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What caused the 'baby boom'? What would it take to have another?

derekthompson.org

651–660 of 927 posts

Re: What caused the 'baby boom'? What would it take to have another?

#651
post #121

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Stable in terms of population, not all of the stuff you're talking about.

Why is a stable population good or desirable?

Right now you are supporting an elderly retired person along with four others in the economy.

When you retire there will only be two. Expect less than half the care, because automation of elderly care is more expensive than a person.

Re: What caused the 'baby boom'? What would it take to have another?

#652
post #348

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You say ‘modern relationships’ but I feel like you’re describing a stereotypical 1950s relationship in that paragraph. The lack of contrast surprises me.

The big difference is that mom is working now. The problem is not who does the most household work, the problem is that the one who does (usually the mom) can't compensate by not working. A single income is rarely sufficient for a family.

Wasn’t the non-working housewife mostly a middle class thing and a weird blip in history? Women worked long before the baby boom either with less heavy tasks related to subsistence agriculture or cottage industries, and many worked during the baby boom. (I think the difference from today is partly different rates and partly women having actual careers in ways they didn’t before)

Maybe that is a good explanation for the baby boom though.

Re: What caused the 'baby boom'? What would it take to have another?

#653
post #31

You would need an economy where the average man can work and provide a life for his stay-at-home wife to raise the 3-4 kids at a decent living standard.

We really don’t need this kind of sexist attitude on HN in 2025.

It’s kind of naïve to think it’s a sexist attitude.

Some young women are waking up to the fact that even though their corporate overlords call them family a month before mass layoffs, it can be a lot more rewarding to work for your actual family instead of the family assembled by billionaires looking for a good return on investment and pension funds.

Re: What caused the 'baby boom'? What would it take to have another?

#654

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I make 5 times more than my SO and I can realistically have 3/4 families if I wanted. I proposed multiple times my SO to work part time and spend more time at home and have children and she has 0 intentions of giving up a single dime of her independence.

Good for her, I wouldn't want to be beholden to someone else either.

I wasn't implying it was bad, just saying that it ain't as simple as "once men could feed a family of four alone". Even if you do, women have progressed past that point.

Re: What caused the 'baby boom'? What would it take to have another?

#655

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Abortions are not the primary reason why teen pregnancy is way down. There's actual data, you know. Fewer teen pregnancies is a reason why birth rates in the US are declining. But it isn't driven by abortion. And it is insane to me that I'm now seeing this "oh actually teen pregnancy wasn't so bad" thing pop up all over the place.

It’s strange to see that anecdote so highly upvoted when it’s so trivial to look at birth rates by parental age. Reduced teen pregnancies are not the driving factor in recent fertility rate declines at all. It is interesting how an appeal to emotion with a difficult story can lead so many to overlook the obvious shortcomings in that explanation. Honestly this entire comment section has a lot of people making guesses…

Because there's nothing in the article. It's a couple loosely correlated events around '35-'55 that anyone can Google together in 10 minutes. The article has no more authority that anyone's post around here.

My bet is still WW2. The fact that the boom started earlier than '45 is easily explained by his own quoted graph in which the birthrate plummets in the 20s (which I would assign to WW1), the first rise is merely a correction.

Why would one result in a bust and the other into a boom? For one, the economy followed the same bust ('29) boom pattern. WW1 ended unresolved, showed the evil of man in general, where WW2 resolved WW1 and showed the evil of particular man, and it wasn't us, but which we defeated.

WW2 learned a lot of lessons from WW1 which made post war society thrive for not only the rich.

Re: What caused the 'baby boom'? What would it take to have another?

#656

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I make 5 times more than my SO and I can realistically have 3/4 families if I wanted. I proposed multiple times my SO to work part time and spend more time at home and have children and she has 0 intentions of giving up a single dime of her independence.

Is that how you proposed it?

It is a bit more complicated, but long story short she works in a bank and leaves the house at 7 am and is back at 7.30 pm which makes it very difficult to have a life like that, she's always tired and stressed, let alone children.

I see her situation as a blocker, but other than proposing her to move part time I don't know what to do really.

Re: What caused the 'baby boom'? What would it take to have another?

#657
post #324
post #175

Homer Simpson is a bumbling incompetent who manages to have a stable job, and can afford a mortgage, insurance for his family of 5, and two good enough cars as the sole breadwinner for his household. It's going to take something like that.

Homer Simpson is also a fictional cartoon character

Worldview blown.

Re: What caused the 'baby boom'? What would it take to have another?

#658

My anecdotal experience, which illustrates how changing societal norms may be contributing. Around 1960, my grandmother scandalously fell pregnant with my mother in her late teens. The child was adopted out - well, not out - in. To her own grandmother, to be raised as a "younger sister" to her own mother. Around 1980, my mother scandalously fell pregnant with me, in her late teens. Despite family disapproval, the chi…

I'm really sorry to hear this, and truly wish things have turned out differently.

Kids are a phenomenal experience.

I concur with you, social pressure is a defining element on having/not having them.

Re: What caused the 'baby boom'? What would it take to have another?

#659
post #630

Earlier quoted context omitted.

+1. I'm 38 and the overwhelming majority of women I had relationships with had the maturity of a teenager well in their 30s. Barely able to take care of themselves financially, mentally, physically, let alone of a family. I seriously felt, except once, I had daughters rather than significant others. Mind you, I might've been unlucky, but the narrative that women are more mature than men, might be true on large statis…

That you've consistently chosen immature women to have relationships with tells us nothing about the average woman. You weren't unlucky, you specifically made choices that led to these outcomes. Had you chosen women purely randomly, it'd be a different discussion, but you hadn't. You've done the equivalent of consistently driving above the speed limit and subsequently complaining about the police being too eager to g…

You have a valid point but you deliver it without any empathy or emotional intelligence.

Yes, I suspect that my mother being this kind of person, immature even at 50, made me feel at home with women like that.

In any case, I can't say that most of the other women I know is that much different in my area (Rome - Italy).

They are all more or less 35+ teenagers (the single ones).

Re: What caused the 'baby boom'? What would it take to have another?

#660

Few things that should be noted: women at 25+ have more or less the same children they had 60 years ago. It's teenage and very young women virtually not having kids anymore. Thus, the narrative that in order to stop population shrinking we have to go back to some past state is false. We shouldn't promote teenage and very young women pregnancies, and we should support older women and men having child at later stage at…

> We shouldn't promote teenage and very young women pregnancies Why not? The statement seems very much derived from 'current culture' morals. For most of human history I would guess that behavior was normal human behavior.

Because as of 2025 we know that in modern times such young pregnancies are closely related to financial difficulties, lack of maturity and stability, and in the end those lead to unhappy families and more importantly children.
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