> Functional programming / dynamic languages will go out of fashion. Glad this didn't happen. Also it's weird to me to equate functional & dynamic like that.
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Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
71–80 of 462 posts
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#72What a fun read! The one that ended up being the most off in the thread: > I predict (and hope for) a major turn back to simplicity in technologies. Multimillion-line software will go extinct like dinosaurs. Existing programming languages and platforms will gradually be replaced with ones so simple and elegant that one software component will be written and maintained by one to three developers and art designers and…
I'd say that this prediction is describing current developments quite well. Newer programming languages (Go, Rust) and development tools are making the "software as lean independent components" vision more relevant than it ever was.
I don't know where you come from, but all I see in my bubble is immense growth in Java and massive Apache projects / ecosystems. Exactly the opposite.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#73IsaacL nailed it the best https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1027093 And surprisingly the WoW one is the most off :D
> - As Moore's Law marches on, dynamic languages that are even slower than Ruby are likely to catch on. They may be to Ruby what Ruby is to Java, trading even more programmer time for CPU time. Interesting how plausible this one is, yet turned out to be terribly wrong: the newer hyped languages that got some uptake were largely compiled ones like Swift, Rust, Kotlin, and Dart.
I mean, JavaScript and Python have definitely become much more popular for many more things than they were in 2010.
I doubt Swift replaced much besides other compiled languages, and Kotlin just compiles to Java anyway. Dart's VM idea was dropped so its small usage is largely compiling to JS still.
I would say that the overall idea of performance being traded for programmer time is definitely happening despite the emergence of Rust.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#74A lot of doom and gloom for Microsoft in that thread. But Microsoft has fared much better than anyone expected.
I disagree, I think anyone the put in charge would have done well. Satya came in during one of the biggest bull runs in history and just surfed the wave. Even Ballmer would have had a hard time to stop that.
Surface, Azure, Minecraft, Github, VSCode and the whole renewed developer focus... those seem like pretty strong shifts and not just 'surfing the wave'.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#75IsaacL nailed it the best https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1027093 And surprisingly the WoW one is the most off :D
> - The next big thing will be something totally unknown and unpredictable now, as user-generated content and social networking were in 1999. However, when it does appear, various 'experts' on it will spring from nowhere to lecture us all about it. It will still be really cool, though. I think this basically describes AI.
AI wasn't totally unknown: basically every coastal university during the 1970s and 1980s were filled with people working on AI, and it didn't die off, it just became embarrassing to work on.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#76> if there is a way to work Elon Musk in there somewhere that would be good, I have a feeling he's going to make some big waves in the next 10 years but I haven't a clue how. -- jacquesm https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025811
The Roadster got delivered on 2008, right but not a crazy prediction based on those times.
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Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#77IsaacL nailed it the best https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1027093 And surprisingly the WoW one is the most off :D
> - China will not become a democracy, or even make moves in that direction. However the rule of law will strengthen, and some civil liberties will increase.
The latter half of this one didn't come to be. Rule of law is weaker and civil liberties have declined.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#78Earlier quoted context omitted.
If someone saw it coming in 2010 they are extremely rich now :)
Or they sold it all in the 2013 bubble and now regret it. (This happened to a friend of mine - he sold it all off to pay-off his student loans before the 2013 bubble peaked - it'd be worth over $10m at the end of 2017).
Or, like me, literally deleted my wallet with 100 ish coins in 'cos I couldn't be bothered finding a USB key.
I though 'oh I'll just mine a few more next week' when I get my new laptop (!!! mining on cpu).
Narrator: He forgot about it.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#79If something can be predicted, or if many people agree with you, then it's not that revolutionary. ctrl+f "bitcoin" returns 0 results. Disruptive ideas take humanity by a storm few people believe it's coming, the rest can only connect the dots looking backwards.
Not sure what sort of disruption btc and the like have caused thus far. Just another speculator's market.
Re: Ask HN: A New Decade. Any Predictions? (2010)
#80Earlier quoted context omitted.
I disagree, I think anyone the put in charge would have done well. Satya came in during one of the biggest bull runs in history and just surfed the wave. Even Ballmer would have had a hard time to stop that.
Surface, Azure, Minecraft, Github, VSCode and the whole renewed developer focus... those seem like pretty strong shifts and not just 'surfing the wave'.
They are. Microsoft, especially under Ballmer, was notoriously anti-OSS (open-source). Not only did Satya make the decision to shift the company to be cloud focused, he represented a change of guard when it was critically important to make peace with the open-source community.
Ballmer: Called Linux "Cancer". Literally.
Satya: "We are all in on open-source"