91–100 of 215 posts
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Perhaps these rapid advancements are an indication that we've been visited by, or are currently under the guidance of, a significantly more advanced civilization. /s
Whoever is running the simulation is getting bored. Wild fires, what is sure to be a historic hurricane season, floods, war, and a technological leap.
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It is probably too late with record high temperatures, every few years, for centuries to come.
No group of people are literally more miserable than the conspiracy theory climate doomsday cult.
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It's not particularly high when there is an active war between Russia and an almost-NATO country, supported by NATO, with fighting happening right at NATO borders? I would say it's perhaps never been higher since the Cuban missile crisis.
The beauty of nuclear weapons being possessed by both sides in a conflict is that it's in neither sides best interest to fire the first nuke. The West being aligned with Ukraine would prevent Ukraine from getting nuked in an extended conflict. That being said, there would have been no extended conflict for Ukraine without the West's assistance, they simply wouldn't exist without the international assistance, reducing…
Don't underestimate Russia but don't overestimate them either:
Russia lost against Afghanistan already back when they were a superpower and had Ukraine on their side.
They will lose this time too even if they are even dumber this time and choose to waste all their conventional forces there.
If 2023 ends up giving us AGI, room-temperature superconductors, Starships and a cure for cancer, I think we will able to call it a good year...
We’re not getting AGI anytime soon…
I just asked "what does the JS ** operator do" and it made up an answer about it being a bitwise XOR. 1 ** 2 === 3. The fact that all these LLMs will confidently suggest wrong information makes me feel like LLM is going to be a difficult path to AGI. It will be a big problem if an AI receptionist just confidently spews misinformation and is unable to tell customers they are wrong.
If 2023 ends up giving us AGI, room-temperature superconductors, Starships and a cure for cancer, I think we will able to call it a good year...
Where? Humanity does not have the capability to travel between planetary systems.
If 2023 ends up giving us AGI, room-temperature superconductors, Starships and a cure for cancer, I think we will able to call it a good year...
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We’re not getting AGI anytime soon…
What exactly is your definition of a AGI? Because we’re already passing the Turing test, and so I have to wonder if this isn’t just moving the goalposts.
Okay, ChatGPT is only text-to-text, but Google & Co are adding more modalities now, including images, audio and robotics. I think one missing step is to fuse training and inference regime into one, just as in animals. That probably requires something else than the usual transformer-based token predictors.
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It is probably too late with record high temperatures, every few years, for centuries to come.
And maybe record high atmospheric CO2 concentration every few years as well. We're still on an increasing trajectory. The 2007 IPCC climate change synthesis report specified a deadline of 2015 for peak CO2 in order to meet the lowest mitigation scenario. Of course we've blown past that date and it's still full speed ahead with business as usual. Alas, I try not to blather on about the severity of the climate situatio…
I was walking my dog there most days when that happened, and to my knowledge they never caught the spooky hackers did they?
For now, just call me spooky Patsy.
Anyway, whilst more and more cars and buildings with air conditioning expel heat without a considerable lag, thus amplifying the thermal heat island effect [2], and the reduction of aerosols that were contributing to global dimming [3] making it possible to warm up the sea and land to new record highs since records began [4], have the climate scientists adjusted their models yet, or are they still in full on fatalism and alarmism mode? I feel like Roy Castle [5] still lives on.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climatic_Research_Unit_email_c...
[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Urban_heat_island
[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_dimming#Relationship_to...
[4] https://blog.metoffice.gov.uk/2023/06/16/sea-surface-tempera...
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The beauty of nuclear weapons being possessed by both sides in a conflict is that it's in neither sides best interest to fire the first nuke. The West being aligned with Ukraine would prevent Ukraine from getting nuked in an extended conflict. That being said, there would have been no extended conflict for Ukraine without the West's assistance, they simply wouldn't exist without the international assistance, reducing…
> That being said, there would have been no extended conflict for Ukraine without the West's assistance, they simply wouldn't exist without the international assistance Don't underestimate Russia but don't overestimate them either: Russia lost against Afghanistan already back when they were a superpower and had Ukraine on their side. They will lose this time too even if they are even dumber this time and choose to wa…
The mujahedeen fighting Russia in Afghanistan also had Western (US, particularly) support.