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Why prisons continue to grow, even when crime declines

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Re: Why prisons continue to grow, even when crime declines

#71
post #67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Bike thieves have no fear in most cities, even when it's a $500+ bike (that is, any bike not purchased at Walmart). That's not easy to replace for most people, even engineers. Locking up bike thieves is plenty productive.

If it was, why are there so many bike thieves?

We should simply lock everyone up, who could become a bike thief. If you have hands and legs, i personally find that very suspicious.

The problem is, that there is a strong retalitation instinct in humanity, to enforce group norms.That worked well in villages, but if allowed to be lived out produces ridiculous amounts of locked up people.

Whats even more disturbing is, how those locked up people are not allowed to be a productive part in society. They get hamster-wheelian-jobs in the prison industry, instead of continuing with there real jobs.

Everybody looses to the brain bug.

Re: Why prisons continue to grow, even when crime declines

#72
post #68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Take another look at this data from same source regarding Federal instead of State: Half of males (50%) and more than half of females (59%) in federal prison were serving time for drug offenses on September 30, 2014. [1] [1] http://www.bjs.gov/content/pub/pdf/p14.pdf How many started that way or their crime involved weapons/money that were involved in a drug operation? How many repeat or lifetime criminals were first…

I don't know that you're considering a couple things: 1. people are locked up not just to punish them since they committed a crime but also to keep society just that much safer from that criminal and 2. you assume most people have sufficient insurance to replace their stolen vehicle and that they have alternate transportation to get to their job or to pick up/drop off their kids. I know folks with liability only insu…

The existence of those jobs is a insult to the species.

Re: Why prisons continue to grow, even when crime declines

#73
post #52
post #44

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> I want them locked up, so they don't commit more crimes. Do you have evidence that prison actually reduces future crimes?

I think he's getting at the fact that if they're in a cage they can't commit crimes while in there (sorta). Recidivism rates would suggest that prison doesn't actually do much to prevent future crime unless they're physically in the prison.

> Recidivism rates

In the US.

Re: Why prisons continue to grow, even when crime declines

#74
post #11
post #2

;tldr - FTA "Judges are dealing with more repeat offenders now" Seems pretty straightforward then...

The worst thing you could do is put a first-time offender in a prison. Congratulations, you've taken a possibly reformable person, and thrown them into an environment where they need to affiliate with one of the gangs to avoid being shanked or extorted. In the meantime, they go through a networking and educational program to give them the skills and connections to be a criminal. Then, when they do get released and go…

Hey douche. You're right.

Re: Why prisons continue to grow, even when crime declines

#75

Earlier quoted context omitted.

(1) Contempt of court will never see anyone in prison. Prison (in the US) is only for those serving sentences of over one year. A contempt charge is not going to result in a guaranteed sentence of over a year. Six months is generally the outside, but even then only if you disregard any "purge" stipulations. Contempt sends you to jail, not prison. (2) Contempt is not a "victimless" crime. It's not really a crime, but…

> Prison (in the US) is only for those serving sentences of over one year. This is a popular conception of the prison/jail distinction, and it has some general connection with reality, but it is both possible to be in a "prison" with a sentence of less than a year, and to be sentenced to a "jail" for sentences of greater than a year.

Susan McDougal is a specific example which shows there is both criminal contempt-of-court and some of can happen as a result of civil contempt-of-court. Quoting https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Susan_McDougal :

> From September 9, 1996 until March 6, 1998, McDougal spent the maximum possible 18 months imprisonment for civil contempt, including 8 months in solitary confinement, and was subjected to "diesel therapy" (the practice of hauling defendants around the country and placing them in different jails along the way).[12] In her case, Susan was shuffled from Arkansas to "Los Angeles to the Oklahoma City transfer center, and then on to the Pulaski County Jail in Little Rock, Arkansas".

> ... McDougal's trial for criminal contempt-of-court and obstruction of justice charges began in March 1999. The jury hung 7-5 to acquit her for contempt of court, and found her not guilty on the charge of obstruction of justice.

Also, H. Beatty Chadwick was held in jail at the county prison for more than 14 years as a result of contempt of court.

Re: Why prisons continue to grow, even when crime declines

#76
post #64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> 1. I would think either a fine or a 30 day sentence is more than enough. What makes you think this will deter them from repeating the crime in the future? For a drug addict in search of a fix, bicycles have high liquidity on the market, are easily stolen, and usually not caught. Drug habits are not easy to kick away. Note that I am not saying that long prison sentences are an answer for this, just pointing out that…

What does a 3 year prison sentence accomplish that 30 days wouldn't?

As I pointed out above, I don't think 3 year prison sentences are an answer.

Just saying that the proposed solution of a fine/30 days sentence will likely not decrease the rate of bike theft.

Re: Why prisons continue to grow, even when crime declines

#77
post #66

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> 1. I would think either a fine or a 30 day sentence is more than enough. What makes you think this will deter them from repeating the crime in the future? For a drug addict in search of a fix, bicycles have high liquidity on the market, are easily stolen, and usually not caught. Drug habits are not easy to kick away. Note that I am not saying that long prison sentences are an answer for this, just pointing out that…

I think a prison sentence on someone's record will make them more likely to repeat the crime. With the criminal record, minimum wage, or close to, are the only options available. Also, it's human nature to believe you won't get caught. If someone thought they were likely to get caught, they wouldn't do it. Thirdly, what makes you think a 3 year sentence would deter someone from doing it any more than a 30 day sentenc…

> I think a prison sentence on someone's record will make them more likely to repeat the crime. With the criminal record, minimum wage, or close to, are the only options available.

What difference then does it make it if is 30 days or 3 years? In other words, how is 30 days an improvement to the problem of deterence (though it is an improvement to the taxpayer)?

> Also, it's human nature to believe you won't get caught. If someone thought they were likely to get caught, they wouldn't do it.

Not necessarily, some people who know that with high probability they will get caught still perform crimes; drug addiction can be quite powerful. At a first glance, I would think that substance abuse treatment/improvement in mental health facilities can help here.

> Thirdly, what makes you think a 3 year sentence would deter someone from doing it any more than a 30 day sentence would? I'm sure the person didn't even realize stealing a bicycle carried a 3 year sentence. For deterrence to work, a person must know the punishment for the crime. Also, the 3 year sentence doesn't fit the crime. At some point, it becomes cruel and unusual.

I agree here; this is part of the reason why I don't think long sentences are a good solution. But in my view, your proposed solution does not do much either to the problem of deterrence.

> I think locking a person up for 3 years for stealing an unlocked bicycle that the police planted trying to bait someone into stealing it is cruel and certainly unusual. It's also pretty darn close to entrapment.

What if the police simply want to install a tracker, in order to investigate the possibility that the theft is being performed by an organized ring which regularly steals bikes, in which case a 3 year sentence could fit the crime? Standard bikes do not come with trackers; this will require active intervention.

See http://www.nbclosangeles.com/news/local/Thief-Makes-Quick-Wo... - here the "entrapment" was done by civilians. Sting operations by civilians are certainly useful in many parts of the world, e.g to expose bribery. I fail to see why there should be a blanket "no to entrapment" in the case of police, but continue to allow it for civilians. Personally, I believe entrapment by both civilians and police forces has its uses at times.

> Finally, we have a deterrence paradox. If the US houses the largest prison population in the world, why are there people still stealing bicycles? On the other hand, if crime is at an all time low, why are we still locking people up at an increasing rate every year?

I don't have an answer to this. On the other hand, in my view your proposals do not either.

Re: Why prisons continue to grow, even when crime declines

#78
post #17

so, what this article is saying is that while crime has gone down, the average offender has a much more extensive criminal record today than in the past? Doesn't that argument contradict itself? Wouldn't that mean that the real reason prisons continue to grow is that judges hand out more convictions for pettier crimes than in the past?

Not really. It means there are less crimes and criminals overall, but the criminals that do commit crimes are repeat offenders and hence have a more extensive criminal record than before.

So a few prolific criminals vs many more occasional ones.

Re: Why prisons continue to grow, even when crime declines

#79
post #44
post #40

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I want them locked up, so they don't commit more crimes. Obviously the police don't catch every criminal that commits every crime. So catching them and locking them prevents them from committing more crimes.

> I want them locked up, so they don't commit more crimes. Do you have evidence that prison actually reduces future crimes?

It reduces it 100% on the people that aren't let out again. Which suggests that we should be looking at life in prison, rather than shorter sentences if we really want crime to go down and we are conserned about them becoming hard-core criminals.

Actually though I think there is a mismatch - there are two groups here, those who made a mistake but are fundamentally good people (they perhaps have a drinking problem or a drug problem, fell into a bad crowd, etc) those should probably not be put in jail, but more a closed treatment center, put on parole, sentenced to community service, etc. The idiots who stole my wheel-caps probably belongs here, as would somebody who killed their spouse because they abused them - it is not okay, but it doesn't make them unredeamably bad people.

Then there are the people who are just scum, the [mum who goes out to drink, leaving her toddler at home](http://www.lohud.com/story/news/crime/2016/05/09/new-rochell...), the gang members, the people who commits rape, etc. Those just needs to be locked up, forever if possible.

It appear to me that both sides of this debate are only focusing on one of the sub groups and are trying to apply rules evenly, without first looking at the criminal. This will absolutely result in injustices, either by throwing a 17 year old in prison for life with out the possibility of parole for [killing her pimp](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sara_Kruzan) or releasing criminals who will go on to do more criminal acts.

Re: Why prisons continue to grow, even when crime declines

#80
post #59

Stop throwing people in jail for "moral crimes" such as drug use, and we'd see a massive decline. Victimless crimes, such as contempt of court for not being "respectful" enough of a sitting judge, or the like should never send you to a cage either. One could make a massive list of the ridiculous uses of our criminal justice system, and sadly many don't see it as a problem.

I read an article the other day where police placed a bicycle unlocked in a public place, then watched it. Once someone took off with it, they arrested him. Since he didn't plea bargain, the judge gave him 3 years. A couple things: 1. I would think either a fine or a 30 day sentence is more than enough. 2. I think it's bad for society in general for police to actively bait people into committing crimes. 3. That's abo…

Bicycles theft is basically a "free crime", almost nobody ever gets caught. This also causes serious issues to those who depend on the bikes to get to work (or even as their work). As such the penalties have to be absolutely draconian when they do get caught - in fact 3 years sounds lenient, we used to hang horse thieves.
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