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Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0

timjrobinson.com

671–680 of 1001 posts

Re: Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0

#671
To my mind, the essential problem with UBI is finding a just way to fund it. Making people contributing to a capitalist economy support those that aren't, in order to keep them from ever contributing to it, is greatly unjust.

There is no fair way, as far as I can tell, to implement a non-capitalistic program within a capitalistic economy. What the UBI concept might do, rather, is sway the debate towards exploring alternatives to capitalism, instead of reform.

Re: Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0

#672
post #531

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Power Divide - society will be easily divided into two groups: those who depend on the UBI to live and those who don't Already happens, with welfare. > Predators - individuals and companies will find a way to take your UBI check from you as fast as possible Already happens, with welfare. > Charity - let's say we actually give every person enough money for food, housing, and utilities. Some people will mess up. Alre…

I wonder if this post was transported from 1996? The 2020 USA welfare state is bonkers stingy and punitive: prove you have these dependents and have been looking for work for this long and have not received benefits for this period... UBI would be an absolute sea change. It is not some mild extension of "welfare" which isn't really a thing. Go in clear-eyed!

Where would the money for UBI come from though?

Re: Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0

#673
post #526

I like the simple argument made here about UBI enabling efficient consumption. I worry about three things with UBI though and they're more social than economic. 1. Power Divide - society will be easily divided into two groups: those who depend on the UBI to live and those who don't. The former will be absolutely at the mercy of the latter. We can see this a little bit with the coronavirus relief packages. 2. Predator…

The question I can't answer is "what stops a nation voting itself more income?" If every unscrupulous politician can promise to raise the base UBI rate to get elected, what stops that? Obviously, inflation will fix it in the relatively short term, but that's not a good result. And there's an unscrupulous politician in power.

There's a more general problem. What's the right amount of UBI? Even with the best intentions someone will be unhappy.

Re: Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0

#674
post #611

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I have another concern. What will stop landlords from increasing the rent by high percentage of basic income? Suppliers always price their goods as high as they can for the specific values of supply, demand and competition, and none of those things will change. The customers will just have more money to pay for the right to live under a roof.

There are two options here: rent control, and the free market. If enough houses can be built, and basic income is high enough to pay free market prices, then any landlord who asks too high a price, will price themselves out of the market because there will be other cheaper houses. But for this it's vital that the supply of houses is unrestricted. Of course a landlord might bait and switch with low rent as you move in…

> That's simply something that needs to be banned.

That is banned. I don't know the limit but it's similar to what you describe. Landlords aren't allowed to raise prices by much per year. It still adds up, but by then you know to look for another place and have a year or two to do it.

Re: Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0

#675
post #526

I like the simple argument made here about UBI enabling efficient consumption. I worry about three things with UBI though and they're more social than economic. 1. Power Divide - society will be easily divided into two groups: those who depend on the UBI to live and those who don't. The former will be absolutely at the mercy of the latter. We can see this a little bit with the coronavirus relief packages. 2. Predator…

I have another concern. What will stop landlords from increasing the rent by high percentage of basic income? Suppliers always price their goods as high as they can for the specific values of supply, demand and competition, and none of those things will change. The customers will just have more money to pay for the right to live under a roof.

Nothing, the idea is that everyone always has the option to move to a cheaper location.

Re: Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0

#676
post #652

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Power Divide - society will be easily divided into two groups: those who depend on the UBI to live and those who don't. The former will be absolutely at the mercy of the latter. One aspect of UBI is that poor people would be less at the mercy of the rich. If you're a poor person now you absolutely have to try to keep your horrible job else you'll lost the ability to pay rent and buy food. You have to take all the cra…

> One aspect of UBI is that poor people would be less at the mercy of the rich. That is a very strong statement that I don't think can be claimed at this point. In my opinion, I feel things will simply shift under UBI. People will receive UBI, but then other things, like rent, food, etc. will all just magically get more expensive. I cannot see any implementation of UBI working any better than things now unless the pr…

I suspect that rents might even go down. One of the reasons that rents are so high is that many people are forced to live in cities (i.e. high rent places) to have a chance at a miserable job. Freeing them from that could also foster more people living in the countryside with much cheaper housing (or gasp! even ownership).

Re: Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0

#677
post #526

I like the simple argument made here about UBI enabling efficient consumption. I worry about three things with UBI though and they're more social than economic. 1. Power Divide - society will be easily divided into two groups: those who depend on the UBI to live and those who don't. The former will be absolutely at the mercy of the latter. We can see this a little bit with the coronavirus relief packages. 2. Predator…

> Some people will mess up. They could spend it all on an addiction or just make a bad investment.

The solution to this is easy... Low friction bankruptcy. If your UBI is paid daily, and one day you mess up and gamble it all away and get big debts, that should not stop you spending tomorrow's UBI on food.

Today, debts chase people for years or decades, and keep the poor poor. The fix is to let bankruptcy be something you can sign up for online in an hour. Then, if a debt shows up, you simply show them the bankruptcy certificate and walk away. The creditor then has to do all the work of finding any assets you owned at the moment you got the bankruptcy certificate and using them to pay off any debts.

Re: Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0

#678
post #419

A UBI paid for with a carbon tax would both save us from the worst consequences of global warming and stimulate the economy. It's hard to find a rational excuse for not doing it. Planet Money did a great episode on this idea over 7 years ago: https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2013/07/12/201502003/epis... They did a followup 5 years later: https://www.npr.org/sections/money/2018/07/18/630267782/epis... It seems like…

One of my best friends is an academic economist working in this space, so while I won’t pretend to be an expert, I have spent a goodly amount of time discussing this with one. With no disrespect intended to you personally, this policy you propose makes no sense. Without putting words in your mouth, it looks to me like “two things I as a progressive like the idea of”, rather than a coherent economic policy. Carbon tax…

> Carbon taxes unquestionably fall hardest on the poor,

Just last week I read an article about the wealthiest 10% causing 50% of the emissions or some similar figure. It's well known that richer countries pollute huge amounts compared to developing ones, but within a country I think it was also shown and seems to make intuitive sense.

> Everything from the products purchased by the poor to their modes of transport are more carbon-intensive than the rich.

Since when are buses and trains more carbon intensive than cars and jets? Or bulk products versus luxury, perhaps even custom ones? Plus that poor people don't have the time to go on holiday in Fiji for two weeks every year (exceptionally so in the USA with no minimum leave).

Re: Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0

#679
post #526

I like the simple argument made here about UBI enabling efficient consumption. I worry about three things with UBI though and they're more social than economic. 1. Power Divide - society will be easily divided into two groups: those who depend on the UBI to live and those who don't. The former will be absolutely at the mercy of the latter. We can see this a little bit with the coronavirus relief packages. 2. Predator…

1. power divide

How is this different than welfare, except that with UBI people are able to get a job without fear of losing benefits?

2. predators

Again, how does UBI makes this problem worse than it already is? I've never heard of _any_ idea which makes this problem disappear.

3. charity

In my opinion this is actually an argument in favor of UBI, rather than against it. Maybe the charity mindset would change, but I don't see it completely going away. On the other hand, many excuses will. We would benefit from a system that gives people a better chance at demonstrating personal responsibility.

Re: Universal Basic Income is Capitalism 2.0

#680
post #526

I like the simple argument made here about UBI enabling efficient consumption. I worry about three things with UBI though and they're more social than economic. 1. Power Divide - society will be easily divided into two groups: those who depend on the UBI to live and those who don't. The former will be absolutely at the mercy of the latter. We can see this a little bit with the coronavirus relief packages. 2. Predator…

In my country everyone who is older than 65 (or so) gets AOW, a state pension. Which is €1200 per month.

There are no conditions except for having lived (not worked) in the country for at least 40 years of the 65.

This is basically UBI for elderly and it has been in place since the 1960s.

None of the (theoretical) issues you named have been a problem.

Do some elderly spend all their AOW on a slot machine as soon as it comes in? Sure.

Do some people try to scam elderly because all elderly get AOW? Sure.

But overall the program has resulted in <3% of all elderly living below the poverty line. In other countries without this, such as Germany, you can find older people still having to work well into their 70s to get by.

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