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Executives Play Down the Possibility of Raises

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Re: Executives Play Down the Possibility of Raises

#91
post #88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The difference is that McKinsey (and other consulting firms) rely on the network of alumni to secure new projects. So those people aren't (usually) leaving to a competitor, but mostly to a current (or possibly future) client. Same with law firms, auditing firms, etc.

That's really good strategy. Is there another industry where you could apply this method? Hire young people for cheap and then let them move to future customers for high salaries. I guess it may work for somebody like Oracle: Hire young devs and after a few years let move to customers who pay them well as experts who then buy Oracle products.

Pretty much any professional services and consulting.

> Hire young people for cheap and then let them move to future customers for high salaries.

Well, consulting salaries are usually significantly higher than industry salaries. So it is actually the opposite.

People move out of consulting because of the stressful hours and the up-or-out culture. Additionally, as you progress, the work goes from IC to project management then to client management (as a principal) then to sales when you become a partner. They tend to make less money when moving to industry (not always) and work fewer hours, and travel less too.

Re: Executives Play Down the Possibility of Raises

#92
post #43
post #13

The idea that pay raises come from some sort of collective negotiation with a bunch of executives is just bizarre on its own. Executives do not get to decide the pay level of employees. The point of the tax law was to lower the cost of employment and investment in the US (specifically, the cost of repatriating foreign profits to pay US salaries and buy US-based infrastructure). The hope being that lower costs cause c…

>> A tight labor market causes the raises Different economic theories can provide different explanations and the statement above is over-simplifying the situation (It should say 'can cause' raises). I'm not an economist. The labor theory of value (LTV) and other systems of thought would have a different take on this. Wages are not going up because various industries are bumping against hard systemic boundaries. I bel…

The labor theory of value doesn't have any explanatory value, it's just a traditional belief that kept being rediscovered because it seems reasonable and value theories were hard.

There really isn't any reason to "teach the controversy": marginal substitution is the only correct theory of value and it is fundamentally incompatible with other intrinsic-value theories like the LTV.

It's certainly possible that raising labor prices can make a whole industry nonviable, depressing wages and eventually leading to cost-disease extinction, but there's no reason to think trucking is anything like that -- logistics generates an enormous amount of economic value to its customers and if the labor costs of shipping went up, they'd fork out.

You can already see this happen when fuel prices change: everyone adds a fuel surcharge and the customers suck it up.

Re: Executives Play Down the Possibility of Raises

#93
post #50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is evidence, its just that the evidence is weak and mere co-relations. All of macro economic theory is like that - just models explaining aggregate human behavior. Anything people propose can probably be shown to work in some model or another. On the flip side, higher taxes also don't "lead to" any wage increases or economic growth. Given the massive waste and inefficiency in most government programs, very litt…

This is ideology and attempted political point-scoring, not evidence. There aren’t even a preponderance of correlative data that shows a link between tax cuts and economic growth—except where economic growth is defined as a disproportionate increase in wealth concentration in ever smaller percentages of the population. The opposite has been shown—and quite conclusively—with decades of data (that tax cuts do not spur…

>There aren’t even a preponderance of correlative data that shows a link between tax cuts and economic growth—except where economic growth is defined as a disproportionate increase in wealth concentration in ever smaller percentages of the population.

I can re-define economic growth to mean the size of my checking account. Income inequality has its own definition. You re-defining it to mean something its not doesn't mean much.

>Moreover, seeing as how you’re dragging out the old government waste trope

Its not a trope. Your personal ideology might or might not allow you to recognize this. I would recommend keeping an open mind.

>its notable that you conveniently neglect to directly indict those on the receiving end of this “waste”.

Once you create the means for someone to obtain wealth, you cannot fault the individual for maximizing their gains under a capitalist system. Look, if you don't believe that the government does a very poor job of allocating resources, then our disconnect is large enough that realistically no consensus can be reached. The motivations of the people lobbying for their piece of the government pie only exist in a context where (1) people are greedy and (2) the government has tons of money to spend. We can't do anything about #1, but maybe something about #2.

>The opposite has been shown—and quite conclusively—with decades of data (that tax cuts do not spur economic growth).

Nothing of the sort has been conclusively demonstrated, primarily because macro economics deals with aggregate human behavior - and humans are not automations. To every example of a low-tax low-growth economy is a counter example of high-tax still low-growth economy.

Re: Executives Play Down the Possibility of Raises

#94
post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is ideology and attempted political point-scoring, not evidence. There aren’t even a preponderance of correlative data that shows a link between tax cuts and economic growth—except where economic growth is defined as a disproportionate increase in wealth concentration in ever smaller percentages of the population. The opposite has been shown—and quite conclusively—with decades of data (that tax cuts do not spur…

>There aren’t even a preponderance of correlative data that shows a link between tax cuts and economic growth—except where economic growth is defined as a disproportionate increase in wealth concentration in ever smaller percentages of the population. I can re-define economic growth to mean the size of my checking account. Income inequality has its own definition. You re-defining it to mean something its not doesn't…

> To every example of a low-tax low-growth economy is a counter example of high-tax still low-growth economy.

Despite decades of evidence demonstrating how government spending can produce enormous growth (see eg. the lil' ol' Great Depression, Europe after WW2, China -- really all of East Asia), despite conclusive recent research showing the post-GFC failure of austerity, ideologues will never revisit their outdated ideas. At this point you might as well admit that data and evidence doesn't matter at all and you aren't actually interested in the real world, just your own axiomatic fantasy.

Re: Executives Play Down the Possibility of Raises

#95
post #71
post #50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is evidence, its just that the evidence is weak and mere co-relations. All of macro economic theory is like that - just models explaining aggregate human behavior. Anything people propose can probably be shown to work in some model or another. On the flip side, higher taxes also don't "lead to" any wage increases or economic growth. Given the massive waste and inefficiency in most government programs, very litt…

> Given the massive waste and inefficiency in most government programs, very little of our taxes actually go to anything useful. There is very convincing evidence that higher taxes and greater government spending do lead to long term economic growth. These days even the old fuddy duddies at the IMF have been forced to admit that higher taxes don't lower growth [1] and that many times the fiscal multipler is greater t…

If you wanted to, you could fill a cup of water by dumping a gallon bucket on top of it. The point here is that the government has never been efficient in allocating resources.

Also FYI: I'm not a representative or a supporter of the IMF. The fact that some of their people have said things which didn't turn out to be true doesn't concern me. In fact I'd probably expect that most bold predictions don't come true, especially on economic matters.

Re: Executives Play Down the Possibility of Raises

#96
post #94
post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>There aren’t even a preponderance of correlative data that shows a link between tax cuts and economic growth—except where economic growth is defined as a disproportionate increase in wealth concentration in ever smaller percentages of the population. I can re-define economic growth to mean the size of my checking account. Income inequality has its own definition. You re-defining it to mean something its not doesn't…

> To every example of a low-tax low-growth economy is a counter example of high-tax still low-growth economy. Despite decades of evidence demonstrating how government spending can produce enormous growth (see eg. the lil' ol' Great Depression, Europe after WW2, China -- really all of East Asia), despite conclusive recent research showing the post-GFC failure of austerity, ideologues will never revisit their outdated…

Oh, you mean the period when countries were dropping their top marginal taxes?

https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/top-mrts-on-individual-in...

Its obvious who is living in a fantasy. I prefer to be skeptical of both sides. You are free to chose your own path. Goodbye!

Re: Executives Play Down the Possibility of Raises

#97
post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is ideology and attempted political point-scoring, not evidence. There aren’t even a preponderance of correlative data that shows a link between tax cuts and economic growth—except where economic growth is defined as a disproportionate increase in wealth concentration in ever smaller percentages of the population. The opposite has been shown—and quite conclusively—with decades of data (that tax cuts do not spur…

>There aren’t even a preponderance of correlative data that shows a link between tax cuts and economic growth—except where economic growth is defined as a disproportionate increase in wealth concentration in ever smaller percentages of the population. I can re-define economic growth to mean the size of my checking account. Income inequality has its own definition. You re-defining it to mean something its not doesn't…

> I can re-define economic growth to mean the size of my checking account. Income inequality has its own definition. You re-defining it to mean something its not doesn't mean much.

You do realize you’re stating exactly what I did in slightly different wording? Specifically that the only manner in which lowering taxes is proven as a cause of economic growth is when economic growth is defined as growing individual bank accounts of an increasingly smaller proportion of the population?

> Its not a trope. Your personal ideology might or might not allow you to recognize this. I would recommend keeping an open mind.

It most certainly is a trope. It is a motif, a recurrent theme used by many who criticize government spending. What exactly do you think a trope is? Suggesting one keep an open mind has nothing at all todo with recognizing a discursive trope.

> Once you create the means for someone to obtain wealth, you cannot fault the individual for maximizing their gains under a capitalist system.

Nothing in my comment faults individuals for maximizing their potential gains under a capitalist system. In fact, i don’t fault individuals because, under a capitalist system, one is required to operate in that way or starve to death. Recognizing and calling this out is not the same thing as blaming people for doing it.

> Look, if you don't believe that the government does a very poor job of allocating resources, then our disconnect is large enough that realistically no consensus can be reached.

You are rejecting the possibility of understanding and/or consensus based on your own ideological tenet, not any sort of evidence or discussion of facts. For you, “that the government does a very poor job of allocating resources” is an axiom, a political/ideological article of faith. This is in no way proven, yet you’re establishing an impasse by refusing to engage with the possibility that could be false.

> The motivations of the people lobbying for their piece of the government pie only exist in a context where (1) people are greedy and (2) the government has tons of money to spend. We can't do anything about #1, but maybe something about #2.

You do realize the people—who are allegedly not to be faulted for being “greedy” as a foundational concept of living in a capitalist system—are submitting bids/invoices for their piece of the pie voluntarily, right? If you do, on what sensible grounds can you criticize the government for paying up? The government is obeying the rules of this capitalist system. Even if it always was required to choose the cheapest bid, one could still allege that is waste. At which point, your ideology is blaming the government for “wasting” resources when there are no other options, and—with no evidence provided—concludes the answer is to starve the government of resources to use for the public good. You appear to believe you can eliminate waste not by targeting where the waste is procured (and where the rates are set) but by targeting who pays for it. That’s some pretty interesting mental gymnastics there.

> Nothing of the sort has been conclusively demonstrated, primarily because macro economics deals with aggregate human behavior - and humans are not automations. To every example of a low-tax low-growth economy is a counter example of high-tax still low-growth economy.

Yes, it most certainly has. Here’s 65 years of data to get you started: https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2012/09/tax-cut...

A sibling commenter has provided other links in their posts.

Is there proof that raising taxes causes economic growth? No. That claim is not made. Is there proof that cutting taxes harms economic growth? No. What is shown is that cutting taxes does not spur economic growth, as those who advocate for that idea claim.

Where are the examples and serious data that show cutting taxes and starving the government of resources leads to high economic growth? You’re claiming it’s out there, so where is it? Where’s the low-tax, high-growth country? How long does that last? How much demonstrable growth is triggered as a result of each cut in taxes? How much of that growth is actually a product of the lower taxes?

Re: Executives Play Down the Possibility of Raises

#98
post #96
post #94

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> To every example of a low-tax low-growth economy is a counter example of high-tax still low-growth economy. Despite decades of evidence demonstrating how government spending can produce enormous growth (see eg. the lil' ol' Great Depression, Europe after WW2, China -- really all of East Asia), despite conclusive recent research showing the post-GFC failure of austerity, ideologues will never revisit their outdated…

Oh, you mean the period when countries were dropping their top marginal taxes? https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/top-mrts-on-individual-in... Its obvious who is living in a fantasy. I prefer to be skeptical of both sides. You are free to chose your own path. Goodbye!

Do you realize this period when top marginal rates began (and continued) dropping overlaps the period when economic growth began (and continued) dropping, as well?

It’s almost like dropping those top marginal rates did nothing to spur growth. I mean, it’s like one might actually have to entertain the idea that lowering taxation doesn’t actually lead to massive reinvestment of capital or wage and economic growth we’re promised every time it happens. Or perhaps—just maybe—economic growth isn’t something we can even realistically anticipate to obtain as a constant.

Re: Executives Play Down the Possibility of Raises

#99
post #84

Earlier quoted context omitted.

"This isn't "logic", this is well established science." No, it very much is not. "It's like gravity" Gravity behaves the same way every time you observe it. Economic activity most certainly does not. "And you clearly didn't understand what price elasticity of demand means." Because clearly anyone who disagrees with you is only doing so because they don't understand?

> No, it very much is not. Well, Nobel-prize winners and millions of economists around the world disagree with you, but I'm sure that your personal opinion trumps all of that. > Because clearly anyone who disagrees with you is only doing so because they don't understand? No, because you mixed "value of labor at the time" and "price elasticity of labor demand". If you had understood what price elasticity of labor dema…

"Well, Nobel-prize winners and millions of economists around the world disagree with you, but I'm sure that your personal opinion trumps all of that."

Very few economists would classify what they do as a science, like biology or chemistry.

And no, I didn't mix anything up. I disagreed with you on your point. But because you can't back up your point, you have to resort to petty retorts. The fact of the matter is, what most economists have traditionally believed regarding wage growth and tightening labor markets has been turned on its head, due to many companies complaining about labor shortages yet there not being any real gains in wages.

Re: Executives Play Down the Possibility of Raises

#100
post #89
post #85

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't see that as an issue, especially not one that justified adding a trillion dollars to the deficit for barely any benefit to most people.

It's an issue because it does two things: 1. Favors certain types of businesses that can more readily arbitrage their domicile (e.g. Apple, Google). 2. Creates an incentive for companies to pay accountants and lawyers a large amount of money to find ways to engage in #1. All of this money is, in economic terms, deadweight loss. If you look at the effective tax rates companies were paying before this change, they were…

"2. Creates an incentive for companies to pay accountants and lawyers a large amount of money to find ways to engage in #1. All of this money is, in economic terms, deadweight loss."

I would argue that is not an issue because that happens anyway. There is not, nor will there ever be a tax point where these huge companies don't attempt to get out of paying taxes.

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