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A New Mode of Cancer Treatment

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Re: A New Mode of Cancer Treatment

#51
post #23

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Does not seem particularly high right now, TBH.

It's not particularly high when there is an active war between Russia and an almost-NATO country, supported by NATO, with fighting happening right at NATO borders? I would say it's perhaps never been higher since the Cuban missile crisis.

The beauty of nuclear weapons being possessed by both sides in a conflict is that it's in neither sides best interest to fire the first nuke.

The West being aligned with Ukraine would prevent Ukraine from getting nuked in an extended conflict.

That being said, there would have been no extended conflict for Ukraine without the West's assistance, they simply wouldn't exist without the international assistance, reducing the chance of Russia using a first strike against Ukraine to 0.

Re: A New Mode of Cancer Treatment

#52
post #43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There have been some incidents on the Polish border recently that put the whole thing on a knife edge.

Meh. Łukaszenko and Putin were waving their nuclear dicks around over here for decades at this point. The only reason they do it is to scare away the more naive westerners. Nobody here takes it seriously.

> Nobody here takes it seriously.

A downfalling desperate Putin is likely to cause serious damage with nuclear weapons. I think should be very cautios, but am not suggesting we should giving in to his his nuclear erection. The doomsday clock is 90 seconds to midnight for a reason.

Re: A New Mode of Cancer Treatment

#53
post #43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There have been some incidents on the Polish border recently that put the whole thing on a knife edge.

Meh. Łukaszenko and Putin were waving their nuclear dicks around over here for decades at this point. The only reason they do it is to scare away the more naive westerners. Nobody here takes it seriously.

The present threat is no nuclear in nature.

Planes from Belarus flew into Polish airspace, and Lukashenko has threatened that Wagner troops are eager to enter Poland.

Re: A New Mode of Cancer Treatment

#54

Earlier quoted context omitted.

One of the classics, his take on Chlorine Trifluoride (!!!!) https://www.science.org/content/blog-post/sand-won-t-save-yo... "It is also hypergolic with such things as cloth, wood, and test engineers, not to mention asbestos, sand, and water --- with which it reacts explosively." - John D Clark, Ignition!: An Informal History of Liquid Rocket Propellants

That’s a very interesting book if you have a passing knowledge of chemistry. Findable on the web in pdf form.

Ignition! has also now been reprinted and is well worth the purchase and read.

Re: A New Mode of Cancer Treatment

#55

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No, there's a new mass troop mobilization coming, the grain deal was cancelled, Russia is firing on civilian shipping ports (including ones right on the border with NATO ally (EDIT: meant member) Romania), and Belarus is performing provocations across the Polish border. Unfortunately, I think things are just getting started.

Warning: rampant speculation. Why is Belarus performing provocations on the Polish border? Seems to me that Lukashenko is either doing it for himself, or for Putin. I can't see why he'd be doing it for himself. He might see Poland, flawed but still something of a democracy, as a threat to inspire those seeking democracy in Belarus. But it seems to me to be more likely that he's doing it for Putin. (This also might in…

> The Russian population could get fed up. The Russian elites could get fed up.

I think the Russian populaiton is still largely supporting Putin and eating his propaganda on bread every morning and evening from state media channels.

Some of them who are fed up cannot do anything about it as they can face extremely harsh punishments.

The elites may be sick of it, they lost a lot of ‘business’ since the start of the military operation, and from time to time another one bites the dust from an open window high up on a building.

And there are factions within Russia that fight one another and yet they are somehow all in support of Putin.

Re: A New Mode of Cancer Treatment

#56
post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think humanity deserves it after so many consecutive weird years

I doubt the extinction of the human race via a runaway technological event will turn the planet into a wonderland paradise for the rest of the species that inhabit our planet. The planet itself, being a rock, doesn't care, at all.

Norm Macdonald responding to Neil Degrasse Tyson on twitter.

Neil: The Universe is blind to our sorrows and indifferent to our pains. Have a nice day!

Norm: Neil, there is a logic flaw in your little aphorism that seems quite telling. Since you and I are part of the Universe, then we would also be indifferent and uncaring. Perhaps you forgot, Neil, that we are not superior to the Universe but merely a fraction of it. Nice day, indeed

Re: A New Mode of Cancer Treatment

#57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No, there's a new mass troop mobilization coming, the grain deal was cancelled, Russia is firing on civilian shipping ports (including ones right on the border with NATO ally (EDIT: meant member) Romania), and Belarus is performing provocations across the Polish border. Unfortunately, I think things are just getting started.

Warning: rampant speculation. Why is Belarus performing provocations on the Polish border? Seems to me that Lukashenko is either doing it for himself, or for Putin. I can't see why he'd be doing it for himself. He might see Poland, flawed but still something of a democracy, as a threat to inspire those seeking democracy in Belarus. But it seems to me to be more likely that he's doing it for Putin. (This also might in…

NATO will bomb and possibly even occupy Belarus in this scenario. Granted, deterring this is probably why russia placed nukes there, so perhaps NATO will provide 48 hours warning for Russia to remove its weapons. It will also provide Ukraine with aircraft and long range missiles. I don’t see how losing Belarus in order to solidify control over Eastern Ukraine and Crimea is a good strategic play.

Re: A New Mode of Cancer Treatment

#58
post #24
post #2

If 2023 ends up giving us AGI, room-temperature superconductors, Starships and a cure for cancer, I think we will able to call it a good year...

It is probably too late with record high temperatures, every few years, for centuries to come.

No group of people are literally more miserable than the conspiracy theory climate doomsday cult.

Re: A New Mode of Cancer Treatment

#59

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And maybe record high atmospheric CO2 concentration every few years as well. We're still on an increasing trajectory. The 2007 IPCC climate change synthesis report specified a deadline of 2015 for peak CO2 in order to meet the lowest mitigation scenario. Of course we've blown past that date and it's still full speed ahead with business as usual. Alas, I try not to blather on about the severity of the climate situatio…

I'm hopeful that superconductors leading to practical fusion reactors can provide the energy to start pulling some carbon out of the air and ocean. I'm thinking this is the only way to reverse the damage on the human timeframe. I admit it's a longshot, but I think it's the only chance we have. The superconductor news is welcome, we just need to see it get truly confirmed without a doubt.

Not to be a bummer but by far the most likely outcome here is that we don’t currently have a room temperature super-conductor, we never pull a consequential amount of carbon out of the atmosphere, and we don’t get significantly workable sustainable fusion in a timeframe that makes a difference.

You’d need a bunch of jackpots to come up, in a row, immediately, at this point for technology to provide a way out of the current debacle.

To paraphrase Paul Lieberstein’s character on the Newsroom:

If we stop drilling globally right this second

AND

Everyone stops driving their car and starts biking everywhere

AND

We invest immediately in clean renewable energy

THEN

I still don’t see a way out of this.

edit: found it on YouTube https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=pNYp6oc37ds

Re: A New Mode of Cancer Treatment

#60
post #23

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Does not seem particularly high right now, TBH.

It's not particularly high when there is an active war between Russia and an almost-NATO country, supported by NATO, with fighting happening right at NATO borders? I would say it's perhaps never been higher since the Cuban missile crisis.

Based only on what you and I can know about the current situation, I'd say the Cuban missile crisis was approximately 900 million billion times worse.
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