Brazil, Iran and China should be prepared for the worst now
Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
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Re: Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
#932It can’t be fun running HN right now. Sorry, dang et al.
It’s like you’re the owners of a particularly popular pub that’s suddenly filled up with Johns, Jameses, Evas, and Annes, all loudly making their thoughts known while ordering a nice normal Western drink at the bar.
Vodkas, baijius, and sojus all round!
(To be fair, there are probably some Coors Lite and Stella drinkers here too.)
Re: Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
#933[flagged]
Re: Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
#934Aggregated the discussions for easier reading: https://hn-discussions.top/venezuela-maduro-captured-us-stri...
Re: Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
#935[flagged]
I don't have the ability to be a giant meteor
Re: Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
#936It's funny how many people already see this as a book that is opened and closed on the same day. That's not how these things work. This is like the first stone of an avalanche. It could stop here, or it could roll on for quite a while. It will take months or even years to know whether or not the outcome here was desirable or not and what the final tally is. Remember the 'Arab spring' and what came after.
It obviously doesn’t end today but it should be fast.
When Noriega was arrested by the US, the legitimate president started operating normally a few days after.
Re: Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
#937[flagged]
Re: Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
#938"It (Venezuela) currently exports (oil) about 900,000 barrels per day and China is by far its biggest buyer." Ah ok, so this was about China. MAGA's fixation on China is certainly going to lead to more instability.
The only reason China is the biggest buyer is because of crippling US sanctions since 2017 that have made it impossible for Venezuela to trade with any western nation
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/05775132.2019.16...
> This article analyzes the consequences of the economic sanctions imposed on Venezuela by the U.S. government since August of 2017. The authors find that most of the impact of these sanctions has not been on the government but on the civilian population. The sanctions reduced the public’s caloric intake, increased disease and mortality (for both adults and infants), and displaced millions of Venezuelans who fled the country as a result of the worsening economic depression and hyperinflation. They made it nearly impossible to stabilize Venezuela’s economic crisis. These impacts disproportionately harmed the poorest and most vulnerable Venezuelans.
Re: Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
#939Prediction: the regime will not fall. This will destabilize the country further, not so much the regime itself. There will be a decrease in oil production, marginally boosting world prices. What's probably being taken out right now is the regime's ability to react in any meaningful way to the oil embargo. It will also allow Maduro to throw his hands in the air and blame the US for all of VZLA's ills going forward. Mo…
None of this makes sense. Venezuela has faced crippling sanctions from the US since 2017 that have not allowed it to sell to any western nation. Only China, Russia, and Cuba are potential customers for it. I highly doubt this will have any immediate effect on oil prices. It is also crude oil which only a handful of countries are capable of processing (the US probably being the best equipped)
US corporations will be brought in to exploit oil the same way they did in Iraq where they actually had to amend the constitution to allow for foreign corporations in.
Re: Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
#940Two wrongs don’t make a right. Regardless of your opinion on Maduro, you can still acknowledge that the head of a sovereign state being captured in an unannounced/unnamed military operation by a superpower is wrong from a principled standpoint, and that it’s destabilising a country with 30+ million people if not the entire region.
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