I'd take issue on two points. First, "wallets' don't exist in the Bitcoin protocol. Second, the tool being used is not sophisticated enough to list the inputs and outputs, giving the false impression that something unusual is "unknown." Try this link to get details: https://blockstream.info/tx/4410c8d14ff9f87ceeed1d65cb58e7c7... There are numerous inputs and a single pay-to-script-hash (P2SH) output. The relatively h…
You really misused the term "coin". In Bitcoin protocol you don't "put value" into something named a "coin". "Wallet" is far more widely used and well-defined.
94k Bitcoin (1B USD) transferred from unknown wallet to unknown wallet
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Re: 94k Bitcoin (1B USD) transferred from unknown wallet to unknown wallet
#612Earlier quoted context omitted.
> It effectively establishes a billion dollar bounty for any party who can rewrite enough blocks to erase it. I don't really agree with that statement. Yes, someone could mount a 51% attack to rewrite that block. However, it would be pretty straightforward to see what was happening (and which nodes were the malicious actors). If that did happen, the possible outcomes would be: 1. The value of bitcoin would fall to ba…
> 1. The value of bitcoin would fall to basically 0. The reason bitcoin has any value at all really has to do with trust - belief that the protocol is secure and can't be broken. In this case, an easily detectable spending "override" would cause faith in the protocol to evaporate. That seems a little out there. (1) There is something like 1 person who uses bitcoin to move billions of dollars around. The small-time us…
Re: 94k Bitcoin (1B USD) transferred from unknown wallet to unknown wallet
#613Earlier quoted context omitted.
the amount of trivialization and conflation irks me 1. "51% attack" is not a thing as in "one has to have 51% of hashpower to perform it". it's just that with 51% of hashpower it becomes relatively cheap to perform such attack. one can throw enough money at the problem and get lucky to perform large reorg with just 10% of hashpower. the lower the number - the more lucky attacker has to get. 2. "rewriting a block" or…
Your math is off here. Block rewards are 12.5 BTC per 10 minutes and total fees per day are about 25-75 over last month. To get half of 94k BTC you'd be waiting quite a long time at 1,850 BTC per day total rewards + fees per day. 25 days, not 3.
Re: 94k Bitcoin (1B USD) transferred from unknown wallet to unknown wallet
#614Earlier quoted context omitted.
Is Norbert's Gambit anything but theoretical? It sounds like a guaranteed way to lose money. Given the tick size, crossing the spread with this ETF is going to cost you around 10bp alone. Never mind that this ETF only holds $45m in assets - you're only going to be able to get a very small amount without eating through price levels. On top of all this you have to carry 3 days of currency risk? I'm sure other online di…
Are you in the US? While I've never personally done Norbert's Gambit my understanding is that it's extremely popular for Canadian investors to do if they want to get USD. Might not be vice-versa. The most common use case I'm familiar with is within RRSPs, as there is sometimes a tax advantage to using US-listed ETFs within them. Most brokerages charge 1.5-2% to do currency conversion so it would be a lot better deal…
Re: 94k Bitcoin (1B USD) transferred from unknown wallet to unknown wallet
#615Earlier quoted context omitted.
> how expensive it would be to do it in a normal banking situation No idea about the billionaires, but I can shift £5k from a current account to another current account with another bank for the princely sum of £0.00
What this misses is that these transactions for better or for worse are completely non reversible. You simply cannot do that with a bank transfer as given a good cause transactions can always be delayed, diverted or stopped.
And just today https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-49643015
Re: 94k Bitcoin (1B USD) transferred from unknown wallet to unknown wallet
#616Earlier quoted context omitted.
I haven't heard of PirateChain. However, the state-level threat model includes things like taxes, where (e.g.) people in the US have to report every transaction they make. If most people report their PirateChain transactions, amount in, amount out, then the problem is that unreported transactions would stick out and would probably be associable with wallets. Am I getting this wrong?
What are the laws requiring reporting of every transaction? I know it's necessary to report transactions which establish the cost basis for capital gains, but doesn't mandate report of all transactions.
https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/040515/are-t...
Re: 94k Bitcoin (1B USD) transferred from unknown wallet to unknown wallet
#617Earlier quoted context omitted.
A couple million dollars is a retirement nest egg. You can stop working, stretch it carefully until you die, and leave a small sum to your heirs. To be very rich requires upwards of $100 million. Then you can access high paying investments which will generate enough income to afford a couple houses, hire help, buy a boat and a plane, and have enough left over after taxes to increase your assets to offset inflation. A…
Yes, yes, the wealth curve is essentially a vertical line at the right-hand edge. Don't pity the poor decimillionaires.
Re: 94k Bitcoin (1B USD) transferred from unknown wallet to unknown wallet
#618Interesting. There are 17~18 million BTC in existence[1], so this makes up for about half of a percent of total BTC. (of course a lot of those BTC are lost forever due to forgotten keys, hard drive crashes, thrown out hard drives, etc, so who knows what the actual amount of accessible BTC is). [1]: https://www.buybitcoinworldwide.com/how-many-bitcoins-are-th...
Re: 94k Bitcoin (1B USD) transferred from unknown wallet to unknown wallet
#619Interesting theory via Twitter: > If you look at BCH and BSV you will see the coins also moved - this looks like someone moved to do a split of forks. The good news (if that is the case) is that this likely will mean sale of BCH and BSV, not BTC! https://twitter.com/shanepicker/status/1170517377441849351 If that's the case, it implies that someone is looking to liquidate the value of their BCH/BSV they got for free i…
> and need to move the BTC too since otherwise the transaction would be valid in all 3 chains. Care to elaborate? I don't understand how the three chains can have any affliction after they forked.
I haven't looked into how people avoid this, I suppose you could bully people by listening on the fastest chain for transactions and then rebroadcasting those to slower chains, in theory you have some chance of messing up their shit.
Re: 94k Bitcoin (1B USD) transferred from unknown wallet to unknown wallet
#620Earlier quoted context omitted.
> how expensive it would be to do it in a normal banking situation No idea about the billionaires, but I can shift £5k from a current account to another current account with another bank for the princely sum of £0.00
Great. Now trying doing a billion. There are limits.
It’s rather moot as people and companies don’t keep a billion sitting in the same bank account.