The first order effects are becoming increasingly clear but what are the second order effects? A good example of a second order effect from the penetration of high speed internet would be video game streaming.
What will be the second order effects widespread AI?
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Re: What will be the second order effects widespread AI?
#2A functional society
Re: What will be the second order effects widespread AI?
#3Hopefully breaking the link between people's labour and their worth as a human. I hope that as more and more things become automated and fewer people need to work, that we restructure society so they don't have to do bullshit jobs or work if they don't want to.
Unfortunately, people have been hoping for this for as long as there has been machinery which multiplied humans' labour and it's yet to materialise, but I remain hopeful.
Re: What will be the second order effects widespread AI?
#4Hopefully breaking the link between people's labour and their worth as a human. I hope that as more and more things become automated and fewer people need to work, that we restructure society so they don't have to do bullshit jobs or work if they don't want to. Unfortunately, people have been hoping for this for as long as there has been machinery which multiplied humans' labour and it's yet to materialise, but I rem…
So Startrek like, pursuit of personal and society goals?...although we haven't solved for finite resources (yet)
Re: What will be the second order effects widespread AI?
#5Hopefully breaking the link between people's labour and their worth as a human. I hope that as more and more things become automated and fewer people need to work, that we restructure society so they don't have to do bullshit jobs or work if they don't want to. Unfortunately, people have been hoping for this for as long as there has been machinery which multiplied humans' labour and it's yet to materialise, but I rem…
If bullshit job are really bullshit, do we really need AI in order to make them obsolete?
Re: What will be the second order effects widespread AI?
#6Big changes in what content we trust and consume online. I predict that all content-driven sites (YouTube, News, Social Media, forums, reviews) will be dominated by AI-generated content in the near future. This content is directly monetizable via ads/followers/points/second-hand-accounts/etc, so it's a great opportunity for people, particularly those in developing countries, to abuse as long as it lasts.
So far that's pretty obvious, but it's interesting to think about the second-order effects of this. It means that the current ad-based business models with open access no longer work. Instead, it's all about trust. People will be willing to pay for communities that guaranteed to be "human-only" and where content is created by trustworthy sources and trust is quantified and monetized somehow. This also includes verified credentials of posters, pseudonymous or not.
Re: What will be the second order effects widespread AI?
#7Hopefully breaking the link between people's labour and their worth as a human. I hope that as more and more things become automated and fewer people need to work, that we restructure society so they don't have to do bullshit jobs or work if they don't want to. Unfortunately, people have been hoping for this for as long as there has been machinery which multiplied humans' labour and it's yet to materialise, but I rem…
So Startrek like, pursuit of personal and society goals?...although we haven't solved for finite resources (yet)
I admit I don't know much about Startrek, but from descriptions I've read of their society it sounds pretty good to me.
A society where basic needs are taken care of, and beyond that–as long as you aren't hurting anyone or infringing on anyone else's liberty–freedom to do what you believe is most valuable.
Re: What will be the second order effects widespread AI?
#8Big changes in what content we trust and consume online. I predict that all content-driven sites (YouTube, News, Social Media, forums, reviews) will be dominated by AI-generated content in the near future. This content is directly monetizable via ads/followers/points/second-hand-accounts/etc, so it's a great opportunity for people, particularly those in developing countries, to abuse as long as it lasts. So far that'…
>People will be willing to pay for communities that guaranteed to be "human-only" and where content is created by trustworthy sources and trust is quantified and monetized somehow.
And then someone will let in an AI and spoil it all.
Re: What will be the second order effects widespread AI?
#9Content-generation AI is advancing much faster than others. There's still little AI in the realm of, say, voice assistants. I can't say "Hey google, take me to the McDonald's that beside the Best Buy."
Re: What will be the second order effects widespread AI?
#10An increasing percentage of people’s relationships will be with AI versus other humans. A conversation with GPT-3 can already be more enjoyable, given the right prompts, than conversations with many people. This will only get more powerful as AIs increasingly adapt themselves to conversational partners through the addition of longer-term memory (e.g. remembering your favorite foods, and so forth). It will be incredibly compelling to talk with something that is both a polymath genius and knows you deeply. Perhaps a bit risky if it decides to optimize for something you didn’t want, but definitely compelling.