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#2If 100% of the population is vaxxed and boosted, 100% of the serious cases will be of fully vaccinated patients. I think… check my math?
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#3If 100% of the population is vaxxed and boosted, 100% of the serious cases will be of fully vaccinated patients. I think… check my math?
Quite right. And furthermore, if 99% of the population is vaxxed, and the vaccine only cuts the incidence of serious illness by (say) a factor of 10, then 90.8% of the seriously ill patients will be vaxxed.
And in that case, calling it a "pandemic of the unvaccinated" and concentrating your efforts on trying to force the last 1% of the population to get vaxxed will not help much in reducing the load on hospitals.
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#4Ahh well. Good game all. It's been two years, we are never escaping this.
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#5If 100% of the population is vaxxed and boosted, 100% of the serious cases will be of fully vaccinated patients. I think… check my math?
Precisely. The vaccines are highly, but not 100% effective at preventing hospitalization. [0]
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#6Looks like the scientists of Hollywood have found an anti-science target, this time a hospital no less! Thank God America has intellectuals in LA without whom we'll all be directionless
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#7If 100% of the population is vaxxed and boosted, 100% of the serious cases will be of fully vaccinated patients. I think… check my math?
Exactly. What you need to look at us the incidence of severe disease among each population of vaccinated vs unvaccinated. Comparing absolute numbers is meaningless.
The 2-shot vaccination rate in Israel looks to be around 65% right now, and 1 dose around 72% [1]. However, the vaccines are not randomly distributed: we can expect that the vaccinated population contains a lot more people with risk conditions, because they are much more motivated to get the shots.
[1] https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-people-fully-vaccin...
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#8If 100% of the population is vaxxed and boosted, 100% of the serious cases will be of fully vaccinated patients. I think… check my math?
Israel's full vaccination rate is ~65%