Earlier quoted context omitted.
See my edit. You're trying to use the definition of long term side effect to show that we need long term studies before we can deem things safe. But that doesn't follow. If the prevalence of some potentially chronic condition is low enough after a month to be safe, that it might be even safer doesn't really matter. Right like to recap but remove the word "long term" entirely, you said that there might be issues that…
> You're trying to use the definition of long term side effect to show that we need long term studies before we can deem things safe. This is not my position and I have made no such statements. You are unfortunately projecting an argument onto me. > But that doesn't follow. Quite! > you said that there might be issues that develop after years without warning I absolutely did not -- maybe you have me mistaken with som…
As are you, I never used the term "long term" until you did. My initial comment was "Can you give a coherent biological mechanism by which the vaccine would have health impacts that aren't detectable over the course of say 3 months?"
So now that I've attempted to clarify, let's ask the related question:
if we agree that any side effect (short-, or long-term) would be initially detectable in a month or two, and given that the vaccine already meets the bar for safety, what is the point of a long term study? You're not going to detect any new side effects, and the only thing you may find is that existing side effects might be less serious.
What reason should I (or you) have to care about "long-term" studies?