensively for synthetic data generation. The top most similar models for K3 are (lower means more similar) Fable 5 -> 0.42 Opus 4…

I don't understand this point of view. They buy the book, they use it for training. When you read a book, you use it to train your brain. Is that copyright infringement? Downloadin…

> There's nothing there that isn't immediately replaceable. Indeed. But that was not my point. My point is that we still have this old impression that training cost is dominated by…

People who claim that the Chinese open weight models have some type of manifest advantage don't realize that the close weight models have a huge advantage as well: the researchers …

I think it's the opposite. Kimi K3 has 2.8 trillion parameters. We don't know the number of parameters of ChatGPT 5.6 or Opus 4.8, but it's probably in the same region. Fable/Mytho…

I didn’t assume that. The author makes the opposite assumption: that because nobody has ever proposed a path to technological feasibility, that thing will forever be technologicall…

That is true. What should we conclude from this statement?

> Shrinking that into a 500 kg seed — or even Freitas’ original 100-ton seed — is not an engineering detail. It may be the entire problem. How many AI tells can you count there? Bu…

That's an interesting idea, but I don't think you can use a mass driver to shoot something from an higher orbit to a lower orbit.