71–80 of 101 posts
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Isnt there an associated penalty for consuming non-local resources first?
Remote resources are hard to defend but unlikely to be occupied by an enemy early, by conserving resources in a local protected area you have more accessible reserves when the main settlement is under siege later.
The older I get, the more it strikes me that civilization is inherently unstable. It may be metastable, in the way that a predator-prey relationship is stable. A technological civilization like ours is not stable. It's a conflagration . It's subject to a number of exponential processes. Our economy is based on exponentiation. If progress is based on war, then that's just another nail in the coffin. This makes for a p…
It's quite possible for civilization to be stable while any given civilization is unstable. Think about life itself. Life is subject to a number of exponential processes - cell division & decay, telomere shortening, growth of parasites, etc. - and as a result, we all die eventually. But life itself continues, because we're (usually) replaced by descendants. So it goes with civilizations. Any given civilization will e…
Yes: geostrategy is a huge defining factor in the organization of the planet, the movement of people and the evolution of society. It is a primary factor, including resource extraction technologies, agricultural capability, and more. I think rounding that up to "drove the rise of civilizations" is a crude way to put that. For example, the simulation pits "agriculture plus military" against "agriculture". Then they fo…
> A layman equipped with some of this knowledge, for example, will be much more able to understand current events in... Any recommendations on good places to learn / keep abreast of this kind of info? I'd love to read news that was more high-level about what's really going on, but it's hard to find. Many years ago, Stratfor had a free weekly newsletter that had excellent info along these lines, but after they got hac…
Yes: geostrategy is a huge defining factor in the organization of the planet, the movement of people and the evolution of society. It is a primary factor, including resource extraction technologies, agricultural capability, and more. I think rounding that up to "drove the rise of civilizations" is a crude way to put that. For example, the simulation pits "agriculture plus military" against "agriculture". Then they fo…
Wouldn't the "military" only group be able to terrorize the agriculture only as well as the ag plus military ones? Something akin to the Danes at one point? They could just build it up so that they could go pillaging indefinitely, so long as they don't outright destroy their target civs.
The older I get, the more it strikes me that civilization is inherently unstable. It may be metastable, in the way that a predator-prey relationship is stable. A technological civilization like ours is not stable. It's a conflagration . It's subject to a number of exponential processes. Our economy is based on exponentiation. If progress is based on war, then that's just another nail in the coffin. This makes for a p…
China's lasted for thousand of years. War itself becomes refined; if it's an arms race of drone strikes, that could be eminently sustainable. It still shocks me that no one person predicted the carnage of the American Civil War. It shocks me even more than in WWI, the Civil War was studied but not applied to the problem at hand.
The generals of the Civil War studied Clausewitz and Napoleon, and the troops went to war with smooth-bore bronze cannon and Napoleonic fire drill. They were largely tempered in the brief, not-too-bloody, and glorious Mexican-American War. It took them a few years and tens of thousands of casualties to learn what havoc accurate, long-range rifles, even if muzzle-loading, could do.
Militaries are eternally building themselves to fight the last war. When they do learn from their experience, quite often the lessons learned are the wrong ones.
Yes: geostrategy is a huge defining factor in the organization of the planet, the movement of people and the evolution of society. It is a primary factor, including resource extraction technologies, agricultural capability, and more. I think rounding that up to "drove the rise of civilizations" is a crude way to put that. For example, the simulation pits "agriculture plus military" against "agriculture". Then they fo…
Wouldn't the "military" only group be able to terrorize the agriculture only as well as the ag plus military ones? Something akin to the Danes at one point? They could just build it up so that they could go pillaging indefinitely, so long as they don't outright destroy their target civs.
A tribe of pillagers could destroy a hamlet, but could never compete with the resources of a walled down.
Yes: geostrategy is a huge defining factor in the organization of the planet, the movement of people and the evolution of society. It is a primary factor, including resource extraction technologies, agricultural capability, and more. I think rounding that up to "drove the rise of civilizations" is a crude way to put that. For example, the simulation pits "agriculture plus military" against "agriculture". Then they fo…
> A layman equipped with some of this knowledge, for example, will be much more able to understand current events in... Any recommendations on good places to learn / keep abreast of this kind of info? I'd love to read news that was more high-level about what's really going on, but it's hard to find. Many years ago, Stratfor had a free weekly newsletter that had excellent info along these lines, but after they got hac…
Earlier quoted context omitted.
I didn't mean for the imperfect example of the Danes to take it off tangent, it was only to illustrate a people I could think of for whom raiding was integral but your examples or any other is just as well. I think someone (civ) could have taken it further and been sociopathic and only relied on military force for survival. Obviously there are benefits in diversifying, but I think while not ideal, it's possible and c…
It does work to an extent, but it's self-limiting; for what pure militarism can and can't do, look at Sparta.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
> A layman equipped with some of this knowledge, for example, will be much more able to understand current events in... Any recommendations on good places to learn / keep abreast of this kind of info? I'd love to read news that was more high-level about what's really going on, but it's hard to find. Many years ago, Stratfor had a free weekly newsletter that had excellent info along these lines, but after they got hac…
I have found the Caspian Report tremendously useful for improving my understanding of global dynamics - https://www.youtube.com/user/CaspianReport/videos
I just learned how India's economy seems to be crippled by labour regulations, land acquisition laws, and a crazy localized tax system (one truck ride takes 36 checkpoint stops and takes 10 days to go between New Delhi to Mumbai due to paperwork). Made worse by an impotent polticial system. The fact that India is even growing at 7% a year in that environment is the amazing thing. Imagine their potential if they got their shit together. https://youtu.be/hVwIZzGHxwc
I've heard India's economy works at night while the government sleeps. Indeed...
Looking forward to more videos.